Cincy/Balty 2 Things I've learned about a game like this

1.Games are always tight in AFC North Division games.

2. It's always a coinflip as to who wins. 

So I take the points when its over 3. 

Sure the Ravens have been smashing through teams and playing lights out defense (aside from last week's 4thQ meltdown against the Browns) ,

But the Bengals dumped 31 pts on the vaunted San Fran defense when none else in the league has been able to put more than 23 on them. If they could put up 31 on 49ers IN San Fran, then they can def put up points on this Ravens D plus are missing a few starters on D. 

Yeah T Higgins is injured but this is Joe Burrow he can mix it up and throw it to anyone. 

Bengals need this game really bad. They are 0-2 in the Division and they already lost to the Ravens once.

I think this is their's to take. I also predict they win the game but I'll take the +3.5 Bengals 

 YES I agree 100%, BOL to us.

@Win4You

you have to account for Burrows right hand injury. He was seen wearing a brace on his right hand getting off the bus at the airport

@lennon65

 Buy bad “news” sell good

wow. super useful. games are tight. games are a coinflip. i will footnote you when i quote this flash of briliance of yours.

Bengals  

@lennon65

 This is a big question mark, but if his hand was that bad it would be reflected in the line. It certainly wouldn't be at only 3.5! Burrows hand is worth at least several points. You better believe the books get this info well before us. 

@billsneedhelp

 the injury was reflected in 2nd half against Hou.

im buying the 1/2 to -3 and under 46.5

dont mean to post my play in your thread.

BOL To You

@billsneedhelp

 Totally agree and the Bengals' D is middle of the pack in points allowed (21) which is the biggest defensive stat of all IMO. 

@lennon65

 I didn't see that game or see Burrow listed as questionable with a hand injury. I would think there would be more talk about it other than some video leaking about him wearing a brace at the airport.

Your assertions are not exactly correct.

Of the 10 lasts meeting between these two - 8 games have been decided by 7 or more points. Only the game earlier (BAL by 3) and last year's meeting in Baltimore (BAL by 2) where by a FG or less. Granted, the first two in that 10 games streak were before Burrow's time - but the conventional wisdom here is that these games are always close and that is not what the data shows decisively.

Bengals also missing Sam Hubbard. That's a big hit on the D.  Hendrickson is playing but i doubt he's 100%. With Tee out Burrow still has chase. If chase is covered he has Boyd, Irwin, and last weeks favorite Hudson. I was at the first game when Bengals Lost. I don't see them losing both games to the Ravens. This is a HUGE game. Loser is 2 in a row. Over probably a safer bet than a side BUT it;s a prime time game which have been unders  might just watch it

Sound reasoning but I am on the Ravens, GL