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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    I used to believe in fading the public but Colts -3 is the play tonight

    TopNotchKata
    NeverMind
    fat italian
    Sharkysden
    gthing25
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    TopNotchKata
    TopNotchKata
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 4:24 PM ET #1

    been doing this for close to 25 yrs now and I used to be one who was heavily reliant on fading the general public in the NFL. I remember back in the late 90s and early 2000s I was pretty successful at it. But things have changed these past couple of yrs. You used to be able to see 70-80% on team A and auto bet team B and win. It's simply not the case anymore. You have to analyze matchups, coaching, motivation, as well as the spot to have a true grasp on the games now. With that being said I would usually back the Giants tonight but they are not a good football team and they are going against a very underrated Colts D. People only see they gave up a ton of points to Pitt last week conveniently forgetting about what they did to a good Bengals offense the week before. Ya they shut them out. Luck in a route tonight no matter how much of the pub says so!

    3300/3000

    Going larger tonight as I see a big statement win for Colts.
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    been doing this for close to 25 yrs now and I used to be one who was heavily reliant on fading the general public in the NFL. I remember back in the late 90s and early 2000s I was pretty successful at it. But things have changed these past couple of yrs. You used to be able to see 70-80% on team A and auto bet team B and win. It's simply not the case anymore. You have to analyze matchups, coaching, motivation, as well as the spot to have a true grasp on the games now. With that being said I would usually back the Giants tonight but they are not a good football team and they are going against a very underrated Colts D. People only see they gave up a ton of points to Pitt last week conveniently forgetting about what they did to a good Bengals offense the week before. Ya they shut them out. Luck in a route tonight no matter how much of the pub says so!

    3300/3000

    Going larger tonight as I see a big statement win for Colts.
     
    TopNotchKata
    TopNotchKata
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 4:31 PM ET #2

    Not to mention I took the same fade the public mindset in the Panthers game last Thursday which costed me over 2 dimes. Vegas makes money off juice regardless so the public winning isn't going to effect them much. Especially on any given day because there are so many outlets for them to make money. They can care less if the public wins.
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    Not to mention I took the same fade the public mindset in the Panthers game last Thursday which costed me over 2 dimes. Vegas makes money off juice regardless so the public winning isn't going to effect them much. Especially on any given day because there are so many outlets for them to make money. They can care less if the public wins.
     
    NeverMind
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 4:37 PM ET #3

    Colts top 95% on here, GL!
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    Colts top 95% on here, GL!
     
    fat italian
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 4:44 PM ET #4

    IS THAT REAL $ OR IS IT LIKE EVERYBODY ELSE ON HERE JUST THROWS #'S OUT THERE LIKE ITS REAL....SERIOUSLY...NOT BEING A WISE A.SS
    Patience wins money. Chasing is a bookies dream. And parlays are for suckers.
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    IS THAT REAL $ OR IS IT LIKE EVERYBODY ELSE ON HERE JUST THROWS #'S OUT THERE LIKE ITS REAL....SERIOUSLY...NOT BEING A WISE A.SS
     
    Sharkysden
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 4:54 PM ET #5

    I learned the hard way, the Colts and Denver the public is usually right.
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    I learned the hard way, the Colts and Denver the public is usually right.
     
    TopNotchKata
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 5:10 PM ET #6

    Fat Italian- This isnt fake money. I am a mechanical engineer and make a lot of money. Also have investment properties. My usual plays are a dime, sometimes 2.
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    Fat Italian- This isnt fake money. I am a mechanical engineer and make a lot of money. Also have investment properties. My usual plays are a dime, sometimes 2.
     
    gthing25
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 5:20 PM ET #7

    You say you were on the wrong side last Thursday, sorry for that however, that has nothing to do with tonight. Could you be on the wrong side again tonight?  There are obviously right times to fade the public and wrong times, if we knew when.... well that's another story.  Good luck on your colts bet, nevertheless.
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    You say you were on the wrong side last Thursday, sorry for that however, that has nothing to do with tonight. Could you be on the wrong side again tonight?  There are obviously right times to fade the public and wrong times, if we knew when.... well that's another story.  Good luck on your colts bet, nevertheless.
     
    fat italian
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 5:30 PM ET #8

    OK GL BUDDY 
    Patience wins money. Chasing is a bookies dream. And parlays are for suckers.
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    OK GL BUDDY 
     
    ndsent1
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 5:30 PM ET #9

    Tonight's the night Pal !

    Indy and the over.......

    Good Luck all.........

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    Tonight's the night Pal !

    Indy and the over.......

    Good Luck all.........

     
    casinoroyal
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 5:31 PM ET #10

    In a game like this, the public is heavy on Indy and the over. Only one is going to hit so Vegas won't lose money. I am going to guess that Indy and the under tonight.
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    In a game like this, the public is heavy on Indy and the over. Only one is going to hit so Vegas won't lose money. I am going to guess that Indy and the under tonight.
     
    baronman
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 8:56 PM ET #11

    Good lucky Top Any proof Ticket Like all the others My earlier post I teased Mire on Colts & under All $26-20 7 pointers With my book. Bob
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    Good lucky Top Any proof Ticket Like all the others My earlier post I teased Mire on Colts & under All $26-20 7 pointers With my book. Bob
     
     
    TopNotchKata
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2014 - 11:15 PM ET #12

    +3k on the night

    I can care less about showing a bunch of strangers my tickets. I bet a combo of my local and 5dimes and only post via cell phone. I dont care if you believe me or not. I' m here to make money and gain insight
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    +3k on the night

    I can care less about showing a bunch of strangers my tickets. I bet a combo of my local and 5dimes and only post via cell phone. I dont care if you believe me or not. I' m here to make money and gain insight
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