Vikings v rams, all potential data, models, stats etc point to a vikings win, average of about 6-10 points as well
Why on earth is this line only -3?? Also, rams are terrible. I remember them getting blown out by Cardinals 41-10.. that game still burns me as i had the rams. Anyone else feel this is a trap line?
John Breech at CBS Sports discusses a couple of angles that points towards the Rams covering as quoted below
"On paper, the Vikings are definitely the better team in this game, but no one uses paper anymore, so that fact means nothing to me.
I only care about trends, and there are two trends telling me to pick the Rams to win this game. First, teams flying two time zones or more to the west for a Thursday game almost always lose. Since the return of "Thursday Night Football" in 2006, this has happened a total of 20 times and the Central/Eastern time zone team that flew west has gone 4-16 straight up and 4-14-2 ATS (And two of those four wins were by Aaron Rodgers while he was going through his MVP run with the Packers).
Not only is it tough to turn around and play on a Thursday, but the Vikings have to do it after playing the Lions, which brings me to my second trend. No team has won a game this year the week after playing the Lions. Apparently, the Lions are beating up on teams so badly that it makes it impossible to win the following week. It doesn't matter whether a team wins or loses to the Lions, this trend only involves their next game after facing Detroit."
The first angle I've researched and before Thanksgiving games on Thursday,...Pacific time zone home dogs since 2005 on Thursday versus teams from the Central or Eastern time zone before week 11 have gone 1-2 SUATS....so nothing there.
Half of what you read online is blatantly false when it comes to betting.
Below is the query text one can plug into the query box at gimmethedog.com for validation.
time zone=P and day=Thursday and week<11 and season>2005 and o:time zone and HD
The angle he discusses about teams performing after playing Detroit is legitimate...they have performed poorly the last couple of seasons the game after playing the Lions.
John Breech, by the way is 46-58-3 this season against the spread as shown on "Experts Picks" on cbssports.com
@Indigo999
Great info. Thanks for posting. That reminds me of the Niners a few years ago when everyone lost to their next opponent. That team went to the NFC Conference Game I believe. I like the Niners to win the AFC and possibly the Super Bowl. They are +300 and +700. I’m not seeing a team in the NFC that can beat them this year if they are at full strength in the playoffs. Dan Campbell now has the experience to win the NFC Title game.
[Quote: Originally Posted by ParquetCourts]@SportsIntuition This is also not true.[/Quote
He just read about the game from sports analysts and maybe never saw any of the Vikings' or Rams' games this season. I've watched all of the Vikings and Rams games. The lion was fortunate to win last week's game.The Rams defeated the Vegas with their defense. Ram has multiple injuries.
Established in 1995,
Like Momma alway's said "you gotta go with you gut"
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