Had a nice week, went 4-1-1 +292...Vikes were my one blemish.
YTD 31-24-3 (56.36%) +$554
Sadly no Patriots this week to cash on haha, but let's keep making money
Played some early lines before it moved as it did already
Broncos +1 52.25/50
Raiders are much better on the road than at home. Broncos own the series lately as they are 5-1 last 3 years against them. The only loss was last matchup. Broncos still have the same solid defense and Raiders defense give up alot of yardage. The Broncos shut down WRs which would be the Raiders' strength. I think Siemien will do well as they basically have him being a game manager and throwing high % passes. Oakland is 0-5 ATS last 5 at home
Broncos are 4-1 ATS vs Raiders
Saints -3 57.5/50
Saints have been playing much better on the road than they have in the past seasons. This is a great offense that can put numbers up on the board. The defense should make some stops vs the Niners who are just terrible.
Saints are 5-0 ATS last 5 on the road
49ers are 0-5 ATS last 5 games
Falcons -3 110/100
They beat the Packers and held off a final drive. I think this team is driven to not meltdown like the last two seasons. Sanu and Mack have been a good pick up for this offense. Anyways they lost the last 3 games against the Bucs...you know they want revenge. The defense has been looking good enough that I think they will take advantage of Winston moments of ineffectiveness. Bucs just played an OT game down to the wire and loss and now playing on short rest. It bodes well for Falcons
Favorites in this matchup are 19-3 last 22
Buccaneers are 1-9 SU last 10 at home vs winning record
Falcons are 5-0 ATS last 5 road while Bucs are 0-5 ATS last 5 at home
(I kinda like the under in this game too....short week thursday trend)
More picks will come later on....
BOL to all!
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Had a nice week, went 4-1-1 +292...Vikes were my one blemish.
YTD 31-24-3 (56.36%) +$554
Sadly no Patriots this week to cash on haha, but let's keep making money
Played some early lines before it moved as it did already
Broncos +1 52.25/50
Raiders are much better on the road than at home. Broncos own the series lately as they are 5-1 last 3 years against them. The only loss was last matchup. Broncos still have the same solid defense and Raiders defense give up alot of yardage. The Broncos shut down WRs which would be the Raiders' strength. I think Siemien will do well as they basically have him being a game manager and throwing high % passes. Oakland is 0-5 ATS last 5 at home
Broncos are 4-1 ATS vs Raiders
Saints -3 57.5/50
Saints have been playing much better on the road than they have in the past seasons. This is a great offense that can put numbers up on the board. The defense should make some stops vs the Niners who are just terrible.
Saints are 5-0 ATS last 5 on the road
49ers are 0-5 ATS last 5 games
Falcons -3 110/100
They beat the Packers and held off a final drive. I think this team is driven to not meltdown like the last two seasons. Sanu and Mack have been a good pick up for this offense. Anyways they lost the last 3 games against the Bucs...you know they want revenge. The defense has been looking good enough that I think they will take advantage of Winston moments of ineffectiveness. Bucs just played an OT game down to the wire and loss and now playing on short rest. It bodes well for Falcons
Favorites in this matchup are 19-3 last 22
Buccaneers are 1-9 SU last 10 at home vs winning record
Falcons are 5-0 ATS last 5 road while Bucs are 0-5 ATS last 5 at home
(I kinda like the under in this game too....short week thursday trend)
GL on the saints. This line is just silly--should be 6-7 and will prob. end up close to that. I want to hear someone make a case to bet SF here and the saints D. has been very good the last 2 games other than the 1st Q. vs the chiefs and prob. will have their best corner back for this 1 after being out since wk 1.
NO 34 SF 13
0
GL on the saints. This line is just silly--should be 6-7 and will prob. end up close to that. I want to hear someone make a case to bet SF here and the saints D. has been very good the last 2 games other than the 1st Q. vs the chiefs and prob. will have their best corner back for this 1 after being out since wk 1.
Pittsburgh...line has been taken off before I can jump on it at +2.5. If anything under -3 I like them. But if Big Ben comes back it's probably going to be higher. But I may still like it.
Colts +7...if it jumps to 7.5 I like it even more. Should be a close game. Packers are missing DBs and an actual RB...hard to giving 7 without a run game although Rodgers is hot.
Miami/Jets Under 43 or 44....early, but saw the weather is supposed to be windy (15-16 mph) and raining. Sloppy football which should mean low scores.
Thanks Keven, GL as well. Only scary thing is 49ers are 4-0-1 ATS last 5 against Saints =/
.
0
Porcelain, these are leans I have
Pittsburgh...line has been taken off before I can jump on it at +2.5. If anything under -3 I like them. But if Big Ben comes back it's probably going to be higher. But I may still like it.
