Chiefs -3

Mahomes owns the Ravens and this Ravens team appears to be weaker then squads of recent years. Up to 3.5 at most spots but it's playable up to 4. Thoughts?

It's a good bet. Ravens are a running team and they lost their top 2 RBs. Chiefs have won I think last 4 against the Ravens.

They have their number.

NFL dogs that open at +3 have the highest historical coverage rate. That’s a scary line. 

wait to see what happens with covid....its gonna pop up for basically every team this year

@HeadOverHeart

 Pretty sure that was the opening line last year, 14 point Chiefs win. And what's with 2 years in a row in BAL? No luv for KC that's for sure

Chiefs were dog last year in Baltimore. Home team was -3, -3.5. complete reversal now. It's warranted. Ravens gonna need to do some soul searching... 

@Digitalkarma

 You are correct, my bad. Guess I better stick to just posting winners

@Digitalkarma

 I remember fumbling twice in a high school game just like yesterday. You focus better in regards to protecting the ball but you run more "cautiously" too. You're thinking instead of just reacting. Not saying that will happen to Lamar but worth paying attention to.

Not regarding Lamar but to your point, I think the worst thing a coach can do is bench a young RB for a fumble. I truly believe it makes them become game slower and more likely to drop on contact rather than break a tackle and keep going. You don't want to coach aggressive running out of your RB. I'd take my chances with a fumble prone Barry Sanders over a secure plodder like Frank Gore every time.

@Getty3

  couldn't agree with you more

@mrusso

 the 2 before were in KC...

@bigred84

 Thx,18 and 19 seasons. You would think they would alternate each year or each time they play. 

I personally think Chiefs are on a mission to win every game this year. Mahomes in March said “the only record i have my eye on breaking is 20-0”. 

Interpreting this quote many will have different opinions on it. I think him saying this means alot. Yea he tried to backpedal on it after but I dont buy it. Superstar Qbs are very careful on their choice of words. I think he is dead serious and Andy is the type to go for it. Theyll smell blood in the water with this wounded ravens team. Carr carved that d up pretty good. Mahomes wont have any issues. Chiefs -3 

On the other hand you dont think Tom heard that quote and knows he said this. Especially with what happened to the Pats that special year. You better believe he absolutely heard it. I have a sneak feeling this will be a special season with both these teams being undefeated late in the year and who knows if either will be able to pull it off but the media hype will be insane “which one of these teams will lose first?” 

@HeadOverHeart

 Ravens opened at 2.5 in most spots. Coming off a tough overtime loss and having to play the Chiefs in this spot is as tough as it gets. Have a hunch the Chiefs lay the wood come Sunday.

Game was a PK em at Superbook back in the summer. Probably will close at 4.5

KC 2-10 ATS last 12 games including playoffs.....  

What were their 2 covers in this current stretch?

-2.5 @ Saints and -3 vs. Bills

Only time KC had been a favorite of 3 or less (or a Dog) they've covered (except Super Bowl)... they had a -3.5 though with Tampa on the road last year and lost by the hook.  Those of us who got KC -2.5 or -3 before the Raiders game are  

Line is creeping up to 4 at some spots. Guessing the line closes at 4 or maybe 4.5.

Chiefs seem like the obvious play, line hasn't moved, feels fishy and seems like one of those scenarios where everyone takes the Chiefs and the books clean house

@CalBear2009

 Chiefs opened at 2.5 and bet up to 3 after the Ravens lost to the Raiders. The line then moved to 3.5 and now 4 at some spots. The line has been on the move and could close at 4.5.