Posted:
#1
New Orleans is 21-5 ATS in last 26 at home (5-0 SU this season) and San
Francisco is 13-1 ATS (8-0 SU in last 8) after upset loss. So, obviously
somethings gotta give. New Orleans home streak is quite impressive but I
just had too take a closer look at their opponents. The best team they
played at home this season was Dallas, but not the same Dallas team that
challenged Denver when Broncos were playing their best football of the
season, but rather the Dallas team that barely edged Minnesota and lost a
huge lead in Detroit before that. Other than Dallas, they faced Buffalo
(3-4 then, 3-7 now), Miami missing a key player (3-0 then, 4-5 now),
Arizona (1-1 then, 5-4 now, but also 1-3 on the road) and Atlanta (0-0
then, 2-7 now). San Francisco is just in a different league compared to
those teams. They are 6-3 this season and they were 27-10 in previous
two seasons. San Francisco lost to red hot Carolina last week (now
winners of 5 straight) and their other two losses came against 7-3
Indianapolis and 9-1 Seattle. San Francisco is better on the road than
at home this season. San Francisco won two meetings with Saints in 2012
(in November and January). D.Brees was picked twice in each game and New
Orleans offense combined 96 ryds in those two games. San Francisco
defense did well in a loss last week. Their defense was unimpressive in
first three games when they faced Rogers, Luck and Wilson but they are
allowing only 12 ppg since then.
San Francisco +3.5
San Francisco +3.5
0
good luck!
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