Who is his OC ? Schumur right? How many times has he led THE top passing offense in the NFL?
Denver's defense is way too good for Lock to have to lead the league in passing yards.
I'd take Big Ben or Teddy (LSU offensive coordinator, no Defense, division with Brees, Ryan & Brady) over Lock. Dak at 8 to 1 is great value too.
Who is his OC ? Schumur right? How many times has he led THE top passing offense in the NFL?
Denver's defense is way too good for Lock to have to lead the league in passing yards.
I'd take Big Ben or Teddy (LSU offensive coordinator, no Defense, division with Brees, Ryan & Brady) over Lock. Dak at 8 to 1 is great value too.
Lock started the last 5 games of the season for the Broncos...In 5 games he passed for 1020 yards.....So now in year 2...when defensive coordinators have
some sort of tape on him....He will lead the league in passing? He has not even passed for 1 400 yard game yet.....Broncos will be a run 1st team...with Gordon/Lindsay/Freeman....
Lock started the last 5 games of the season for the Broncos...In 5 games he passed for 1020 yards.....So now in year 2...when defensive coordinators have
some sort of tape on him....He will lead the league in passing? He has not even passed for 1 400 yard game yet.....Broncos will be a run 1st team...with Gordon/Lindsay/Freeman....
Not a bad bet he gets Raiders, Chiefs and Chargers defensive corners twice. The weather is the one thing that could make it difficult and the coach is more on the conservative side. Good with your bet!
Not a bad bet he gets Raiders, Chiefs and Chargers defensive corners twice. The weather is the one thing that could make it difficult and the coach is more on the conservative side. Good with your bet!
The man puts up at 50:1 speculative future bet, and you guys respond by telling him that it's not likely to win? Obviously not or it wouldn't be +5000 in the first place. And it's probably safe to assume that these are small bets, maybe 0.1 units or so, who knows. Let's say you do a few of these +5000 bets per year, you can be profitable getting one right every 10-15 years. The question is whether or not the true odds are better than this. I'd say in this case the answer is clearly yes. Lock had a strong finish to last season, then his organization went to work adding important pieces to the offense, including speedy WRs with their first 2 draft picks to go along with Courtland Sutton. They also added Melvin Gordon in FA to pair up with Phillip Lindsay, as well as shoring up some depth issues at OL and TE.
Perhaps most importantly, though, the Broncos brought in a new OC in Pat Shurmur, who has a long and successful record as a coordinator or bringing out the best in young QBs. The first of these was Donovan McNabb, who developed into a better pocket passer than most expected him to be coming out of college. He then headed to St. Louis to coach Sam Bradford in his excellent rookie season. Shurmur kinda lost his way in Cleveland with Holmgren at the helm and Brandon Weeden taking snaps, but then he went back to Philly and coached Nick Foles to his famous 27 TD, 2 INT season. Then onto Minnesota, where he squeezed every last drop of ability out of Case Keenum during the Minneapolis Miracle season in which the Vikings went 13-3. Keenum was actually the 3rd stringer that year, but first Teddy Bridgewater went down in training camp, then Sam Bradford was traded for just a few days later and a had a remarkable 2016. Keenum was an afterthought going into 2017 but actually led the Vikings to top 3 in most scoring was never that good before or after his one year with Shurmur, who was really only there to work again with Sam Bradford until his season ended in week 1 with a bad ankle. After a few years as head coach of the Giants, he's back doing what he does best, in charge of offense and of the development of a 2nd-year QB.
Just for fun, I looked up last year's winner and whatever odds I could find posted for him, which varied from +1000 to +4000. (can any of you name the player without checking?).These were just google results, nothing official from the books. As I said, it's hard to tell where the odds were listed, and at what time during the preseason, as books don't tend to keep these histories around, especially not on futures bets, but I found some interesting stuff. Listed in order, without names, are the top 10 QBs in terms of passing yards at the end of the 2019 season. Different books had different prices at different times during the offseason the numbers vary wildly (shop around!).
1st - +2300/+1500/+4000
2nd - +900/+10000 (not a typo, maybe injury or hold out or something else?)
3rd - +2300/+1200
4th - +1100/+2000/+2500
5th - +500/+450/+800
6th - +1600/+7500
7th - +1600/+800
8th - +5000/+3300
9th - +2000/+2000
10th - +360/+450/+600 (preseason favorite lol)
I'm sure you can all operate your google boxes to reveal who's who once you're ready.
Do what you want with this info, but I'd say this looks like a tasty opportunity. Thanks ckattar8.
The man puts up at 50:1 speculative future bet, and you guys respond by telling him that it's not likely to win? Obviously not or it wouldn't be +5000 in the first place. And it's probably safe to assume that these are small bets, maybe 0.1 units or so, who knows. Let's say you do a few of these +5000 bets per year, you can be profitable getting one right every 10-15 years. The question is whether or not the true odds are better than this. I'd say in this case the answer is clearly yes. Lock had a strong finish to last season, then his organization went to work adding important pieces to the offense, including speedy WRs with their first 2 draft picks to go along with Courtland Sutton. They also added Melvin Gordon in FA to pair up with Phillip Lindsay, as well as shoring up some depth issues at OL and TE.
Perhaps most importantly, though, the Broncos brought in a new OC in Pat Shurmur, who has a long and successful record as a coordinator or bringing out the best in young QBs. The first of these was Donovan McNabb, who developed into a better pocket passer than most expected him to be coming out of college. He then headed to St. Louis to coach Sam Bradford in his excellent rookie season. Shurmur kinda lost his way in Cleveland with Holmgren at the helm and Brandon Weeden taking snaps, but then he went back to Philly and coached Nick Foles to his famous 27 TD, 2 INT season. Then onto Minnesota, where he squeezed every last drop of ability out of Case Keenum during the Minneapolis Miracle season in which the Vikings went 13-3. Keenum was actually the 3rd stringer that year, but first Teddy Bridgewater went down in training camp, then Sam Bradford was traded for just a few days later and a had a remarkable 2016. Keenum was an afterthought going into 2017 but actually led the Vikings to top 3 in most scoring was never that good before or after his one year with Shurmur, who was really only there to work again with Sam Bradford until his season ended in week 1 with a bad ankle. After a few years as head coach of the Giants, he's back doing what he does best, in charge of offense and of the development of a 2nd-year QB.
Just for fun, I looked up last year's winner and whatever odds I could find posted for him, which varied from +1000 to +4000. (can any of you name the player without checking?).These were just google results, nothing official from the books. As I said, it's hard to tell where the odds were listed, and at what time during the preseason, as books don't tend to keep these histories around, especially not on futures bets, but I found some interesting stuff. Listed in order, without names, are the top 10 QBs in terms of passing yards at the end of the 2019 season. Different books had different prices at different times during the offseason the numbers vary wildly (shop around!).
1st - +2300/+1500/+4000
2nd - +900/+10000 (not a typo, maybe injury or hold out or something else?)
3rd - +2300/+1200
4th - +1100/+2000/+2500
5th - +500/+450/+800
6th - +1600/+7500
7th - +1600/+800
8th - +5000/+3300
9th - +2000/+2000
10th - +360/+450/+600 (preseason favorite lol)
I'm sure you can all operate your google boxes to reveal who's who once you're ready.
Do what you want with this info, but I'd say this looks like a tasty opportunity. Thanks ckattar8.
KC defense stepped it up a notch from the year before..
KC defense stepped it up a notch from the year before..
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