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1 down 6 to go...*7 team parlay*

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Rookie
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Posts: 566
Posted: #76
You need to hedge. Guarantee money a sure thing is better then nothing. Some money is better then none, Greed gets people no where.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #77
don't hedge Lions are like the Bengals, pretenders. Bears at home way better team. imo.

g.l. man
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 193
Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by kn0wn:

Its just tough cause I really feel very confident in the Bears to cover here.  Actually I kinda see a blowout coming..


The Devil and Las Vegas always find a way to trick you.

Lions may lose (by only 3). Divisional Game on Prime Time... Anything could happen. Lions have the tools to keep it close.

Did you watch last year when Baltimore played Jacksonville? Houston and Indi on Thanksgiving? "Jets have no way to keep up with Houston's firepower"...  etc  ... where the underdog had 0 chance of winning?

I've seen weirder shit. Reconsider hedging.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 367
Posted: #79

Selections for Bet Offer: Parlay

Internet Combo Bet
Date Time Stake Refund Win Acc. Odds Status
Oct 18,2012 05:26 25.00 0.00 3995.94 +15884 Processed

Line Competition Match Match Date Forecast Odds Correct? Result
1 College Football Lines Ball State v Central Michigan Oct 20, 2012 14:30 Ball State -3 -115 Yes 41 - 30
2 College Football Lines Kansas State v West Virginia Oct 20, 2012 18:06 Kansas State +2½ -105 Yes 55 - 14
3 College Football Lines South Carolina v Florida Oct 20, 2012 14:40 Florida -3 -120 Yes 11 - 44
4 College Football Lines East Carolina v UAB Oct 20, 2012 18:00 East Carolina -3 -105 Yes 42 - 35
5 College Football Lines UL Monroe v Western Kentucky Oct 20, 2012 15:00 UL Monroe +3½ -115 Yes 43 - 42
6 NFL Football Lines Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers Oct 18, 2012 19:25 Game Total UNDER 38 -110 Yes 6 - 13
7 NFL Football Lines New York Jets v New England Patriots Oct 21, 2012 15:25 New York Jets +10½ -115 Yes 26 - 29
8 NFL Football Lines Pittsburgh Steelers v Cincinnati Bengals Oct 21, 2012 19:32 Pittsburgh Steelers -1 -120 Yes 24 - 17

 

 

GOOD LUCK AND GET ER DONE. p.s. i didnt hedge fuck all....but i have in past on bigger last game parlays so i understand you situation

 
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Posted: #80
Which will you regret more?

Not hedging and the Bears win by 3 or lose by 10, and you come away with 0.

Hedging, 2k, and the Bears win by 14, and you win 5k.
Ex-WTA tennis coach, over 20 years. PATREON I AM ON! Now I bet. PATREON! PATREON! PATREON
 
Captain
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:



If you're considering hedging prior to the final game, why even put that game on the ticket at all?



One smart man. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #82
great job!!! i hope the bears come thru for you tomorrow!
 
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Posted: #83
I hope u lose cuz u dont believe in hedging
 
Prospect
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Posted: #84
Damn! Good luck kn0wn! If don't want to hedge atleast do the $100 tho! Lol! 
 
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Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by DaBestEver24:

I hope u lose cuz u dont believe in hedging
 
Rookie
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Posts: 558
Posted: #86
You don't have to hedge it 50/50 but I'd at least put $1100 on the Lions. 
 
MVP
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Posts: 19093
Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by BarcsHasBite:

if he was going to hedge, why would he add that play in the first place?  He would have just made it a 6 teamer and won already.  Hedge just to get the $100 or so out if you want.
Probably the dumbest thing he could do when he is gaurranteed $3500 if he hedges..Maybe 0 if he doesnt..
 
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Posted: #88
hedge it
 
Prospect
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Posted: #89
Good Luck, I need it too!


Result: Pending
Panthers(Carolina) 14 10/21/12(13:05 ET)
Cowboys(Dallas) -2 (-115)
Panthers(Carolina) 14 10/21/12(13:05 ET)
Under 46
Raiders(Oakland) 26 10/21/12(16:30 ET)
Raiders(Oakland) -290
Bears(Chicago) 10/22/12(20:45 ET)
Bears(Chicago) -6.5
Rams(StLouis) 20 10/21/12(13:05 ET)
Packers(GreenBay) -5 (-120)
Buccaneers(TampaBay) 28 10/21/12(13:05 ET)
Saints(NewOrleans) -1.5
Bengals(Cincinnati) 17 10/21/12(20:40 ET)
Steelers(Pittsburgh) -1
Bengals(Cincinnati) 17 10/21/12(20:40 ET)
Under 45

 
Prospect
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Posted: #90
bet 110.00 to win 12,748.03
 
Veteran
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Posted: #91
I got a similar problem i need Chi ML to win the PRO-Picks pool in Ontario Canada the pool usually has about seven to eight hundred thousand in it but this week was all chalk except Buffallo losing so i expect alot of winners so i don't no what i will get paid if i win.  If i knew i was going to get 7 grand i would hedge half and i could still win both because i only need Chi to win not cover.  Any one out there have a winning ticket already with Chi flipped, or what do you think this week ight pay is the Tennesse win that big of an upset?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #92
Hedging is for skirts. Let it ride!
 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Imo, & this is only my opinion, I would hedge it for $2,000.................my brother has a parlay similar to yours last week that was paying $7,600 & needed the Broncos Monday night, he hedged for $2,000 on the Chargers but still ended up winning $5,400




 
Prospect
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Posted: #94

Since you have a nice middle opportunity I would hedge a third of the bet. Probably about 2k-2500, That way if bears win you get paid a good sum like hitting a parlay ( tell yourself you had them on money line to make yourself feel better) and to lock in a profit of 2k. The key here is you have a middle on a major key number. That is added value that needs to be taken into equation. Usually I would not hedge but here the math tells you to do it at least to lock in some profits.
 
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Posted: #95
GL Known
 
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Posted: #96
Any smart bettor would hedge but then again any smart bettor wouldn't play a 7 team parlay for 100 unless its ..005 of your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #97
Best of luck tonight. I live in Vegas and am alive on a 15 team teaser for $5 (not a big bettor) and it pays $1500 if it wins. My last game is Bears at a pick. I will be rooting for you with the Bears, but since the line is sitting @6 I will hedge and hope for a middle. Best of luck once again!!!
 
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Posted: #98

IMO, I would go Det for $2K and if your initial plan is right, it is a $5k payday, if not, you still wake up with $2k.  

That last game in a parlay seems to screw you more times than not.  

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #99
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #100
thanks guys

I think im going to bet $2000 on DET +7.5 so either:

A) Bears win by 8 or more I win 7200-2000=$5200 profit
B) Lions win SU or loss by 4 or less I win 0+2000=$2000 profit
C) Bears win by 5 I push and win about 5000+2000=$7200 profit
D) Bears win by 6 or 7 and I win 7200+2000=$9200 Profit

clearly I want D to happen but this way Im at least guaranteeing some money and can still root for my original pick with the Bears with a chance of middling both bets
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