How you cap dumbness, carelessness, goofy coaching and bad ref calls.

You can’t ! Had the Bears yesterday. Should’ve covered but, how do you have two fumbles in the first quarter by the same player. Your team is looking good, you’re up. Looking like a good cover for you. The coach of the team you took goes for it on 4th and 4 from mid field instead of punting, your team doesn’t execute, the opponent takes over from mid field, drives it in for 7. Now you go from probably a cover to not. Ive also never seen so many personal fowl calls in my life. You can’t talk and trash anymore, you can barely lay a pinky on the opposing player, you’re in a skirmish with before the ref, throws the flag and your opponent gets an additional 15 yards, and guess what, you don’t cover because of it. You also can’t cap , false starts and holding calls. You can a lil bit, but not really. These players today are so undisciplined, it’s ridiculous. Wide out , who’ve been playing football since they were 5 & 6 years old don’t line up on the ball because of a lack of discipline and poor coaching and there’s another flag. This has been the worse season I can remember. At least betting baseball, you know what teams have trash bull pens before you place your bets. I see most of all the better cappers this year are having a hard time as well. I think Van and Wize are having a decent season but, people like Oldwise, Van , my man MacWestie including myself can’t get a hold on it this year. Even in CFB, normally Wahoo kills it every year, don’t think he’s as efficient this year though. Does anyone get the feeling that , once the US made betting legal, it’s gotten harder to win ? 

You cant cap those things except for goofy coaching and thats only if you know the guy makes bad decisions and then what point value do you assign to that?

Basically you assume that the wonky stuff happens equal on all sides throughout the season and averages out. Sometimes it will go against you sometimes for you, over a long term sample of betting many years it will equal out. Focusing on goofy ones going against you in game X, Y, or Z is not worthwhile and just means you are betting too much of your bankroll on one game. 

All good points you made Yana. Hard for me to wager a couple hundred a game. Believe me, I’ve had no choice but to limit my amount Ms this season because of the inconsistency but, to bet 1 or 2 hundred a game is not in my DNA. I’ve for the most part been successful in wagering but, the NFL is not even close to being the same anymore. MLB pitch counts. NBA “ game management “. lol right. Between my wife and myself we bring in more than most people world wide but, who don’t love a little extra here and there especially bringing it in for something you’re passionate about. Last year I pretty much financed our vacation to Turks and Caicos off profits from wagering. Going to put a little bit more time in my capping , which I’m already spending multiple hours a week as it is. I’ll be up by march madness, will just keep grinding away.