Posted:
#1
For a bit today this spread was actually at 10, and that was interesting because Houston was just a double digit road favorite last night at Sacramento, but covered. So having them back-2-back consecutive DD road favs is simply a great reason to go with the Warriors because it's unlikely Houston would cover 2 in a row like that. But even since the spread is down to 8 or 9, I still like the Warriors in this spot. Their season is over but like most young teams, they like to run and I'm not sure Houston (and especially Yao) can keep up with that. Houston already scored 110+ pts last night. So I checked, and they only did that 11 other times this season. But they were 2-8-1 ATS in the next game after scoring 110+ which means they don't like to run (especially twice on the road???). Also, there's one more telling tale I like, aside from the fact that GS is 20-18 at home and the Rockets are below .500 on the road, the spread is way off. But like I said, what I really like about this game is that GS has lost just 3 home games all season by double digits- and 2 of those games were by 11 points. I'm taking the points here.
0
Hot Forum Topics