Colts +7...if it jumps to 7.5 I like it even more. Should be a close game. Packers are missing DBs and an actual RB...hard to giving 7 without a run game although Rodgers is hot.
Miami/Jets Under 43 or 44....early, but saw the weather is supposed to be windy (15-16 mph) and raining. Sloppy football which should mean low scores.
Thanks Keven, GL as well. Only scary thing is 49ers are 4-0-1 ATS last 5 against Saints =/
Before I post, interesting stuff here to know that probably helped me jump on these games.
Underdogs in divisional games are 78-52-7 ATS since last season (60% clip).
Over has been 67-51-3 for this season so far. Respectable 56.77%.
Eagles +3.5 82.5/50 (bought the point)
Solid Defense and Eli Manning....usually a win for the defense. Giants have weapons at WRs but no run game. Don't think Giants will dominate Eagles in any way. Eagles probably should've won against the Cowboys but didn't, they will be looking to bounce back and need to better their divisional record.
Giants are 1-4 ATS last 5 after the bye
Underdogs in NFC East are 11-5-1 ATS since last season in divisional games
Eagles are 9-1 SU/ATS against Giants on the road
Jets -3.5 52.5/50
I feel this is just a gritty game that is decided by a FG, getting the 1/2 for free is solid. Fitzpatrick has been better with the ball and will probably stay that way. I'm still not sold on Ajayi especially against the strong run defense of the Jets.
Jets are 9-3 SU in last 12 vs teams with losing records
Dolphins are 2-8 SU last 10 vs AFL East
Dolphins are 1-5 ATS after bye, 2-10 ATS last 12 as favorite
Jets are 5-0 ATS last 5 against the Fins (one game the Jets by a FG)
I probably still have other plays but waiting on injuries and a posted line (Steelers)
0
Falcons
Couple of plays
Before I post, interesting stuff here to know that probably helped me jump on these games.
Underdogs in divisional games are 78-52-7 ATS since last season (60% clip).
Over has been 67-51-3 for this season so far. Respectable 56.77%.
Eagles +3.5 82.5/50 (bought the point)
Solid Defense and Eli Manning....usually a win for the defense. Giants have weapons at WRs but no run game. Don't think Giants will dominate Eagles in any way. Eagles probably should've won against the Cowboys but didn't, they will be looking to bounce back and need to better their divisional record.
Giants are 1-4 ATS last 5 after the bye
Underdogs in NFC East are 11-5-1 ATS since last season in divisional games
Eagles are 9-1 SU/ATS against Giants on the road
Jets -3.5 52.5/50
I feel this is just a gritty game that is decided by a FG, getting the 1/2 for free is solid. Fitzpatrick has been better with the ball and will probably stay that way. I'm still not sold on Ajayi especially against the strong run defense of the Jets.
Jets are 9-3 SU in last 12 vs teams with losing records
Dolphins are 2-8 SU last 10 vs AFL East
Dolphins are 1-5 ATS after bye, 2-10 ATS last 12 as favorite
Jets are 5-0 ATS last 5 against the Fins (one game the Jets by a FG)
I probably still have other plays but waiting on injuries and a posted line (Steelers)
I just can't seem to pull the trigger on the Saints, especially on the road. Yes, they have been better but sometimes there are those teams that you cap the game perfectly and they still manage to somehow screw you over. The Saints are usually that team for me. Getting a 9er team at home that can only score points and not really stop anyone. The Saints have always been that team that can't stop anyone, and always seem to lose the games that they should be winning. May just stay away or tease the over.
The Broncos have yet to play against an O-line that the Raiders have. This is the measuring stick game for Oakland and they will show up to this one. This is their most important game since the 2002 Super Bowl. I am a Raider fan, which means I never bet their games. Rule #1 you never bet for or against your team because they will find a way to ruin your day. Barely even bet the totals on the Raider games. If the Raiders can pressure Siemian (spellcheck??) then they just might have a shot. Quick passes to erase Von Miller and they can pull this game out. We all know the offense that Denver has which isn't much.
0
I just can't seem to pull the trigger on the Saints, especially on the road. Yes, they have been better but sometimes there are those teams that you cap the game perfectly and they still manage to somehow screw you over. The Saints are usually that team for me. Getting a 9er team at home that can only score points and not really stop anyone. The Saints have always been that team that can't stop anyone, and always seem to lose the games that they should be winning. May just stay away or tease the over.
The Broncos have yet to play against an O-line that the Raiders have. This is the measuring stick game for Oakland and they will show up to this one. This is their most important game since the 2002 Super Bowl. I am a Raider fan, which means I never bet their games. Rule #1 you never bet for or against your team because they will find a way to ruin your day. Barely even bet the totals on the Raider games. If the Raiders can pressure Siemian (spellcheck??) then they just might have a shot. Quick passes to erase Von Miller and they can pull this game out. We all know the offense that Denver has which isn't much.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.