Posted:
#1
I will make it short
Seattle -7..
Rodgers is my favorite QB but this is why I am taking Seattle
Seattle doesn't need to run effectively to move the ball.. There passing game beat Carolina.. If that doesn't work out that well with Packers, they will simply run Wilson enough to get first downs. One safety on top and have a spy on Wilson will force 1 on 1 throughout the field and you saw what Wilson did the last month and a half. An unhealthy Rodgers wont get the job done..
Rodgers has beaten nobody on the road... Bears, Vikings, Bucs and last second vs Dolphins.. He is superman at Lambeau and human on the road.. Also..
Seahawks as a #1 seed are 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS only SU loss was to Steelers in SB
Patriots as a #1 seed under Brady Belicheck is 7-4 SU and 2-9 ATS.. This includes 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in SBs.
They have won 5 games where they didn't cover the spread..
Also Brady is 0-5 ATS in last 5 AFC Championship games..
I will buy up to +7 if i have to..
No way Patriots win by 7 or more.. They may lose this game..
Colts finally playing defense now.. They saved it for the playoffs.
This may come down to last possession..
I will lock in $500 each right now..
May put another $500 in second half if its a favorable line vs -7
Seattle is a second half team..
Also if Seattle does cover I will slap at least another $500 on top of Indy game..
If I tease I would go Sea -1 and under 53.5 or Indy +13
My score predictions are
Sea 28-13
Indy 24-22
Public is pounding the over on the New England game.. My gut is it will start slow and never pick up to a high scoring pace as anticipated.
Good luck..
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