This line makes zero sense. Dolphins are #1 in scoring avg 37ppg and Giants are dead last avg only 11 ppg. The Giants had 11 days to come up with a game plan for MNF and only mustard to put up 3 points to a bottom 5 defense at home. Now they have to travel to Miami on short rest vs the number one offense with a blow out loss lingering in their locker room. Action network has 97% of the money on Miami (can't blame them). I understand at the end of the day they're professional football players but not all teams are equal. When the line seems to good to be true, it usually is, so i'll prob stay away from this game.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This line makes zero sense. Dolphins are #1 in scoring avg 37ppg and Giants are dead last avg only 11 ppg. The Giants had 11 days to come up with a game plan for MNF and only mustard to put up 3 points to a bottom 5 defense at home. Now they have to travel to Miami on short rest vs the number one offense with a blow out loss lingering in their locker room. Action network has 97% of the money on Miami (can't blame them). I understand at the end of the day they're professional football players but not all teams are equal. When the line seems to good to be true, it usually is, so i'll prob stay away from this game.
You talk like the line is small. 11 point spreads are enormous in the NFL. 31-20 type prediction which is reasonable. Dolphins cornerbacks can be had if they let Danny throw more than 7 yards downfield . With all that being said don’t think the giants cover lol
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You talk like the line is small. 11 point spreads are enormous in the NFL. 31-20 type prediction which is reasonable. Dolphins cornerbacks can be had if they let Danny throw more than 7 yards downfield . With all that being said don’t think the giants cover lol
This line makes zero sense. Dolphins are #1 in scoring avg 37ppg and Giants are dead last avg only 11 ppg. The Giants had 11 days to come up with a game plan for MNF and only mustard to put up 3 points to a bottom 5 defense at home. Now they have to travel to Miami on short rest vs the number one offense with a blow out loss lingering in their locker room. Action network has 97% of the money on Miami (can't blame them). I understand at the end of the day they're professional football players but not all teams are equal. When the line [spread] seems to good to be true, it usually is, so i'll prob stay away from this game.
You raise some good points......but there's an alternative: moneyline bet.
On Monday I went heavy ML on the Dolphins at -450 (at that time) I would likely still do it today at worse juice - and am considering the spread now too!
Consider this,
Miami is a top tier team FOR SURE! (based on performance - not wins & losses only) ....and this GOOD TEAM is coming off a loss, returning HOME, with a chance to redeem themselves against a weakling!
They will enter this HOME GAME against the weakass GIANTS, with a solid +31 pt differential thru 4 games - when 3 of those were ON THE ROAD!!! And in DOLPHINS only home game so far, they faced Denver who are equally as bad as the Giants - and whupped them 70 - 20....and THAT was without their #2 top receiver, Waddle, who they now have back!
Meanwhile, we all watched the Giants debacle on MNF. Pathetic. AT HOME no less! But they entered that match (against a slightly better than avg Seahawks squad) with an NFL second worst pt differential of-55 -- having already been routed by two other top tier teams (Dallas, Niners) before yielding an additional -21 points to their already dreadful pt diff to Seahawks....
They now own the WORST pt differential in the league, by far, at -76 ...even worse than Denver and Chicago!
Of course, flukes can and DO occur from time to time and it could happen in Miami - with a top teams facing the worst team. But I'm willing to risk my money on the odds that it is very unlikely....
4
Quote Originally Posted by lenchoone:
This line makes zero sense. Dolphins are #1 in scoring avg 37ppg and Giants are dead last avg only 11 ppg. The Giants had 11 days to come up with a game plan for MNF and only mustard to put up 3 points to a bottom 5 defense at home. Now they have to travel to Miami on short rest vs the number one offense with a blow out loss lingering in their locker room. Action network has 97% of the money on Miami (can't blame them). I understand at the end of the day they're professional football players but not all teams are equal. When the line [spread] seems to good to be true, it usually is, so i'll prob stay away from this game.
You raise some good points......but there's an alternative: moneyline bet.
On Monday I went heavy ML on the Dolphins at -450 (at that time) I would likely still do it today at worse juice - and am considering the spread now too!
Consider this,
Miami is a top tier team FOR SURE! (based on performance - not wins & losses only) ....and this GOOD TEAM is coming off a loss, returning HOME, with a chance to redeem themselves against a weakling!
They will enter this HOME GAME against the weakass GIANTS, with a solid +31 pt differential thru 4 games - when 3 of those were ON THE ROAD!!! And in DOLPHINS only home game so far, they faced Denver who are equally as bad as the Giants - and whupped them 70 - 20....and THAT was without their #2 top receiver, Waddle, who they now have back!
Meanwhile, we all watched the Giants debacle on MNF. Pathetic. AT HOME no less! But they entered that match (against a slightly better than avg Seahawks squad) with an NFL second worst pt differential of-55 -- having already been routed by two other top tier teams (Dallas, Niners) before yielding an additional -21 points to their already dreadful pt diff to Seahawks....
They now own the WORST pt differential in the league, by far, at -76 ...even worse than Denver and Chicago!
