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ARIZONA +6.5 BIGGEST TRAP OF THE YEAR??!!!

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Posted: #1
Anybody else feel like there's something real shady about Arizona getting 6.5 points against Seattle? With the way these two teams have been playing, I don't know of many people who wouldn't take the points, especially given how well Arizona is playing as a team. I'm not touching this game, but if I were, I think I'd have to take Seattle because I would imagine there's a hell of a lot more money on Arizona and the line hasn't moved at all. I think Seattle goes at 100 percent for 60 minutes in full out desperation mode, and Stanton, while making some nice plays, goes for long stretches playing poorly in this one, just as he did last week. I'd love to know what some of you guys think. Good luck this week!
 
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Posted: #2
Totally agree. I took hawks -6.5 when the line came out. NO way zona covers this game. They been playing over their heads for weeks now and Stanton was a backup for a reason. It will show this week against legion of boom and beastmode! Lay the 6.5
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by rybis087:

Anybody else feel like there's something real shady about Arizona getting 6.5 points against Seattle? With the way these two teams have been playing, I don't know of many people who wouldn't take the points, especially given how well Arizona is playing as a team. I'm not touching this game, but if I were, I think I'd have to take Seattle because I would imagine there's a hell of a lot more money on Arizona and the line hasn't moved at all. I think Seattle goes at 100 percent for 60 minutes in full out desperation mode, and Stanton, while making some nice plays, goes for long stretches playing poorly in this one, just as he did last week. I'd love to know what some of you guys think. Good luck this week!

I could not write it any better...bravo. 

Just read an article stating that Ellington the Cardinal starting running back has a sore tendon in his foot. If Arizona can't run (which is what I see), then Drew Stanton will be forced to the air. Stanton is mobile and can scramble and move in the pocket so it won't be easy at first to nail him. 

Sometimes the Hawks' secondary is the straw that stirs the drink for Seattle. One team that is in survival mode and a hot team that has covered many in a row. 

I have respect for Arizona and have been on them but in this spot for this week for this opponent...I see defeat. 

Seattle is playing on Thanksgiving against SF, but that game will mean nothing unless they get a win Sunday. Now the media is glowing in their tributes to AZ and the public has found them at long last...time to get off their train IMO. bol!!!
 
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Posted: #4
Love the Seahawks here, their season is on the line because the 49ers will most likely beat the Redskins and they'll be facing them on thanksgiving.

Stanton besides the first 2 drives looked bad. 
 
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Posted: #5
Larry Fitz may be out for this one also.

I think Doug Baldwin has a big day and the seahawks win this one 28-20. Cardinals have been killing it in the 4th Q this year, but I think as long as SEA commits to the run for 4 quarters, they should pull this one out. 

If it wasnt for that HORRIBLE blindside penalty given to STL, Arizona would have lost that game. That ridiculous penalty took away all momentum away from STL and Arizona took full advantage of it. 
 
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Posted: #6
I know the NFC west very well. Don't let Arizona's record fool you, they will get hammered hard by the Hawks at home. Multiple turnovers I see in this game by Arizona and Seattle is currently in a must win situation, and the home fans know it too. It will be a bad spot and the crowd will be in it more so than before with what is it at stake. This is my the best play on Sunday. 

When I make a pick based strictly on what I know and saw versus trying to decipher public money vs line trends, I'm usually spot on. I know these teams well. 

Hawks all the way. 
 
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Posted: #7
It was 7 1/2 on Bovada until last night.

I couldn't believe it, but then I thought twice about it. Good thing I didn't hammer it. lol
 
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Posted: #8

Cardinals have been covering much better than Seattle this year.  Arizona beat the Seahawks in Seattle last year when the Cardinals were not as good and the Seahawks were better. 

The fact the public logically likes the Cardinals is irrelevant to handicapping.  The public was all over the Pats as dogs this past Sunday night and the public creamed Vegas.  Vegas bookies are not psychics, as their play in the Gaming Today bookies challenge attests. 

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by DarthHambly:

Cardinals have been covering much better than Seattle this year.  Arizona beat the Seahawks in Seattle last year when the Cardinals were not as good and the Seahawks were better. 

The fact the public logically likes the Cardinals is irrelevant to handicapping.  The public was all over the Pats as dogs this past Sunday night and the public creamed Vegas.  Vegas bookies are not psychics, as their play in the Gaming Today bookies challenge attests. 



If you don't think that public perception plays a role in how the lines are made, moved, and effected, I imagine you must lose more bets than you win. Certainly, they're not psychics, but they have access to advanced statistics, metrics and computer generated likelihoods and outcomes, that stretch far beyond the knowledge of the casual fan and bettor. You're naive if you think that they don't use these numbers to their advantage when creating a line, and attempting to influence the public to bet in a certain way.
 
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Posted: #10
Any time you can get Seattle under a TD at home you have to take it. Plus they're coming off a loss...Sign me up. This is a must win for Seattle...Plus a small revenge spot here as Zona beat them in Seattle last year. GL this week
 
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Posted: #11
yes cardinals ..... hawks not cover points
 
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Posted: #12
Max Unger is a huge loss for Seattle (just look at what happened to the Niners the 1st time they played without their center against a division foe). Don't get me wrong, I love Seattle but this damn Cardinals team keeps catching teams in great spots. After Unger left the game last week, Seattle's offense sputtered badly. If Seattle's D does not generate turnovers this will be a close game, which is why I teased Seattle.
 
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Posted: #13
BB, if you figure a close game, why not tease Arizona?
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

BB, if you figure a close game, why not tease Arizona?

Cause I am sick and tired of them catching all these teams in great spots. I've been waiting to fade them (for over a month) and I'm gonna do it here, even though I think they have a good chance to cover. 
 
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

Max Unger is a huge loss for Seattle (just look at what happened to the Niners the 1st time they played without their center against a division foe). Don't get me wrong, I love Seattle but this damn Cardinals team keeps catching teams in great spots. After Unger left the game last week, Seattle's offense sputtered badly. If Seattle's D does not generate turnovers this will be a close game, which is why I teased Seattle.

Losing any center in the middle of the game for any team is tough, even tougher on the road in Arrowhead.  Home field will be a huge difference for who ever takes over. I don't see this being a factor.
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