I seriously cannot see an Under play here. Kapernick has gone over this total in every single Playoff game in his career.
Carolina gave up just under 210 yards a game passing in the regular season, but as we all know, the Playoffs are a different beast and SF is better than most of Carolina's competition this season.
Can someone give an argument for the Under here because I just can't see one.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I seriously cannot see an Under play here. Kapernick has gone over this total in every single Playoff game in his career.
Carolina gave up just under 210 yards a game passing in the regular season, but as we all know, the Playoffs are a different beast and SF is better than most of Carolina's competition this season.
Can someone give an argument for the Under here because I just can't see one.
I think more times than not he goes over 200, but not by much. He is not going to end up with a lot of time in the pocket, so could see him making more big running plays than passing.
But again I like the play....our secondary is the most vulnerable part of the defense.
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I think more times than not he goes over 200, but not by much. He is not going to end up with a lot of time in the pocket, so could see him making more big running plays than passing.
But again I like the play....our secondary is the most vulnerable part of the defense.
1 huge catch by Vernon for about 50-60 yards Crabtree with a 40 yarder plus about 4 other catches over 10 yards a piece, Bolden at least 2 grabs over 17 yards a piece. I think he is good for about 225 or so
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1 huge catch by Vernon for about 50-60 yards Crabtree with a 40 yarder plus about 4 other catches over 10 yards a piece, Bolden at least 2 grabs over 17 yards a piece. I think he is good for about 225 or so
One thing I was thinking with this prop was that I reckoned Kapernick would get at least one big bomb up on the Carolina secondary. That would be a huge chuck of the 211 needed to hit the Over.
You have to reckon Carolina WILL BE CONCENTRATING on the run and keeping an extra LB as a QB spy.....which only helps to open up those passing lanes.
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Thank you for the insight everyone.
One thing I was thinking with this prop was that I reckoned Kapernick would get at least one big bomb up on the Carolina secondary. That would be a huge chuck of the 211 needed to hit the Over.
You have to reckon Carolina WILL BE CONCENTRATING on the run and keeping an extra LB as a QB spy.....which only helps to open up those passing lanes.
Over. Has all his receivers back, has gotten a look at this D already and the line is taking into account the public's misconception that Kap is struggling this year blah blah blah. I predict 250 yards, 2 passing TD's plus another 60 yards with his feet.
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Over. Has all his receivers back, has gotten a look at this D already and the line is taking into account the public's misconception that Kap is struggling this year blah blah blah. I predict 250 yards, 2 passing TD's plus another 60 yards with his feet.
Over. Has all his receivers back, has gotten a look at this D already and the line is taking into account the public's misconception that Kap is struggling this year blah blah blah. I predict 250 yards, 2 passing TD's plus another 60 yards with his feet.
Carolina gave up 213.3 yards per game this year. Only 3x did they allow a 300 yd passer (Wilson Week 1, Brees, and Tannehlill, thanks to a 53 yard td pass to the fastest wr in the NFL).
Kaepernick was 11-22, for 91 yards in their previous meeting. They didnt have Davis for much of it and didnt have Crabtree, but still 115 yards short.
You have to ask yourself, how many attempts will he have? This is going to be a ground and pound game with a lot of punts from both teams. Both defenses are awesome. 49ers have to game plan by kaeps legs and gore's legs.
Im just giving my opinion. Not trying to sway your bet. But unless SF gets down a lot early, which I dont think will happen, I dont see Kap having over 25 attempts all game. Considering he completes around 55% of his attempts- that would mean if he has 25 attempts, 15 for completions would have to go for 14 yards per attempt. His average completion is 7 yards!
This bet looks enticing on paper, but I would pass, personally.
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Quote Originally Posted by GekkoPie:
Over. Has all his receivers back, has gotten a look at this D already and the line is taking into account the public's misconception that Kap is struggling this year blah blah blah. I predict 250 yards, 2 passing TD's plus another 60 yards with his feet.
Carolina gave up 213.3 yards per game this year. Only 3x did they allow a 300 yd passer (Wilson Week 1, Brees, and Tannehlill, thanks to a 53 yard td pass to the fastest wr in the NFL).
Kaepernick was 11-22, for 91 yards in their previous meeting. They didnt have Davis for much of it and didnt have Crabtree, but still 115 yards short.
You have to ask yourself, how many attempts will he have? This is going to be a ground and pound game with a lot of punts from both teams. Both defenses are awesome. 49ers have to game plan by kaeps legs and gore's legs.
Im just giving my opinion. Not trying to sway your bet. But unless SF gets down a lot early, which I dont think will happen, I dont see Kap having over 25 attempts all game. Considering he completes around 55% of his attempts- that would mean if he has 25 attempts, 15 for completions would have to go for 14 yards per attempt. His average completion is 7 yards!
This bet looks enticing on paper, but I would pass, personally.
now that's a breakdown for u. Good job .Would love to hear your break down on the game itself FITCH
Buddy I wish it were that easy capping this game, but I believe these teams are so close to each other in so many ways. I will say this... this game will be decided by special teams play. I see it as many do, a defensive game and a battle for field position. I give the edge to SF at RB, QBs are even as I see Cam the better overall QB but minus Steve Smith Kaep has better weapons. Defeneses are both so strong.
I really can't pick a side with confidence here. I really like the under but I got it earlier at 43.
I stated previously I hate siding in a NFL game when it isnt an elite QB. Kaep and Newton are both dynamic, but neither, to me, is anything near a Brees, Rodgers, Peyton, Brady. Neirther can overcome a great game plan, check down, go through porgressions all that well. More FGs than TDs in this game...
Good Luck!
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Quote Originally Posted by MTFN50:
now that's a breakdown for u. Good job .Would love to hear your break down on the game itself FITCH
Buddy I wish it were that easy capping this game, but I believe these teams are so close to each other in so many ways. I will say this... this game will be decided by special teams play. I see it as many do, a defensive game and a battle for field position. I give the edge to SF at RB, QBs are even as I see Cam the better overall QB but minus Steve Smith Kaep has better weapons. Defeneses are both so strong.
I really can't pick a side with confidence here. I really like the under but I got it earlier at 43.
I stated previously I hate siding in a NFL game when it isnt an elite QB. Kaep and Newton are both dynamic, but neither, to me, is anything near a Brees, Rodgers, Peyton, Brady. Neirther can overcome a great game plan, check down, go through porgressions all that well. More FGs than TDs in this game...
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