Importance of Weighted Stats - DVOA and where to find them.....

Weighted stats (adjusted for specific strengths of opponents) are critical for handicapping.  If you dont have or use your own model, I have always recommended Football Outsiders as a cheap and easy way to get these stats.

Something has happened over there at FO and it no longer exists - but the founder is Aaron Schatz and he is now at FTNFantasy dot com.  They offer the DVOA season package at $59 I think.

He is also a great follow on Twitter.

GL this season!

@vanzack

 I haven't been able to access FO for weeks.

It wouldn't surprise me if he got bought out. It seems like all the best websites that have mattered(for all sports) disappear sooner than later.

An example of the importance of weighted stats would be last year's Vikings. Their pythagorean wins were 6.3. I made a small fortune on the Cowboys when they played them last year.

Aaron Schatz has some good podcasts as well ..I know he gave out the Eagles to win the NFC last season and that was a nice Hit   I believe he has picked 5 out of the last 10 teams to make the Superbowl.. Will see about this seasons prediction of Bills vs Niners Superbowl..

GL Vanzack.. Gl Sac...valuable stuff as allways

Thanks for the sad news, VZ.  I am a small bettor who cannot bet enough to justify the cost of the membership.

I certainly enjoyed the free data from FO while it was available.

Good luck this season.

The basic DVOA stats are free.  

Thanks for the Info Van....

Let's have a great year....

But where?

FTNFantasy

@vanzack

 Thanks

@vanzack

 Brand new here, wassup everyone. Just got online sportsbook for first time last year, bear with the newb. I've never bothered looking into what DVOA even is until *very* recently.  Not asking to be spoon fed an answer, but I dont know where to start with how to apply this.

Have like a youtube channel/person or a website/book whatever, that you think does a would do a good job getting the wheels turning for me?

https://www.google.com/amp/amp.awfulannouncing.com/nfl/football-outsiders-aaron-schatz-champion-gaming.html

@vanzack

 Thanks.  It took awhile, but I did find the basic stats.

@undermysac

 I read somewhere back in May that whoever owns FO now hadn't paid the writers/contributors in months, and that played a role in Aaron's departure. Apparently no one was doing any more work there til they got paid, which is why there hadn't been updates for ages. With the site now gone completely, that makes sense.

None of this is first-hand info, mind you, just stuff I picked up in gossip on the blue bird (now X) site.

Strength of schedule is the reason I put a small wager on Dennis Allen coach of the year at 25-1. Easy schedule .

@vanzack

 thank for posting, i have always used FO but if thats not available this helps alot

Always good to know about handicapping resources. Thanks for posting Van.

DVOA is the best statistic for capping. 

Passing QBR in college football is best statistic for drafting a quarterback.