Offense vs. Defense. The Saints offense is hotter than the offspring of a habanero and wasabi (would you like to try a hababi?) scoring 34.8 ppg this season, but only 27.2 ppg on the road. The 49ers defense on the other hand has given up a total of 14.3 ppg, but only 10.9 at home. The 49ers defense gives up 1.1 passing TDs per game at home (I knew how great the 49ers run defense plays and how non-existence the Saints running game is displayed, so that part of play seems to be null-actually, surprisingly, the Saints are 6th in rush offense!!). San Fran averages 23.8 ppg and 27.6 ppg at home. New Orleans gives up 21.6 ppg and 24.5 ppg on the road. The Saints have lost only 3 games all year (they were all on the road with two of those three against the Rams and Bucs). 4 of the Saints 5 wins on the road have been won by an average of 6 points. Similar teams to the Saints that the 49ers have played have scored an average of 22.25ppg and have given up 25 ppg to the 49ers. I think Brees throws for 2 TDs to WRs and they get one more from Sproles (special teams, running, catching?). NOT having to travel to the cold whether will favor the Saints. Defense wins championships and in a do or die situation this is essentially a championship game. With that said, the 49ers pull off the upset 26-24.
Offense vs. Defense. The Saints offense is hotter than the offspring of a habanero and wasabi (would you like to try a hababi?) scoring 34.8 ppg this season, but only 27.2 ppg on the road. The 49ers defense on the other hand has given up a total of 14.3 ppg, but only 10.9 at home. The 49ers defense gives up 1.1 passing TDs per game at home (I knew how great the 49ers run defense plays and how non-existence the Saints running game is displayed, so that part of play seems to be null-actually, surprisingly, the Saints are 6th in rush offense!!). San Fran averages 23.8 ppg and 27.6 ppg at home. New Orleans gives up 21.6 ppg and 24.5 ppg on the road. The Saints have lost only 3 games all year (they were all on the road with two of those three against the Rams and Bucs). 4 of the Saints 5 wins on the road have been won by an average of 6 points. Similar teams to the Saints that the 49ers have played have scored an average of 22.25ppg and have given up 25 ppg to the 49ers. I think Brees throws for 2 TDs to WRs and they get one more from Sproles (special teams, running, catching?). NOT having to travel to the cold whether will favor the Saints. Defense wins championships and in a do or die situation this is essentially a championship game. With that said, the 49ers pull off the upset 26-24.
Where do I start with this game? The Dark Side vs. the Heavenly Body or how about we just go with a simple comparison of Brady vs. Tebow: https://www.buzzfeed.com/bryanbrunsell/tom-brady-vs-tim-tebow-45ct I think I have to give the edge to Brady because he looks like John Travolta in Pulp Fiction while sliding down the slide at the pool party, but he is also cheating (Patriots never do that!) by taking up more than half of the picture in “whispering to each other” photo. Stats in this game seem to be irrelevant (if you don’t believe me watch what Tebow will be watching before the game: https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=niHSWYE-PLI). This game could be 41-17 in favor of the Patriots or 27-24 in favor of the “most famous white broncos, since OJ’s vehicle” or anything in between. I’ve always said that you can’t pick against the Patriots nor can you pick against Tebow. Let’s just say with 3 minutes left in the 16th overtime Tebow throws a game winning 55 yard bomb…to himself. And the world decides that the Superbowl trophy will no longer be known as the Lombardi trophy, but will be called the Timothy Trophy. Tebow has actually been better on the road, but with that said, the stat that will convince me to take the Patriots is that teams coming off a victory against the Steelers are 0-4 against the spread. The MOST amazing stat is that since 1978 more than half the games in the divisional round have been won by double digits. My prediction will be Patriots 34 Broncos 20 (lean toward the Pats covering the 13.5). Tebow is 6-0 when he doesn’t turn the ball over. I think we all know will the game plan will be. Speaking of knowing the game plan please don’t even get me started on how ridiculous it is that the Patriots were able to hire Josh McDaniels (the guy who drafted Tim Tebow) in the middle of the playoffs.
Pick: Over 50
Texans @ Ravens
Wade Phillips led defenses have given up 18.55 ppg on the road, while the TJ Yates led offense has averaged 18.67 ppg on the road (against the Jags, Bengals, and Colts). The Ravens give up 14.9 ppg at home and score 27.4 ppg at home. This is what I wrote the last time these teams played earlier in the year when Baltimore won at home 29-14: “The Ravens are such a frustrating team. Every game you think they should do well, they don’t and every game that should be close they dominate, but Schaub is slightly injured (he’ll still play), no Andre 3000 (Derrick Mason won’t help this week), Mario Williams is out for the year and the Ravens are fresh off of a bye. This screams impending disaster for the Texans. Pick: Ravens -8 Pick: Under 45.” Well, this time instead of an injured Schaub there is a healthy third string QB, Andre 3000 will play, but will still be hampered by injury. The Ravens will (again) be fresh off of a bye. First though for these defensively minded teams is to expect a low scoring game, but surprisingly, the numbers say that the over play is the right play. I’ll take the Ravens 27-17.
