We hit Sea and followed that up with the Rams. Let's see if we can get it today. Let's look at some numbers:
9.5 Buff 6 8 16 9 4 24
LAC 27 10 18 30 21 11
Buff opens up at -9.5, has jumped to 13 and currently at Heritage it's 12. Buff is better in Off rushing, off passing, Def rushing, Def Passing (9 vs30), Sagarin Rank at 4 vs 21. LAC are better in sched strength at 11 vs 24.
Once again just because one team dominates another is not WHY you take them, you need to peel the onion back and look deeper at previous games with an opening line of 9.5 and the above scenario.
I go to my data base and found 5 games with this scenario. In 2 of those games one was a tie and the other the home team covered (21-18). In the other 3 the away team dominated - final scores - 59-37; 27-3 and the most recent was when Dallas beat Carolina 33-10. The Buff game falls in line with the last 3 games of history vice the 2 where the home team covered - when you look deeper into the numbers. My money is on Buff -12.
We hit Sea and followed that up with the Rams. Let's see if we can get it today. Let's look at some numbers:
9.5 Buff 6 8 16 9 4 24
LAC 27 10 18 30 21 11
Buff opens up at -9.5, has jumped to 13 and currently at Heritage it's 12. Buff is better in Off rushing, off passing, Def rushing, Def Passing (9 vs30), Sagarin Rank at 4 vs 21. LAC are better in sched strength at 11 vs 24.
Once again just because one team dominates another is not WHY you take them, you need to peel the onion back and look deeper at previous games with an opening line of 9.5 and the above scenario.
I go to my data base and found 5 games with this scenario. In 2 of those games one was a tie and the other the home team covered (21-18). In the other 3 the away team dominated - final scores - 59-37; 27-3 and the most recent was when Dallas beat Carolina 33-10. The Buff game falls in line with the last 3 games of history vice the 2 where the home team covered - when you look deeper into the numbers. My money is on Buff -12.
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