Can someone explain on how the pats line dropped?

Question

i had it at -5 on my book and i saw it to -4...i am going to pound the pats this week but something fishy going on here?&#xD;&#xA;anyone know what the deal could be?

Marky_Mark13 · Answer

i had it at -5 on my book and i saw it to -4...i am going to pound the pats this week but something fishy going on here?&#xD;&#xA;anyone know what the deal could be?

Maydaymalone · Answer

You didnt think the -5 was fishy at all then you should go for -4

Maydaymalone · Answer

N.E is 1-3-1 ATS on the road this year.Miami is pretty tough at home.

powerade · Answer

1 pt move isn&#x27;t anything alarming IMO

choiOi · Answer

Pretty simple IMO...cause $$$ is coming in on Miami,,enough to move it a full pt.

K4ngur13 · Answer

Investors are hitting both sides FYIMiami is the better play, but now we got them locked from both sides at 3,4,5 .  Looking for the middle.  Hope this explained it all.

dillon24 · Answer

i seen one play in the saints game,,they blindfolded all the receivers and told them to go deep and put your hands in the air.. they scored 3tds on that play alone. pats defense sucks period. not sure the miami offense can hang but i can see a 3pt game here

patslover · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;bookies lower the line to see % bets on pats, as public will load up. Tomorow I wouldnt surprise to see the line move to NE -5 or 6 to even out % bets on miami. Dont be worried about it. NE should crush miami on this game, especially after jets won ystd. and bb will run up the score to get better standings in case of tie

CalBear · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;I&#x27;m willing to bet that is not the case.....the public will be all over NE...in fact, covers shows 74% on NE.

kevin2565 · Answer

I dont know where some people are getting there information but NE is getting pounded 90% are on NE spread and 70% are on NE ML

K4ngur13 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by patslover]  &#xD;&#xA;bookies lower the line to see % bets on pats, as public will load up. Tomorow I wouldnt surprise to see the line move to NE -5 or 6 to even out % bets on miami. Dont be worried about it. NE should crush miami on this game, especially after jets won ystd. and bb will run up the score to get better standings in case of tie&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;   [/Quote] ha

K4ngur13 · Answer

This is the time where population gets crushed.

CalBear · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by kevin2565] I dont know where some people are getting there information but NE is getting pounded 90% are on NE spread and 70% are on NE ML&#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;That avatar is hilarious I remember seeing it for the first time on TV....couldn&#x27;t stop laughing.

theclaw · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by CalBear] &#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;I&#x27;m willing to bet that is not the case.....the public will be all over NE...in fact, covers shows 74% on NE. &#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;74% is the number of bets, not the amount of money, the larger bets are coming in on Miami hence the number goes down.

kevin2565 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by CalBear]  &#xD;&#xA;That avatar is hilarious I remember seeing it for the first time on TV....couldn&#x27;t stop laughing.   [/Quote]

kevin2565 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by theclaw]  &#xD;&#xA;74% is the number of bets, not the amount of money, the larger bets are coming in on Miami hence the number goes down.  [/Quote]Yes the percentage is the number of bets not the actual percent of money. But there is no real way to track that, you can argue that the line moves with the money and that is true in most cases but sometimes Vegas likes to do a reverse line movement. Not saying thats the case here but it can always be a possibility.

kevin2565 · Answer

And now the lines off the board from most online books.

kevin2565 · Answer

are off the boards*

Marky_Mark13 · Answer

brady was dealing with a finger injury, thats why the line moved up and down.&#xD;&#xA;belichick should be fired

Can someone explain on how the pats line dropped?

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