All Forums | NFL Betting

Get ready for the football season with these simple systems

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 23866
Posts: 121
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 3219
Posted: #101
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 4525
Posted: #102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

if there was a "Hard Knocks"  for Covers  the cameras would be rolling here....... this is the down and dirty real-life calisthenics we gamblers go through and the world at large....CLUELESS.....   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 4297
Posted: #103
ahh football tommorrow through monday - I need my fix
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 4525
Posted: #104
fuck  hope they don't charge me by the column inch   sorry     my head was near exploding i guess
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 2583
Posted: #105
Keep up the good work Win All Sports.
He is one of the better cappers on here from what I've seen.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 7
Posted: #106
you got over under trends as well?
or where can i find them,im new to this forum
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by LeBronJamison86:

you got over under trends as well?
or where can i find them,im new to this forum

I have those too. Just no time to post everything I have...I have > 5,000 systems.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by LeBronJamison86:

you got over under trends as well?
or where can i find them,im new to this forum

Road teams on 3 days of rest after playing at home are 33-52 ATS and 51-34 for the under.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #109
NFL teams in week 10 or later than won last week by 4-16 and stoped a losing streak of at least 7 games are 20-0 ATS against teams that did not lose by 25 or more last week. 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #110
When in the playoffs the home team with better record is not favored by more than 5, the record for the home team is 9-21 ATS.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 13
Posted: #111

How do you explain the following?

Ind @ Hou Week 1, 2011

1st Qtr: Hou 17  Ind 0
2nd Qtr: Hou 34  Ind 0
Final: Hou 34  Ind 7
Hou wins by 27 and wins ATS the following week.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 13
Posted: #112

You posted: "NFL teams winning their last game by 28 or less are 0-19 ATS if they led by more than 17 after the first and at the halftime. "

How do you explain the following?

Ind @ Hou Week 1, 2011

1st Qtr: Hou 17  Ind 0
2nd Qtr: Hou 34  Ind 0
Final: Hou 34  Ind 7
Hou wins by 27 and wins ATS the following week.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 2583
Posted: #113
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 16
Posted: #114

_SocraticMethod - WinAllSports posted "NFL teams winning their last game by 28 or less are 0-19 ATS if they led by more than 17 after the first and at the halftime. "

From the stats you then posted Houston were winning 17-0 at the end of the 1st quarter which is not "more than 17" as WinAllSports posted for his system.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by RobJames72:

_SocraticMethod - WinAllSports posted "NFL teams winning their last game by 28 or less are 0-19 ATS if they led by more than 17 after the first and at the halftime. "

From the stats you then posted Houston were winning 17-0 at the end of the 1st quarter which is not "more than 17" as WinAllSports posted for his system.


Exactly.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 382
Posted: #116
Not much time these days...have to take some time off. Will be back soon.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

System of the day (Thursday) 26/7

NFL teams in weeks 4 and later after scoring 0 points at home:

32-11 ATS

NCAA teams in weeks 3-10 on the road after scoring 0 pts at home:

82-52 ATS (28-9 ats last 37)

 

you also had a system with high win % of teams coming off being shutout, what about road teams being shutout??

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 2583
Posted: #118
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 1999
Posts: 3684
Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


I find this one hard to believe. That's a very high % for such a vanilla criteria. And why would an upcoming bye affect a Team's play? Certainly coming off a bye is a big deal.

Can you post a link to a list of the actual games?

Thanks for your systems. I too am looking for trends like these.


this one is very much forreal and one many of us have followed.  Books have really caught on of late though and jacked up the number on these teams and decreasing value
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 650
Posted: #120

So far Arizona did not cover after a dog win and home dog win and dallas also won week 1

come back WinAll you rock!!!

 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 1603
Posted: #121
Nothing personal, but every one of these trends are garbage, as already pointed out by one or two others.

Complete garbage.  Total garbage.

They are what I refer to as, "after the fact" trends/stats.  You can come up with all kinds of trends for games already played.  It's actually quite easy.

Furthermore, I didn't see a single trend backed with actual data.

Some of these trends are just downright comical:

After week 5, NFL teams are 37-11 ATS after being shutout while rushing for at least 84 yards in that game.

Week 5?  Why not Week 3 or 4?  And 84 yards?  Are you serious?  Why 84?  Why not 100?  Why not 83? 

I'll tell you why.  Because Week 3 and Week 4 didn't "fit" into the system.  Because 83 yards and less didn't "fit" into the system.

Road NFL favorites of 5 pts or less against non divisional opponents are 1-17 ATS after sweeping a divisional opponent and winning last game by 4-12 points.

Listen to what you are saying:  ROAD NFL favorites (not just any favorite) of FIVE points or less (not 6 or 7 or anything else) against NON divisional opponents (they can be divisional foes) are 1-17 ATS after SWEEPING (they had to win both) a divisional opponent (had to be divisional) and WINNING (they can't have lost) last game by 4-12 (not 1, not 2, not 3, not 13 or more) points.

I could go on, but I think my point is made.  These trends are garbage and no one has made any money off of them, or will make any money off of them.  They were all created "after" the fact. 

Finally, for every trend that you can come up with that favors Team A, for example, I can come up with a different trend that will favor Team B for the same game.
All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.