There are 9 and maybe 10 Home Dogs in this NFL Week 1!
How do Home Dogs do in week 1 historically?
Which do you stay away from and why?
Jets +7 vs Ravens
Falcons +5.5 vs Saints
Panthers E vs Browns
Bears +7 vs Niners
Lions +5 vs Eagles
Texans +7 vs Colts
Cardinals +6.5 vs Chiefs
Vikings +1 vs Packers
Cowboys +2.5 vs Bucs
Seahawks +6.5 vs Broncos
Jets? Flacco starting. Is that good or bad?
Cardinals? DeAndre Hopkins is suspended and other injuries to JJ Watt and Markus Golden, and is Kyler Murray happy?
Panthers? McCaffrey is playing. Baker Mayfield seeking revenge. The game is a pickem now and might not be underdogs at game time.
Bears? Niners Kittle is questionable. Justin Fields vs Trey Lance. Two bit question marks, but Niners superior in every other way. But 7 points on the road better?
Lions? Some nagging injuries, but they play tough for Campbell. Eagles are loaded at WR.
Texans? Davis Mills?
Vikings? Viks have great offensive weapons. Does Rodgers?
Cowboys? Does Zeke have anything left? No Amari Cooper for Dak. Is Brady up for one more year?
Seahawks? Russ coming in with revenge in mind. Seahawks not resembling who they used to be. Russ gone. Wagner gone.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
There are 9 and maybe 10 Home Dogs in this NFL Week 1!
How do Home Dogs do in week 1 historically?
Which do you stay away from and why?
Jets +7 vs Ravens
Falcons +5.5 vs Saints
Panthers E vs Browns
Bears +7 vs Niners
Lions +5 vs Eagles
Texans +7 vs Colts
Cardinals +6.5 vs Chiefs
Vikings +1 vs Packers
Cowboys +2.5 vs Bucs
Seahawks +6.5 vs Broncos
Jets? Flacco starting. Is that good or bad?
Cardinals? DeAndre Hopkins is suspended and other injuries to JJ Watt and Markus Golden, and is Kyler Murray happy?
Panthers? McCaffrey is playing. Baker Mayfield seeking revenge. The game is a pickem now and might not be underdogs at game time.
Bears? Niners Kittle is questionable. Justin Fields vs Trey Lance. Two bit question marks, but Niners superior in every other way. But 7 points on the road better?
Lions? Some nagging injuries, but they play tough for Campbell. Eagles are loaded at WR.
Texans? Davis Mills?
Vikings? Viks have great offensive weapons. Does Rodgers?
Cowboys? Does Zeke have anything left? No Amari Cooper for Dak. Is Brady up for one more year?
Seahawks? Russ coming in with revenge in mind. Seahawks not resembling who they used to be. Russ gone. Wagner gone.
Betting all of them might win money (might not), but remember that if you bet all of them, you will be betting the inferior team in almost every game on your card. This is generally not a good formula for success, especially early in the season.
The 3 I like are the Panthers, Vikes and Cowboys, and the reason is because I think all of these teams are at least as good or better than their opponent. I'm pretty sure the Panthers are better than the Browns (mostly because Brissett sucks)... Vikes definitely have more talent across the board, but the Packers are way more talented at QB. I expect the Buccs to be a total flop this year, with Brady not giving a $hit about this season, after trying to fly the coup, then retiring, then returning half-heartedly.
There's reason to believe every one of those teams is at least on the same level as their opponent, while getting points at home. Panthers were dogs, so you waited a bit too long to get the full value. Browns have so much terrible karma and bad energy hovering over the team this year... I think they are going to be one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL. All 3 road favorites look like they will struggle to meet expectations.
If you go 2-1 on those, it might still give you more profit than betting the entire slate.
Just my 2 cents, and fair disclosure, I'm not really into following trends blindly, so I would never bet based solely on this kind of trend.
The Dude imbibes
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Betting all of them might win money (might not), but remember that if you bet all of them, you will be betting the inferior team in almost every game on your card. This is generally not a good formula for success, especially early in the season.
The 3 I like are the Panthers, Vikes and Cowboys, and the reason is because I think all of these teams are at least as good or better than their opponent. I'm pretty sure the Panthers are better than the Browns (mostly because Brissett sucks)... Vikes definitely have more talent across the board, but the Packers are way more talented at QB. I expect the Buccs to be a total flop this year, with Brady not giving a $hit about this season, after trying to fly the coup, then retiring, then returning half-heartedly.
There's reason to believe every one of those teams is at least on the same level as their opponent, while getting points at home. Panthers were dogs, so you waited a bit too long to get the full value. Browns have so much terrible karma and bad energy hovering over the team this year... I think they are going to be one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL. All 3 road favorites look like they will struggle to meet expectations.
If you go 2-1 on those, it might still give you more profit than betting the entire slate.
Just my 2 cents, and fair disclosure, I'm not really into following trends blindly, so I would never bet based solely on this kind of trend.
Seahawks now +7. Russ' Revenge, I guess. Seahawks with Geno Smith at QB and no Bobby Wagner. End of an era. They still have the 12th Man and a loud crowd. It's probably been a long time since they have gotten +7 at Home.
Panthers now favored by -1, so scratch them from the list.
Vikings now a Pickem with GB. We'll see how that closes.
Lions up to +5.5.
Jets and Bears down to +6.5
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Seahawks now +7. Russ' Revenge, I guess. Seahawks with Geno Smith at QB and no Bobby Wagner. End of an era. They still have the 12th Man and a loud crowd. It's probably been a long time since they have gotten +7 at Home.
Panthers now favored by -1, so scratch them from the list.
Vikings now a Pickem with GB. We'll see how that closes.
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