Posted:
#1
Hello everyone, I've lurked these forums a few times but haven't posted before. I'm coming off a nice week and looking to start this one the right way.
I like the team over for the obvious reasons- Giants ppg vs Skins ppg allowed, Giants pass vs Skins pass D, and the Giants tend to shift into the higher gears late in the season and on Monday nights.
More importantly though, and I'm going to be honest here, the bet lets me stay away from other bets that I really don't have the answers to. Public opinion on the spread and even ML seems fairly split. I lean NYG here but it isn't enough for me to lay money. I feel equally unsure about the total o/u at ~50. I think most of you would tell me that if the Giants are breaking 24.5 then for sure the game would break 50. Alternatively I think a lot of people would say that if I thought the Giants were breaking 24.5 but the Skins weren't breaking something similar I'd be better off taking the Giants ML. One stat going against me is that the Giants have only gone under 24.5 this season when losing. Certainly the payout would be better as Giants o/u is -130 for the over.
Personally I'd rather not worry about the rest of it. Some would say this is just a Giants ML at a worse pay out. I think it gives insurance against either the total o/u or taking the Giants, neither of which I like too much alone. I see 24.5 as a solid number for the Giants to break and there are too many factors the bet could negate.
Just looking for some opinions on this here that's all. Unfortunate to see so many people lose yesterday, here's hoping at least some of you will be able to make it back big.
Cheers
I like the team over for the obvious reasons- Giants ppg vs Skins ppg allowed, Giants pass vs Skins pass D, and the Giants tend to shift into the higher gears late in the season and on Monday nights.
More importantly though, and I'm going to be honest here, the bet lets me stay away from other bets that I really don't have the answers to. Public opinion on the spread and even ML seems fairly split. I lean NYG here but it isn't enough for me to lay money. I feel equally unsure about the total o/u at ~50. I think most of you would tell me that if the Giants are breaking 24.5 then for sure the game would break 50. Alternatively I think a lot of people would say that if I thought the Giants were breaking 24.5 but the Skins weren't breaking something similar I'd be better off taking the Giants ML. One stat going against me is that the Giants have only gone under 24.5 this season when losing. Certainly the payout would be better as Giants o/u is -130 for the over.
Personally I'd rather not worry about the rest of it. Some would say this is just a Giants ML at a worse pay out. I think it gives insurance against either the total o/u or taking the Giants, neither of which I like too much alone. I see 24.5 as a solid number for the Giants to break and there are too many factors the bet could negate.
Just looking for some opinions on this here that's all. Unfortunate to see so many people lose yesterday, here's hoping at least some of you will be able to make it back big.
Cheers
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