At first glance it appears Phillys pass defense sucks and their run defense is good, funnily enough it's the opposite.
Philly have played a pass heavy schedule, teams pass against them a league high 66.87% of the time, that of course means teams run against them a league low 33.13% of the time.
Yet when you dig a little deeper they only allow 6.9 yards per pass attempt, a respectable 12th in league. On the other hand they allow 4.7 yards per rush attempt, 21st in the league.
Bears are one of the most run heavy teams in the league, rushing on 46.2% of their offensive snaps.
Jordan Howard got it going late in the season and with Kyle Long back in week 17 he had his best game of the year, Nagy is going to feed him the rock all day and I expect him to easily clear the over 60.5 yards rushing prop on offer.
If you can get a Nick Foles vs Mitch Trubisky h2h passing prop I love Foles, while Bears have the better defense (both pass and run) Philly is a pass heavy team passing on 61.62% of their offensive snaps compared to just 53.8% for Chicago. Foles has been playing well and his average passing yards per game is way higher than Trubisky's (283 vs 230) so I'm not sure why some books are offering a h2h with Foles only slightly favored.
GL all
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
At first glance it appears Phillys pass defense sucks and their run defense is good, funnily enough it's the opposite.
Philly have played a pass heavy schedule, teams pass against them a league high 66.87% of the time, that of course means teams run against them a league low 33.13% of the time.
Yet when you dig a little deeper they only allow 6.9 yards per pass attempt, a respectable 12th in league. On the other hand they allow 4.7 yards per rush attempt, 21st in the league.
Bears are one of the most run heavy teams in the league, rushing on 46.2% of their offensive snaps.
Jordan Howard got it going late in the season and with Kyle Long back in week 17 he had his best game of the year, Nagy is going to feed him the rock all day and I expect him to easily clear the over 60.5 yards rushing prop on offer.
If you can get a Nick Foles vs Mitch Trubisky h2h passing prop I love Foles, while Bears have the better defense (both pass and run) Philly is a pass heavy team passing on 61.62% of their offensive snaps compared to just 53.8% for Chicago. Foles has been playing well and his average passing yards per game is way higher than Trubisky's (283 vs 230) so I'm not sure why some books are offering a h2h with Foles only slightly favored.
At first glance it appears Phillys pass defense sucks and their run defense is good, funnily enough it's the opposite.
Philly have played a pass heavy schedule, teams pass against them a league high 66.87% of the time, that of course means teams run against them a league low 33.13% of the time.
Yet when you dig a little deeper they only allow 6.9 yards per pass attempt, a respectable 12th in league. On the other hand they allow 4.7 yards per rush attempt, 21st in the league.
Bears are one of the most run heavy teams in the league, rushing on 46.2% of their offensive snaps.
Jordan Howard got it going late in the season and with Kyle Long back in week 17 he had his best game of the year, Nagy is going to feed him the rock all day and I expect him to easily clear the over 60.5 yards rushing prop on offer.
If you can get a Nick Foles vs Mitch Trubisky h2h passing prop I love Foles, while Bears have the better defense (both pass and run) Philly is a pass heavy team passing on 61.62% of their offensive snaps compared to just 53.8% for Chicago. Foles has been playing well and his average passing yards per game is way higher than Trubisky's (283 vs 230) so I'm not sure why some books are offering a h2h with Foles only slightly favored.
GL all
The reason is clear, my friend...
Nick Foles will not be finishing the day as QB in this game...
They have factored in that there is a significant chance that his ribs will not allow him to finish the game after the brutal hits he will be taking tomorrow...
I do so hope you have not made the wager yet...
However...I do like your other prop quite a bit...
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Quote Originally Posted by simple3:
At first glance it appears Phillys pass defense sucks and their run defense is good, funnily enough it's the opposite.
Philly have played a pass heavy schedule, teams pass against them a league high 66.87% of the time, that of course means teams run against them a league low 33.13% of the time.
Yet when you dig a little deeper they only allow 6.9 yards per pass attempt, a respectable 12th in league. On the other hand they allow 4.7 yards per rush attempt, 21st in the league.
Bears are one of the most run heavy teams in the league, rushing on 46.2% of their offensive snaps.
Jordan Howard got it going late in the season and with Kyle Long back in week 17 he had his best game of the year, Nagy is going to feed him the rock all day and I expect him to easily clear the over 60.5 yards rushing prop on offer.
If you can get a Nick Foles vs Mitch Trubisky h2h passing prop I love Foles, while Bears have the better defense (both pass and run) Philly is a pass heavy team passing on 61.62% of their offensive snaps compared to just 53.8% for Chicago. Foles has been playing well and his average passing yards per game is way higher than Trubisky's (283 vs 230) so I'm not sure why some books are offering a h2h with Foles only slightly favored.
GL all
The reason is clear, my friend...
Nick Foles will not be finishing the day as QB in this game...
They have factored in that there is a significant chance that his ribs will not allow him to finish the game after the brutal hits he will be taking tomorrow...
I do so hope you have not made the wager yet...
However...I do like your other prop quite a bit...
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