IH8ColdWeather NFL Playoff Thread

Horrible year this year during the regular season, like many others. Favorites crushing it every week hurt and I am in the hole from my Jets futures. Full disclosure, I have some interesting futures that will allow me to hedge and middle some games, I will try to list them below. This week, I really like the Pittsburgh Steelers getting 10 points and that will be my best bet.

Playoff Futures:

Chiefs vs Lions exact matchup - 6.5/1 - 10 units to win 65 units

Chiefs to win SB - 3.75/1 - 10 units to win 37.5 units 

Eagles to defeat Chiefs - 59/1 - 1.5 units to win 90 units

Eagles to win the NFC - 5/1 - 5 units to win 25 units

Steelers to win SB - 42/1 - 2 units to win 84 units

Steelers to win SB - 23/1 - 1.7 units to win 39 units

Steelers to win SB - 21/1 - 2.5 units to win 52.5 units

Texans to defeat Eagles - 115/1 - 1 unit to win 115 units

Texans to win SB - 20/1 - 3.5 units to win 70 units

Exact matchup - Bills vs Lions - 7/1 - 3 units to win 21 units

As you can see, the best, most likely scenario for me would be a Chiefs vs Lions SB but the unpredictability of this year makes the post season a complete toss up. If the Chiefs play the lions, it would be great for me and the Chiefs winning would just be a little bit sweeter from a financial standpoint but I think that I would vomit and honestly would rather take the L to see Dan Campbell and the Lions win it all. Hopefully their defense can get healthy so that their offense wont have to worry about putting up 40+ points on each team in order to advance. Having home field in Detroit and KC will be huge for both teams IMO. I really need the Bills and Ravens to lose, and frankly I can see it happening...

The Bills have had the worst defense the past 5 weeks. Josh will have to put it all on his shoulders and that may be too much to ask for again and again. As for the Ravens, Lamar is playing great again but I really think they drew the worst possible matchup in round one. I would love nothing more than to see Tomlin, as a dog, come into Balt and beat the Ravens. The line suggests otherwise but the defense is healthy and that Pitt D can force turnovers and keep games ugly and close.

I see the Bills, Ravens, Eagles all on upset alert this week...

Nice info and take care. GL and HNY 

Steelers at the Ravens

Steelers +10 (-110) - 15 units

This is my biggest bet of the week and my favorite bet. Looks like some sharp money came in late at hit the Steelers and took the number down to 9 and 8.5 at a few books. I just think this line is totally disrespectful to Pitt. These two teams know each other well. Divisional game for a defense that knows how to keep Lamar in check. The last time they Steelers were blown out, they were missing 3/4 of their secondary. They get Joey Porter Jr. back for this game. Baltimore is missing Zay Flowers which cannot be overstated, he is their deep threat and best route runner. You get an angry, motivated TJ Watt this week who came out and said that he had his worst game last week. Tomlin as a dog, going up against a Ravens team that has been known to choke in the playoffs in not so great weather. Just too many points here and I can't see how anyone can lay 10 points even at home with Lamar. Arthur Smith will be in his bag, theyll have some gadget plays for Fields, and I think Tomlin will motivate the troops. This game will be decided by a TD or less. I will take the points all day.

2 ships going opposite ways in the night.....

Flowers a huge loss....wont lay the points.....

But we aint losing this game....Mr Phil Ivey...

Man you're all over the place. 

Eagles to win the NFC - 5/1 - 5 units to win 25 units

Why did you post "The Eagles will not get past the Lions" in one of my threads?

@C-70Blues

 If the Eagles played the Lions today, in Detroit, I don't think the Eagles would win. I have various ways to hopefully hit some of these futures, various outs. I am sure you understand

@bigred84

I think Ravens will win, but I don't seem them covering the 10+