1-unit: 5-4-1 +0.49
MLs: 1-2 -0.946
1st Half 0-1 -1.07
2nd Half: 1-2 -0.869
4-1 last week as i started 3-0 and then locked in some profit by taking the Jags -3.5 (+130) and the Steelers -3 (+100) for their 2nd half to win an extra 0.131 units.
: New York G -7 (-130), Miami +7, Arizona P, Pittsburgh +3 (+100,2H)
: Jacksonville +3.5 (+130, 2H)
Major Variations (>4 point difference from my line to Vegas's opener):
DET +13 @ MIN: I had +7
NE +6 @ SD: I had +2
NYG -7.5 @ CLE: I had -12
MIA +3 @ HOU: I had -1
Last Week: NYG -7 , ARI P (fade) , 1-1-1 OVR, 7-7-1 YTD
Minor Variations (<1 point difference from Vegas, bold if correct):
WAS -14 vs. StL
CHI -2.5 @ ATL: I had -3
NO -7.5 vs. OAK: I had -8
JAX +3.5 @ DEN: I had +3
Last Week: Miami +7 , 1-2-1 OVR, 9-11-1 (45%) YTD
Great Performances (look to fade):
MIA, ATL, WAS, PIT
Last Week's fades: 1-2 OVR, 7-9 (44%) YTD
Poor Performances (look to play):
SD, GB, PHI, JAX
Last Week's plays: 0-2-1 OVR, 6-7-1 (46%) YTD
one play is locked in...
adding:
Houston -3 (-115) vs. Miami: 1.07 units
I see the Texans responding to the heart-breaking loss and finally getting on the board this season. I was very impressed by the 'Phins last week as they covered for me by winning SU at home against SD, but I do think they come back to earth this weekend. The Houston D-line should make quick work of the Miami O-line, and I don't think Sage will make as many mistakes after the debacle that was the final 4 minutes.
good luck