Decent bounce back week...hit both of the $200 plays with the Patriots and the Dolphins...almost hit the over in the Lions/Jags and the Pats/Niners as well. Close doesn't count though.
Decent bounce back week...hit both of the $200 plays with the Patriots and the Dolphins...almost hit the over in the Lions/Jags and the Pats/Niners as well. Close doesn't count though.
Not a huge difference, but it's looking more and more like Scott Tolzein will be getting the start in this one with Luck in the concussion protocol on a short week. Steelers are in another must win game, and get a break with this one if that happens. Once Tolzein is confirmed as the QB, I'll be on the Steelers up to 7
Jacksonville vs Buffalo
Projected Spread: Buff -3
Actual Spread: Buff -7.5
This one I don't get. The Bills haven't exactly been world beaters this year to get to their 5-5 record. 3rd string injured QB against the Pats, the poor Rams and Niners, and the Bengals without their only offensive stud in a close game. Jaguars are the team that perpetually shoots themselves in the foot, with 5 losses coming by less than 10 points this season. If the weather is even slightly poor, this is going to be a field goal game either way.
LA Rams vs New Orleans
Projected O/U: 50
Actual O/U: 45.5
Tough one to cap out here. Rams offense is the worst in the league without a doubt...but without weather as an issue I figure they can do a little bit better than last week. Saints are at home where they inevitably play a ton better...31-17 doesn't seem too far fetched correct? Wild card is the Rams offense as usual.
Kansas City vs Denver
Projected O/U: 45
Actual O/U: 39.5
Interesting that they would go this low. The Chiefs defense and the Broncos defense are two of the top 10 defenses in the league, and their offenses can struggle at points...but what both teams do very well is force turnovers. That leads to short fields for the offense, which should lead to points. Weather will of course be an issue in this one that you need to keep an eye on. The last three Broncos games have hit 45 or more points.
0
Week 12 QB/Spread Mis-Matches:
#12 Eli Manning vs #31 Josh McCown
#32 Jared Goff vs #8 Drew Brees
#15 Phillip Rivers vs #30 Brock Osweiler
#3 Russell Wilson vs #22 Jameis Winston
#1 Tom Brady vs #25 Ryan Fitzpatrick
#2 Aaron Rodgers vs #24 Carson Wentz
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis
Projected Spread: Pitt -6.5
Actual Spread: Pitt -3
Not a huge difference, but it's looking more and more like Scott Tolzein will be getting the start in this one with Luck in the concussion protocol on a short week. Steelers are in another must win game, and get a break with this one if that happens. Once Tolzein is confirmed as the QB, I'll be on the Steelers up to 7
Jacksonville vs Buffalo
Projected Spread: Buff -3
Actual Spread: Buff -7.5
This one I don't get. The Bills haven't exactly been world beaters this year to get to their 5-5 record. 3rd string injured QB against the Pats, the poor Rams and Niners, and the Bengals without their only offensive stud in a close game. Jaguars are the team that perpetually shoots themselves in the foot, with 5 losses coming by less than 10 points this season. If the weather is even slightly poor, this is going to be a field goal game either way.
LA Rams vs New Orleans
Projected O/U: 50
Actual O/U: 45.5
Tough one to cap out here. Rams offense is the worst in the league without a doubt...but without weather as an issue I figure they can do a little bit better than last week. Saints are at home where they inevitably play a ton better...31-17 doesn't seem too far fetched correct? Wild card is the Rams offense as usual.
Kansas City vs Denver
Projected O/U: 45
Actual O/U: 39.5
Interesting that they would go this low. The Chiefs defense and the Broncos defense are two of the top 10 defenses in the league, and their offenses can struggle at points...but what both teams do very well is force turnovers. That leads to short fields for the offense, which should lead to points. Weather will of course be an issue in this one that you need to keep an eye on. The last three Broncos games have hit 45 or more points.
It's a tough one for sure with Rodgers. Everyone wants to poo poo him and say he's lost his edge...but given the talent he has on the field (no running backs mostly) and his stats, he's still a top quarterback. He's been sacked almost more than any other QB in the league. Put him on a decent team, and I would only take Tom Brady over him
0
It's a tough one for sure with Rodgers. Everyone wants to poo poo him and say he's lost his edge...but given the talent he has on the field (no running backs mostly) and his stats, he's still a top quarterback. He's been sacked almost more than any other QB in the league. Put him on a decent team, and I would only take Tom Brady over him
The Vikings offense has been picking up the pace a bit more in the past couple weeks...and the Lions can put up points as well. Thanksgiving games tend to be faster paced in the first couple games, and I like this one to get there as well.
Prediction: Lions 27 Vikings 20
0
Minnesota vs Detroit OVER 41.5 ($110 to win $100)
The Vikings offense has been picking up the pace a bit more in the past couple weeks...and the Lions can put up points as well. Thanksgiving games tend to be faster paced in the first couple games, and I like this one to get there as well.
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis UNDER 49 ($110 to win $100)
Was going to be on the Steelers up to 7 points, but unfortunately had to work today and missed the huge line movement. I'll jump on the under as a safety net...much like the Browns game last week for the Steelers. I have no doubt that the Steelers will be able to move the ball against the Colts, but I doubt that the home team will score 17.
Prediction: Steelers 27 Colts 14
0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis UNDER 49 ($110 to win $100)
Was going to be on the Steelers up to 7 points, but unfortunately had to work today and missed the huge line movement. I'll jump on the under as a safety net...much like the Browns game last week for the Steelers. I have no doubt that the Steelers will be able to move the ball against the Colts, but I doubt that the home team will score 17.
Just too many points here for a Bills team that has not had an impressive win since Week 3 against the Cardinals. Last week they couldn't do a damn thing against an average Bengals defense. Jaguars are without Yeldon and Thomas today, which I don't like, but the weather isn't bad for Buffalo in late November which means Bortles should be able to throw the ball fairly well. I see a close game throughout.
Prediction: Bills 23 Jaguars 17
0
Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 ($110 to win $100)
Just too many points here for a Bills team that has not had an impressive win since Week 3 against the Cardinals. Last week they couldn't do a damn thing against an average Bengals defense. Jaguars are without Yeldon and Thomas today, which I don't like, but the weather isn't bad for Buffalo in late November which means Bortles should be able to throw the ball fairly well. I see a close game throughout.
Best play of the week here IMO. The Falcons offense is a juggernaut that had a minor hiccup last week, but I expect them to bounce back against today. Cardinals defense hasn't lived up to their hype going into the season, giving up 27 points per game in their last three.
Prediction: Falcons 34 Cardinals 31
0
Arizona vs Atlanta OVER 49 ($220 to win $200)
Best play of the week here IMO. The Falcons offense is a juggernaut that had a minor hiccup last week, but I expect them to bounce back against today. Cardinals defense hasn't lived up to their hype going into the season, giving up 27 points per game in their last three.
I just don't see how this isn't a double digit win for the Patriots. Gronk will be out and Brady will be in...but this is more of a play AGAINST the Jets and Ryan Fitzpatrick. Huge QB discrepancy here, and the Patriots defense will be able to key in on Forte and slow him down.
Prediction: Patriots 27 Jets 16
0
New England Patriots -8 ($110 to win $100)
I just don't see how this isn't a double digit win for the Patriots. Gronk will be out and Brady will be in...but this is more of a play AGAINST the Jets and Ryan Fitzpatrick. Huge QB discrepancy here, and the Patriots defense will be able to key in on Forte and slow him down.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