Of course, flukes can and DO occur from time to time and it could happen in Miami - with a top teams facing the worst team. But I'm willing to risk my money on the odds that it is very unlikely....
You raise some good points......but there's an alternative: moneyline bet. On Monday I went heavy ML on the Dolphins at -450 (at that time) I would likely still do it today at worse juice - and am considering the spread now too! Consider this, Miami is a top tier team FOR SURE! (based on performance - not wins & losses only) ....and this GOOD TEAM is coming off a loss, returning HOME, with a chance to redeem themselves against a weakling! They will enter this HOME GAME against the weakass GIANTS, with a solid +31 pt differential thru 4 games - when 3 of those were ON THE ROAD!!! And in DOLPHINS only home game so far, they faced Denver who are equally as bad as the Giants - and whupped them 70 - 20....and THAT was without their #2 top receiver, Waddle, who they now have back! Meanwhile, we all watched the Giants debacle on MNF. Pathetic. AT HOME no less! But they entered that match (against a slightly better than avg Seahawks squad) with an NFL second worst pt differential of -55 -- having already been routed by two other top tier teams (Dallas, Niners) before yielding an additional -21 points to their already dreadful pt diff to Seahawks.... They now own the WORST pt differential in the league, by far, at -76 ...even worse than Denver and Chicago! Of course, flukes can and DO occur from time to time and it could happen in Miami - with a top teams facing the worst team. But I'm willing to risk my money on the odds that it is very unlikely....
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
You raise some good points......but there's an alternative: moneyline bet. On Monday I went heavy ML on the Dolphins at -450 (at that time) I would likely still do it today at worse juice - and am considering the spread now too! Consider this, Miami is a top tier team FOR SURE! (based on performance - not wins & losses only) ....and this GOOD TEAM is coming off a loss, returning HOME, with a chance to redeem themselves against a weakling! They will enter this HOME GAME against the weakass GIANTS, with a solid +31 pt differential thru 4 games - when 3 of those were ON THE ROAD!!! And in DOLPHINS only home game so far, they faced Denver who are equally as bad as the Giants - and whupped them 70 - 20....and THAT was without their #2 top receiver, Waddle, who they now have back! Meanwhile, we all watched the Giants debacle on MNF. Pathetic. AT HOME no less! But they entered that match (against a slightly better than avg Seahawks squad) with an NFL second worst pt differential of -55 -- having already been routed by two other top tier teams (Dallas, Niners) before yielding an additional -21 points to their already dreadful pt diff to Seahawks.... They now own the WORST pt differential in the league, by far, at -76 ...even worse than Denver and Chicago! Of course, flukes can and DO occur from time to time and it could happen in Miami - with a top teams facing the worst team. But I'm willing to risk my money on the odds that it is very unlikely....
Bills coming off huge performance and win vs. the Division rival everyone was "crowning" after 3 weeks and having to travel across the pond to play in London versus a not terrible Jags team that has played and been practicing in London since last Friday. Allen's first time over there and Bills first time since 2015. May not mean anything but just curious what you like about Bills covering the 5.5 ??
Thank you America
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Quote Originally Posted by SuckmyRick:
Bills -5.5 @930am London. Love it
What do you "love" exactly about this game?
Bills coming off huge performance and win vs. the Division rival everyone was "crowning" after 3 weeks and having to travel across the pond to play in London versus a not terrible Jags team that has played and been practicing in London since last Friday. Allen's first time over there and Bills first time since 2015. May not mean anything but just curious what you like about Bills covering the 5.5 ??
perfect patsy for dolphins another defense that cant stop any one with a BAD O line lost top RB Saquan it's the thought that last year Giants made playoffs but they got in weak subbie bottom ranked s o s ranked 28th in league as was the whole nfc east ranked in bottom was h dallas eagles 31st
miami d will make jones eat turf might score a TD also
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perfect patsy for dolphins another defense that cant stop any one with a BAD O line lost top RB Saquan it's the thought that last year Giants made playoffs but they got in weak subbie bottom ranked s o s ranked 28th in league as was the whole nfc east ranked in bottom was h dallas eagles 31st
miami d will make jones eat turf might score a TD also
worst thing in nfl is knee jerk reactions Cowboys wins huge vs 2 pathetic bottom feeders Giants 40-0 Jets 30-10 then go on road as -13.5 chalk to not so bad cardinals team n s/u losses 28-16
week 3 Saints +2 cover at packers losing 17-18 week 4 home -3.5 get hammered by rival bucs 26-9
wk 3 colts +8.5 @ ravens win 22-19 week 4 home -1.5 lose to rams in ot 29-23
wk 2 wash +3.5 @ DEner wins 35-33 week 3 home +6.5 get croaked by Bills 37-3
2
worst thing in nfl is knee jerk reactions Cowboys wins huge vs 2 pathetic bottom feeders Giants 40-0 Jets 30-10 then go on road as -13.5 chalk to not so bad cardinals team n s/u losses 28-16
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Miami is a top tier team FOR SURE! (based on performance - not wins & losses only) ....and this GOOD TEAM is coming off a loss, returning HOME, with a chance to redeem themselves against a weakling!
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