I heard on the Radio that they are 14-0 ats when running the ball 30 or more times again the last two years and 21-4 overall under Shanahan. Shanahan himself is aware of his team’s success when they run the ball. In October he said:
Usually when you run the ball over 30 times, I think you do win. I think we’re ... I want to say we’re like 11-0, I think, when we’ve done that,” Shanahan said. “I know someone can get the stats, but I think we’re undefeated when we’ve done that. Whenever we’ve had less than 20, I don’t know if we’ve won or our record’s like 5-12 or something like that.”
The Bills run defense is ranked 25th this year.
Nonetheless, Mullins is too much of a wildcard for me and so I won’t be betting this game.