Pick: Ravens -7.5 Pick: Over 36
Giants @ Packers
In my opinion, the most important story line of this game is not being talked about:https://www.nypost.com/p/sports/giants/mccarthy_tragedy_won_affect_playoff_6rNfV6DVpUlqWHHrNnleiL. You could say this will motivate the Packers like Favre’s father passing away and motivated him to throw for 399 yards and four touchdowns a day later. So, if this motivates the Pack (and the game is at Lambeau, a place that Favre never seemed to lose, especially when it got cold), then the Pack could win by 20+ points, but I do not believe it will. The Gmen are clicking on all cylinders right now (would you like some more hababi?). The Packers are averaging 40.1 ppg at home! The Giants score 26 ppg on the road. The Packers give up 21.4 ppg at home. The Giants give up 26.9 ppg on the road. Remember, the Gmen are getting healthierish (again this means: some players that were hurt at the beginning of the year are healthy now, but some remain out, while there continues to be lingering injuries for many of the players).Fitting true to the “Eli Excitement” this game remains close, but I believe the Packers are still too much as they win 32-30. Last time these teams played (December 4th) I liked the over better than the Giants play, but this time I like the Giants play more than the over play.
Pick: Giants +7.5 Pick: Over 53
0
Tebows @ Patriots
Where do I start with this game? The Dark Side vs. the Heavenly Body or how about we just go with a simple comparison of Brady vs. Tebow: https://www.buzzfeed.com/bryanbrunsell/tom-brady-vs-tim-tebow-45ct I think I have to give the edge to Brady because he looks like John Travolta in Pulp Fiction while sliding down the slide at the pool party, but he is also cheating (Patriots never do that!) by taking up more than half of the picture in “whispering to each other” photo. Stats in this game seem to be irrelevant (if you don’t believe me watch what Tebow will be watching before the game: https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=niHSWYE-PLI). This game could be 41-17 in favor of the Patriots or 27-24 in favor of the “most famous white broncos, since OJ’s vehicle” or anything in between. I’ve always said that you can’t pick against the Patriots nor can you pick against Tebow. Let’s just say with 3 minutes left in the 16th overtime Tebow throws a game winning 55 yard bomb…to himself. And the world decides that the Superbowl trophy will no longer be known as the Lombardi trophy, but will be called the Timothy Trophy. Tebow has actually been better on the road, but with that said, the stat that will convince me to take the Patriots is that teams coming off a victory against the Steelers are 0-4 against the spread. The MOST amazing stat is that since 1978 more than half the games in the divisional round have been won by double digits. My prediction will be Patriots 34 Broncos 20 (lean toward the Pats covering the 13.5). Tebow is 6-0 when he doesn’t turn the ball over. I think we all know will the game plan will be. Speaking of knowing the game plan please don’t even get me started on how ridiculous it is that the Patriots were able to hire Josh McDaniels (the guy who drafted Tim Tebow) in the middle of the playoffs.
Pick: Over 50
Texans @ Ravens
Wade Phillips led defenses have given up 18.55 ppg on the road, while the TJ Yates led offense has averaged 18.67 ppg on the road (against the Jags, Bengals, and Colts). The Ravens give up 14.9 ppg at home and score 27.4 ppg at home. This is what I wrote the last time these teams played earlier in the year when Baltimore won at home 29-14: “The Ravens are such a frustrating team. Every game you think they should do well, they don’t and every game that should be close they dominate, but Schaub is slightly injured (he’ll still play), no Andre 3000 (Derrick Mason won’t help this week), Mario Williams is out for the year and the Ravens are fresh off of a bye. This screams impending disaster for the Texans. Pick: Ravens -8 Pick: Under 45.” Well, this time instead of an injured Schaub there is a healthy third string QB, Andre 3000 will play, but will still be hampered by injury. The Ravens will (again) be fresh off of a bye. First though for these defensively minded teams is to expect a low scoring game, but surprisingly, the numbers say that the over play is the right play. I’ll take the Ravens 27-17.
Pick: Ravens -7.5 Pick: Over 36
Giants @ Packers
In my opinion, the most important story line of this game is not being talked about:https://www.nypost.com/p/sports/giants/mccarthy_tragedy_won_affect_playoff_6rNfV6DVpUlqWHHrNnleiL. You could say this will motivate the Packers like Favre’s father passing away and motivated him to throw for 399 yards and four touchdowns a day later. So, if this motivates the Pack (and the game is at Lambeau, a place that Favre never seemed to lose, especially when it got cold), then the Pack could win by 20+ points, but I do not believe it will. The Gmen are clicking on all cylinders right now (would you like some more hababi?). The Packers are averaging 40.1 ppg at home! The Giants score 26 ppg on the road. The Packers give up 21.4 ppg at home. The Giants give up 26.9 ppg on the road. Remember, the Gmen are getting healthierish (again this means: some players that were hurt at the beginning of the year are healthy now, but some remain out, while there continues to be lingering injuries for many of the players).Fitting true to the “Eli Excitement” this game remains close, but I believe the Packers are still too much as they win 32-30. Last time these teams played (December 4th) I liked the over better than the Giants play, but this time I like the Giants play more than the over play.
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