That is a common statement from 9er backers. While that is cute they believe in their bet that much they are willing to believe in the Easter Bunny too bottom line is the following are facts:
Patrick Mahomes has started 112 games. Of those 112 games he has only lost 4 of them by more than 8 points. That like 3.5%.
Obviously it could happen but that is a mountain of evidence to suggest it isn’t super likely. Add to that the Mahomes trend as an underdog. The trend of Reid off a bye week.
Good luck on whoever you pick but anyone is expected either team to blow the other out that is not only bold but drastically counter to historic stats and trends. BOL to all. Including to the annoying people posting tons of false information. You know who you are.
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
That is a common statement from 9er backers. While that is cute they believe in their bet that much they are willing to believe in the Easter Bunny too bottom line is the following are facts:
Patrick Mahomes has started 112 games. Of those 112 games he has only lost 4 of them by more than 8 points. That like 3.5%.
Obviously it could happen but that is a mountain of evidence to suggest it isn’t super likely. Add to that the Mahomes trend as an underdog. The trend of Reid off a bye week.
Good luck on whoever you pick but anyone is expected either team to blow the other out that is not only bold but drastically counter to historic stats and trends. BOL to all. Including to the annoying people posting tons of false information. You know who you are.
Never sad that. As a matter of fact I think they have a good chance. What I am getting sick of is exaggerated statements with nothing back it up. So there you go a mountain of evidence to suggest that 9ers don’t blow out the Chiefs.
1
Quote Originally Posted by Paal:
Niners don’t have a chance, we know
Never sad that. As a matter of fact I think they have a good chance. What I am getting sick of is exaggerated statements with nothing back it up. So there you go a mountain of evidence to suggest that 9ers don’t blow out the Chiefs.
Yes 3.5% likely to happen in 112 games is misinformation. Stay on point dumb fuck! Or can’t you see past your imbecilic bet? Yes WE ALL know you are on SF.
0
@unplucked_gem
Yes 3.5% likely to happen in 112 games is misinformation. Stay on point dumb fuck! Or can’t you see past your imbecilic bet? Yes WE ALL know you are on SF.
You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD.
I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth.
0
@unplucked_gem
You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD.
I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth.
That is a common statement from 9er backers. While that is cute they believe in their bet that much they are willing to believe in the Easter Bunny too bottom line is the following are facts: Patrick Mahomes has started 112 games. Of those 112 games he has only lost 4 of them by more than 8 points. That like 3.5%. Obviously it could happen but that is a mountain of evidence to suggest it isn’t super likely. Add to that the Mahomes trend as an underdog. The trend of Reid off a bye week. Good luck on whoever you pick but anyone is expected either team to blow the other out that is not only bold but drastically counter to historic stats and trends. BOL to all. Including to the annoying people posting tons of false information. You know who you are.
Historical Evidence: NFC SB teams that lost the CC game on the Road the Previous season:
'84...49'ers...Won SB 38-16
'85...Bears...Won SB 46-10
'87...Redskins...Won SB 42-10
'94...49'ers...Won SB 49-26
'95...Cowboys...Won SB 27-17
'96...Packers...Won SB 35-21
'23...49'ers
There are only 2 SB teams since the league went to a 16-game season in '78 that won all 5 of their last 5 Road games & won them by an average of more than 20ppg:
'84...49'ers...Won SB 38-16...had also lost CC game on the Road previous season
'23...49'ers... ...had also lost CC game on the Road previous season
49'ers this season, not a Fav of -4 or more:
Won 30-7 @ Pitt
Won 42-10 vs Dal
Won 34-3 @ Jax
Won 42-19 @ Phil
The way I see it, there's your historical evidence. And almost 80% bets on KC+ & on the M/L??? Yeah, Vegas always gives away free money!!!
(btw...I do believe in the Easter Bunny & Santa Claus)
0
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
That is a common statement from 9er backers. While that is cute they believe in their bet that much they are willing to believe in the Easter Bunny too bottom line is the following are facts: Patrick Mahomes has started 112 games. Of those 112 games he has only lost 4 of them by more than 8 points. That like 3.5%. Obviously it could happen but that is a mountain of evidence to suggest it isn’t super likely. Add to that the Mahomes trend as an underdog. The trend of Reid off a bye week. Good luck on whoever you pick but anyone is expected either team to blow the other out that is not only bold but drastically counter to historic stats and trends. BOL to all. Including to the annoying people posting tons of false information. You know who you are.
Historical Evidence: NFC SB teams that lost the CC game on the Road the Previous season:
'84...49'ers...Won SB 38-16
'85...Bears...Won SB 46-10
'87...Redskins...Won SB 42-10
'94...49'ers...Won SB 49-26
'95...Cowboys...Won SB 27-17
'96...Packers...Won SB 35-21
'23...49'ers
There are only 2 SB teams since the league went to a 16-game season in '78 that won all 5 of their last 5 Road games & won them by an average of more than 20ppg:
'84...49'ers...Won SB 38-16...had also lost CC game on the Road previous season
'23...49'ers... ...had also lost CC game on the Road previous season
49'ers this season, not a Fav of -4 or more:
Won 30-7 @ Pitt
Won 42-10 vs Dal
Won 34-3 @ Jax
Won 42-19 @ Phil
The way I see it, there's your historical evidence. And almost 80% bets on KC+ & on the M/L??? Yeah, Vegas always gives away free money!!!
