Posted:
#1
I am new to posting on this site, but not new to football at all. I feel there is no need for me to copy and paste dozens of statistics and quotes to argue my side, like most people on this site do, so I am just throwing my picks out there with minimal information. For a true sports-better, this play is very simple.
CLEVELAND +7.5 OR +8 (depending on your book)
&
OVER 43 POINTS
--Here's the deal: First things first, this is Monday Night Football, there will be touchdowns flying across the board. Second, it is in Cleveland for a team that is basically have a make-or-break game for their already pathetic season. But tonight's game has a lot more incentives, in favor of the Browns OFFENSE!(I stress offense only, not defense.) With Donte Stallworth being activated as well as Ryan Tucker at OT. BUT!! the browns defense will be getting Willie McGinest back which will play a crucial role in the rush defense.
After coming off a crucial bye-week the Browns really had time to heal as a team, and gear themselves toward nothing more than 100% scheming for the Giants on a huge stage in Cleveland, Monday Night. Now to piece this all together:
--The reason for the Browns +8 is very simple. They have not shown 1 ounce of what this team is really all about OFFENSIVELY!!. Derek Anderson will be effective this evening, with huge huge huge help from a great surrounding cast with Stallworth back in the lineup. Granted, it really hurts probably having Winslow sidelined but Stallworth back is still a huge gain. With Stallworth, Edwards, Jamal Lewis and Play-maker Joshua Cribbs returning kicks, the Browns will be in a good posisiton to match teh Giants in points, which means YOU HAVE TO TAKE THE POINTS IN THIS ONE.
--In terms of the over: I feel this is the safest play all year. The Giants offense, under stellarly charged Eli Manning will be playing against a very weak Browns Defense. Brandon Jacobs/Bradford will be a very nice combination, like they have been all year, in setting up Manning for a few deep balls and great short/middle routes for big first downs. The Giants Offense vs a sub-par BRowns defense, shoudl be up 35 themselves, BUT tonight because it is a Monday night game IN CLEVELAND, i would say that 27 is probably the magic numebr for them this evening. Now, in favor of the Browns for hitting the over...it is very simple. The NFL is not all about statistics. It really isn't. Home many times this year, (including last night with the chargers), have we seen a highly motivated team AT HOME FOR A BIG STAGED GAME, play out of their mind, to keep a usual-BLOWOUT-very veyr close. But usually, people usually credit this to great home-field defense. Tonight that will not be the case. The defense will keep them in this just enough to cover the +8, VERY EASILY. Where the offense will be the key to this game for the Browns, with a big big big asterick next to Joshua Cribbs getting great field position as well as Edwards and Stallworth, each connecting for 1 TD tonight, possibly 2 for one of them, with Jamal Lewis probably having one as well.
--All I can say is seriously take this play into consideration. Obviously nobody can predict the future, or say it is A LOCK A LOCK A LOCK -- but i would say that this 2 team parlay is a very solid bet...
My plays for this evening
OVER 43: 9 UNITS
Browns +8: 4 UNITS
Parlay: Browns +8, Over 43: 2 unit to win 5.2
BOL GUYS and the quote that I like to end with is....INSTINCTS OVERRULE EVERYTHING, GO WITH WHAT YOU KNOW IS THE BETTER PLAY.
0
....good wite up INSTINCTS1...Browns season on the line, televised game...upset.nuff said.
....here are some stats....make me think twice about the over....
Hot Forum Topics
