Not a fantastic Week 8, but should have been a lot better. Like I predicted, the Eagles were exposed as complete frauds...the Lions NEEDED to win that game...unfortunately I got screwed over by 18 points late in the Bears/Panthers game...and the Vikings/Bucs UNDER never had a shot. Some decent games this week, and some teams that are entering into desperation mode.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
OVERALL RECORD: 21-15 (+4.4u)
Record vs. Spread: 12-7 (+6.2u) Record vs. O/U: 7-7 (-1.0u) Record vs. ML 2-1 (-0.8u)
Not a fantastic Week 8, but should have been a lot better. Like I predicted, the Eagles were exposed as complete frauds...the Lions NEEDED to win that game...unfortunately I got screwed over by 18 points late in the Bears/Panthers game...and the Vikings/Bucs UNDER never had a shot. Some decent games this week, and some teams that are entering into desperation mode.
Buffalo vs. Houston OVER 47 (3.3 to win 3) *Play of the Week*
Capped it at 51, and I thought that might be low considering how bad the Bills defense is. Last in points allowed, last against the rush, and 2nd to last in total yards allowed. What do the Texans do well? They run the ball and have the ability to score quick. The question is obviously how many points the Bills can put up, because I don't think there is any doubt the Texans are scoring 30+. They have healthy running backs for the first time in a long time, and if you take out the game against the Niners crazy good defense, they are putting up about 27 points per game. This one should sail way over the total IMO...so I'm grabbing it early Prediction: Texans 37 Bills 24
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Buffalo vs. Houston OVER 47 (3.3 to win 3) *Play of the Week*
Capped it at 51, and I thought that might be low considering how bad the Bills defense is. Last in points allowed, last against the rush, and 2nd to last in total yards allowed. What do the Texans do well? They run the ball and have the ability to score quick. The question is obviously how many points the Bills can put up, because I don't think there is any doubt the Texans are scoring 30+. They have healthy running backs for the first time in a long time, and if you take out the game against the Niners crazy good defense, they are putting up about 27 points per game. This one should sail way over the total IMO...so I'm grabbing it early Prediction: Texans 37 Bills 24
The Oakland Raiders are 0-3 ATS as favorites this year, the Bucs are 5-2 ATS this year, and have a sneaky good offense, as well as an extra few days off to prepare. Tampa is able to beat the teams that they are supposed to beat, but have lost against teams that are better than them on paper...the Saints game they should have won if they didn't play like idiots in the red zone. I just don't see the Raiders being able to do very much offensively in this one.
Prediction: Tampa Bay 26 Oakland 14
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 (1.1 to win 1)
The Oakland Raiders are 0-3 ATS as favorites this year, the Bucs are 5-2 ATS this year, and have a sneaky good offense, as well as an extra few days off to prepare. Tampa is able to beat the teams that they are supposed to beat, but have lost against teams that are better than them on paper...the Saints game they should have won if they didn't play like idiots in the red zone. I just don't see the Raiders being able to do very much offensively in this one.
Buffalo vs. Houston OVER 47 (3.3 to win 3) *Play of the Week*
Capped it at 51, and I thought that might be low considering how bad the Bills defense is. Last in points allowed, last against the rush, and 2nd to last in total yards allowed. What do the Texans do well? They run the ball and have the ability to score quick. The question is obviously how many points the Bills can put up, because I don't think there is any doubt the Texans are scoring 30+. They have healthy running backs for the first time in a long time, and if you take out the game against the Niners crazy good defense, they are putting up about 27 points per game. This one should sail way over the total IMO...so I'm grabbing it early Prediction: Texans 37 Bills 24
I completely agree with everything you stated. why not take the bills scoring out of the equation and take hou TT over 28?
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Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:
Buffalo vs. Houston OVER 47 (3.3 to win 3) *Play of the Week*
Capped it at 51, and I thought that might be low considering how bad the Bills defense is. Last in points allowed, last against the rush, and 2nd to last in total yards allowed. What do the Texans do well? They run the ball and have the ability to score quick. The question is obviously how many points the Bills can put up, because I don't think there is any doubt the Texans are scoring 30+. They have healthy running backs for the first time in a long time, and if you take out the game against the Niners crazy good defense, they are putting up about 27 points per game. This one should sail way over the total IMO...so I'm grabbing it early Prediction: Texans 37 Bills 24
I completely agree with everything you stated. why not take the bills scoring out of the equation and take hou TT over 28?
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