underdogs have won six of the last 10 Super Bowls and have covered in nine of the last 10 NFL championship games. The Patriots covered as a 3-point favorite over the Falcons last year after erasing a 28-3 third quarter deficit. New England also erased a fourth-quarter deficit versus Seattle in 2014 and covered as a 1-point favorite when Malcolm Butler intercepted Russell Wilson at the goal line in the waning seconds of the game.
That said, the Broncos covered as a 5.5-point underdog against the Panthers in 2015 and the aforementioned Seahawks blew out those same Broncos as a 2.5-point underdog in 2013. The Ravens also covered as a 4-point dog versus the 49ers in 2012 and the Giants upset the Patriots in the 2011 Super Bowl as a 3-point dog.
Nine underdogs have already covered the point spread this postseason, which is the most in a single postseason in the Super Bowl era. No matter which team covers on Super Bowl Sunday, this will be the best against the spread percentage by underdogs in a single postseason in that span according to ESPN Stats & Information.
A.Rome
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