(btw...I do believe in the Easter Bunny & Santa Claus)
Right how many were QBed by Patrick Mahomes? Moreover I said I am on SF. Everything you said was furtherst fron the point of my post. My god people don’t read any more just latch on to the first thing they can try to poke holes with. Dude you and the Easter Bunny have a great Superbowl. Your reading comprehension may not be good but hey have at it. LMAO. Why even bother any more.
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@Riderx
Right how many were QBed by Patrick Mahomes? Moreover I said I am on SF. Everything you said was furtherst fron the point of my post. My god people don’t read any more just latch on to the first thing they can try to poke holes with. Dude you and the Easter Bunny have a great Superbowl. Your reading comprehension may not be good but hey have at it. LMAO. Why even bother any more.
@unplucked_gem You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD. I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth.
Should read misinformation instead of information in both. Fucking autocorrect.
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Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
@unplucked_gem You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD. I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth.
Should read misinformation instead of information in both. Fucking autocorrect.
@unplucked_gem You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD. I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth.
Well in that case, you're arriving at the predetermined outcome you want be counting every start. If you looked at just his losses you find that thus season alone he's 33% outside your Posted margin of loss.
0
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269:
@unplucked_gem You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD. I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth.
Well in that case, you're arriving at the predetermined outcome you want be counting every start. If you looked at just his losses you find that thus season alone he's 33% outside your Posted margin of loss.
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: @unplucked_gem You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD. I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth. Well in that case, you're arriving at the predetermined outcome you want be counting every start. If you looked at just his losses you find that thus season alone he's 33% outside your Posted margin of loss.
Lol yeah because that is how betting works dofus. That is why there is a spread. If he wins he covers. If he loses he rarely gets beat by that much. But yeah let’s ignore his wins in this analysis. Are you legitimately arguing there is ZERO chance he wins? Only question is how much he loses by? GTFOH.
0
Quote Originally Posted by unplucked_gem:
Quote Originally Posted by jesron1269: @unplucked_gem You claiming I am spreading information when I have clear statistics behind what I say that are undeniable yes you are attacking. I will match your energy when you start off with saying what I provided is misinformation. I am not Jimmy and others here spreading information for my narrative. I am on SF ML parlayed to CMC to score a TD. I think 9ers come back in the 2H to win by the skin of their teeth. Well in that case, you're arriving at the predetermined outcome you want be counting every start. If you looked at just his losses you find that thus season alone he's 33% outside your Posted margin of loss.
Lol yeah because that is how betting works dofus. That is why there is a spread. If he wins he covers. If he loses he rarely gets beat by that much. But yeah let’s ignore his wins in this analysis. Are you legitimately arguing there is ZERO chance he wins? Only question is how much he loses by? GTFOH.
If you don’t get trend handicapping then yeah good luck to you too. Plus again reading comprehension. I actually bet 9ers. My point is it won’t be a blowout.
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@tinoker55
If you don’t get trend handicapping then yeah good luck to you too. Plus again reading comprehension. I actually bet 9ers. My point is it won’t be a blowout.
So the line makers used data for 2020 to make this line? They factored in all the players that are not on this year's roster to get to -2?
You're saying 49ers backs are foolish to expect a blow out beyond 8 points because in Mahomes entire sample size it happens less than 3 %.
I offer you that a reasoned 49ers backer would say:
Can this 2023 version of the chiefs lose = yes so far more than 3 %.
Can this 2023 version of the chiefs lose by more than 8 = yes so far more than 3 %
Can this 49ers team win by more than 8 = yes, so far more than 3 %
So would I be risk adverse taking 49ers at -9 for +270 = absolutely not.
Tell you what junior, it's been a long day. Put your feet up, crack open a bud light, and let the cerebral thinkers take over the heavy lifting. At a minimum the commercials should entertain you.
0
That's not how betting works?
So the line makers used data for 2020 to make this line? They factored in all the players that are not on this year's roster to get to -2?
You're saying 49ers backs are foolish to expect a blow out beyond 8 points because in Mahomes entire sample size it happens less than 3 %.
I offer you that a reasoned 49ers backer would say:
Can this 2023 version of the chiefs lose = yes so far more than 3 %.
Can this 2023 version of the chiefs lose by more than 8 = yes so far more than 3 %
Can this 49ers team win by more than 8 = yes, so far more than 3 %
So would I be risk adverse taking 49ers at -9 for +270 = absolutely not.
Tell you what junior, it's been a long day. Put your feet up, crack open a bud light, and let the cerebral thinkers take over the heavy lifting. At a minimum the commercials should entertain you.
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