Posted:
#1
Hello to all. The past few years I have posted at or near the start of the season the "P.D.M."( points don't matter ) total for the past NFL season. It is a fact year in and year out in the NFL that the points only play a very small percentage of time in determining the outcome when betting with a point spread in the NFL.
Note : I am not saying I know the winners of the games, I am not saying it is easy to pick outright winners of games. I am simply saying that if you seem to have a knack for picking outright winners of NFL games without factoring in the point spread, well you would be a wealthy man at seasons end !.
Year after year the percentage of games that the points do not factored into winning or losing a bet is right about 75 %. So, look at the games and decide who you think will win period and don't worry about the point spread. Again, I am not claiming this to be easy to do or to know who will win. I am just letting you all know that last season the total for the year was once again a mind blowing 211-42-4. Yes that's right !, just 42 games last season did the points factor in on winning or losing a bet. And is nothing new, it has been this way for years and years. The 2012 season was near exactly the same as last season.
So, say you like a dog and have a strong feeling for them to win outright you may want to consider sprinkling the ML ?. Pick the outright winner of the games, spend less time looking at the point spreads of the games and spend more time counting you cash !. The best of luck to all this season.
P.S. Before you start posting that this is B.S , bad info, etc..... go do your homework ! ...I do mine and the numbers don't lie !. Ice Man
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