Posted:
#1
Season To Date --- 11-8, won 29.5 units
We're on a 8-1 ATS run after receiving those 2 bad-beats put us at 4-7 some weeks back.
The Bounce Factor is a 2 game chase method, 1st game a regular play the 2cd game a best bet.
Chargers -4 (-120) over Rams --- 12 units to win 10 units...........Best Bet
Lions +7 (+100) over Pats --- 5 units to win 5 units
We have are very strong situation this week, the Pats are also a power ratings fade and the other regression method best bet , play of the year type fade and they're a home field bounce factor fade as well, the Pats are deep into the regression mode.
I'd come with a 2 team parlay on these 2 plays then we can add-in 2 more strong plays to give us a very solid chance of hitting a 4 team parlay.
Play the parlays on both the 1st halves and game.
Fade both Packers and KC this weekend, both best bet fades under other regression methods.
You have a high probability to hit this 4 team parlay, I'll be coming big this weekend myself with what could make my entire season if I hit these 4.
But remember, make small plays on the parlays and much bigger plays on straight bets, with a worst case senerio of 2-2 ATS you'd only lose a small amount on the parlays and that'd set-up next week to get that small loss back.
If we go 3-1 you want to walk-away with some nice profit, and a 4-0 sweep we score big-time.
Now, if you want to add a ML, I'd take Lions, 1st half and game in the parlays.
Now if you want to take a very, very, very small stab at a 6 team parlay add-in Browns and Seahawks. Both 1st half and game.
To add 2 dogs on the ML take both Lions and Browns on the ML in a seperate parlay. 1st half and game.
And remember, don't go parlay crazy, hitting these will be the iceing on the cake, not the cake itself.
And the beauty of this week is any losses become much stronger bets next week. With multiple regression indicators flashing signals with each team, it's almost a certainty we score at the end of the run, be it this week or next.
Good Luck guys and Enjoy all the great games coming-up this weekend................................................
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................and you'll be rewarded in the end.
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