Happy Thanksgiving covers family. Up here in Baltimore staying at the four seasons for turkey day. Beautiful hotel first time staying here. Getting mixed data on this game. This is a division game and sometimes division games play out the way they should. So this cover has less variance to cover than I would like but, after it’s all said and done, Detroit should win by @ least 14.925 based on my calculations. My other data points have Detroit by - 10.5 . Another data point have Detroit by + 11.4 % coverage rate on this particular scenario. Another data point have Detroit covering this number 50.3 % in a game like todays game . Similar games throughout the years have Chicago negative variance @ 50.7% in covering today. Detroit is 16 - 3 ATS coming off a double digit win since 2018. Rookie QB’s are 52-80-4 ATS ( 39.4% ) since 2015. Home teams are 12-3 ATS on Thursdays after winning @ least their last four games. QB completion rate. Detroit is @ a 72.96 % , where as Chicago is only @ 62.47 %. This next stat is what sold Detroit for me. * Detroit on defense is only allowing 0.276 pts per play, where Chicago allows 0.334 pts per play. This stat tells me that Detroit will get a few more stops than Chicago, which will lead to more scores for Detroit. I’m not sold totally on giving up this many points but, I really think Detroit covers today or I wouldn’t bet them. Detroit- 9.5 - 115 345/300 GL ladies and gents. Happy Holidays and GL
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Happy Thanksgiving covers family. Up here in Baltimore staying at the four seasons for turkey day. Beautiful hotel first time staying here. Getting mixed data on this game. This is a division game and sometimes division games play out the way they should. So this cover has less variance to cover than I would like but, after it’s all said and done, Detroit should win by @ least 14.925 based on my calculations. My other data points have Detroit by - 10.5 . Another data point have Detroit by + 11.4 % coverage rate on this particular scenario. Another data point have Detroit covering this number 50.3 % in a game like todays game . Similar games throughout the years have Chicago negative variance @ 50.7% in covering today. Detroit is 16 - 3 ATS coming off a double digit win since 2018. Rookie QB’s are 52-80-4 ATS ( 39.4% ) since 2015. Home teams are 12-3 ATS on Thursdays after winning @ least their last four games. QB completion rate. Detroit is @ a 72.96 % , where as Chicago is only @ 62.47 %. This next stat is what sold Detroit for me. * Detroit on defense is only allowing 0.276 pts per play, where Chicago allows 0.334 pts per play. This stat tells me that Detroit will get a few more stops than Chicago, which will lead to more scores for Detroit. I’m not sold totally on giving up this many points but, I really think Detroit covers today or I wouldn’t bet them. Detroit- 9.5 - 115 345/300 GL ladies and gents. Happy Holidays and GL
Happy Thanksgiving covers family. Up here in Baltimore staying at the four seasons for turkey day. Beautiful hotel first time staying here. Getting mixed data on this game. This is a division game and sometimes division games play out the way they should. So this cover has less variance to cover than I would like but, after it’s all said and done, Detroit should win by @ least 14.925 based on my calculations. My other data points have Detroit by - 10.5 . Another data point have Detroit by + 11.4 % coverage rate on this particular scenario. Another data point have Detroit covering this number 50.3 % in a game like todays game . Similar games throughout the years have Chicago negative variance @ 50.7% in covering today. Detroit is 16 - 3 ATS coming off a double digit win since 2018. Rookie QB’s are 52-80-4 ATS ( 39.4% ) since 2015. Home teams are 12-3 ATS on Thursdays after winning @ least their last four games. QB completion rate. Detroit is @ a 72.96 % , where as Chicago is only @ 62.47 %. This next stat is what sold Detroit for me. * Detroit on defense is only allowing 0.276 pts per play, where Chicago allows 0.334 pts per play. This stat tells me that Detroit will get a few more stops than Chicago, which will lead to more scores for Detroit. I’m not sold totally on giving up this many points but, I really think Detroit covers today or I wouldn’t bet them. Detroit- 9.5 - 115 345/300 GL ladies and gents. Happy Holidays and GL
I work right across the street at 650 S Exeter St, we have our Holiday Christmas parties there. I am on the same side, GL
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Quote Originally Posted by Rolexsports:
Happy Thanksgiving covers family. Up here in Baltimore staying at the four seasons for turkey day. Beautiful hotel first time staying here. Getting mixed data on this game. This is a division game and sometimes division games play out the way they should. So this cover has less variance to cover than I would like but, after it’s all said and done, Detroit should win by @ least 14.925 based on my calculations. My other data points have Detroit by - 10.5 . Another data point have Detroit by + 11.4 % coverage rate on this particular scenario. Another data point have Detroit covering this number 50.3 % in a game like todays game . Similar games throughout the years have Chicago negative variance @ 50.7% in covering today. Detroit is 16 - 3 ATS coming off a double digit win since 2018. Rookie QB’s are 52-80-4 ATS ( 39.4% ) since 2015. Home teams are 12-3 ATS on Thursdays after winning @ least their last four games. QB completion rate. Detroit is @ a 72.96 % , where as Chicago is only @ 62.47 %. This next stat is what sold Detroit for me. * Detroit on defense is only allowing 0.276 pts per play, where Chicago allows 0.334 pts per play. This stat tells me that Detroit will get a few more stops than Chicago, which will lead to more scores for Detroit. I’m not sold totally on giving up this many points but, I really think Detroit covers today or I wouldn’t bet them. Detroit- 9.5 - 115 345/300 GL ladies and gents. Happy Holidays and GL
I work right across the street at 650 S Exeter St, we have our Holiday Christmas parties there. I am on the same side, GL
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