Posted:
#1
I locked this in about a month and a half ago, but I am taking under 43 in the Seahawks/Rams game for LARGE. Here is the reasoning...
When STL has the ball:
STL's RB Tre Mason is a small shifty kind of guy and the Seahawks D is perfectly suited to stop guys like that w/ their fast D-line and LB's. STL QB Nick Foles is learning a whole new system, does not have many weapons, and is going against the #1 secondary in the league. Don't think STL scores much when they have the ball.
When SEA has the ball:
SEA is a run first team and guess where the strength of the STL D is at? D-line and LB's. As good as Marshawn is I don't think he finds much success on the ground vs the STL D. Last year he had 18 carries for 53 yards with a 2.9 avg in the first game; then in the second game he had 14 carries for 60 yards with a 4.3 avg. Nothing to write home about there.
The only place SEA might have some success is in the passing game, especially with the acquisition of Jimmy Graham. However, this is week 1 so offenses may not be quite clicking yet and again, the STL D-line is downright nasty and my hope is Quinn and Long can apply constant pressure on Wilson.
Barring any fluke turnovers (pick 6, fumble in own red zone, etc.) feel like this game should go under.
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