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Johnson's Week 2 NFL

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Posts: 24
 
Legend
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Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 36739
Posted: #1
Not quite the start we were looking for.  The Falcons missed out by a half point...the Bengals and Ravens were more concerned with who could fukk up more...and the Giants were completely lost without ODB.  In a positive note...I nailed the Lions and Panthers games and we move into Week 2 with a solid idea of who is what in the NFL.


OVERALL RECORD:   2-3  ($-130)
TOTALS:   0-2   ($-220)
SIDES:  2-1   ($+90)
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Week 2 Line Projections:

Houston  vs  Cincinnati  (-2)    43

Cleveland  vs  Baltimore  (-4.5)    44
Buffalo  vs  Carolina  (-3.5)    40
Arizona  (-1)  vs  Indianapolis    45
Tennessee  (-2)  vs  Jacksonville    46
Philadelphia  vs  Kansas City  (-3)    48
New England  (-7.5)  vs  New Orleans    52.5
Minnesota  vs  Pittsburgh  (-4)    45
Chicago  vs  Tampa Bay   (-5.5)    44
Miami  vs  LA Chargers  (-2)    43.5
NY Jets  vs  Oakland  (-10)    45
Dallas  (-3)  vs  Denver    44.5
Washington  vs  LA Rams  (-1)    46
San Francisco  vs  Seattle  (-9)    40
Green Bay  vs  Atlanta  (-2.5)    53

Detroit  vs  NY Giants  (-3)    46
 
Legend
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Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 36739
Posted: #2
Week 2 QB Rankings:

1.  Aaron Rodgers
2.  Tom Brady
3.  Derek Carr
4.  Ben Roethlisberger
5.  Matt Ryan
6.  Cam Newton
7.  Dak Prescott
8.  Drew Brees
9.  Russell Wilson
10.  Alex Smith
11.  Carson Wentz
12.  Matthew Stafford
13.  Kirk Cousins
14.  Marcus Mariota
15.  Jameis Winston
16.  Phillip Rivers
17.  Eli Manning
18.  Joe Flacco
19.  Sam Bradford
20.  Carson Palmer
21.  Jared Goff
22.  Trevor Siemian
23.  Andy Dalton
24.  Deshaun Watson
25.  Jay Cutler
26.  DeShone Kizer
27.  Brian Hoyer
28.  Mike Glennon
29.  Blake Bortles
30.  Tyrod Taylor
31.  Josh McCown
32.  Scott Tolzien
 
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Posts: 1615
Posted: #3
You Project the cardinals to only be 1 pt favs vs Indy after that performance by the colts? 
 
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Posted: #4
Hey Johnson, I didn't even see that you had panthers damn can u post a little earlier next time! thanks gl this week 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 413
Posted: #5
thx
Hoping to recoup is what ruins the gambler.
 
Veteran
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Posts: 3074
Posted: #6
Good luck this week!
 
Legend
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Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 36739
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by SleepyDay:

Hey Johnson, I didn't even see that you had panthers damn can u post a little earlier next time! thanks gl this week 

It was a play that I made mid-day and wasn't near a computer....it'll happen
 
Legend
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Posts: 36739
Posted: #8
Week 2 Line Mis-Matches:

Buffalo vs Carolina
Projected:  CAR -3.5
Actual:  CAR -7

Started off a little bit higher, but it's understandably being bet down pretty quickly.  We need to see what the Panthers can do against a legitimate team with a legitimate defense.  Niners were not nearly a cohesive unit heading into this game, and the Panthers didn't exactly blow the doors off them either.  Going to watch the line really closely...if it stays at this number it's a good value for the Bills

Arizona vs Indianapolis
Projected:  ARI -1
Actual:  ARI -7.5

Really off on this one, probably because I strongly go with the notion that no team is as good or as bad as they were in Week 1.  The Rams were the worst team in the league after Week 1 last year after a 28-0 loss...they came into Week 2 and beat the Seahawks....2 years ago the biggest Week 1 blowout was the Bucs losing by 28 at home to the Titans and the breakout of Mariota, they followed that up with a road win over the Saints at 9.5 point dogs....3 years ago the Rams lost by 28 at home for the biggest blowout of Week 1, and came back in Week 2 and won straight up on the road against the Bucs. Wouldn't surprise me if the Colts came out and won this one in ugly fashion

NY Jets vs Oakland
Projected:  OAK -10
Actual:  OAK -14

Wow...this one shot right up after the initial posting.  Raiders came out strong in Week 1 on the road...and the Jets didn't exactly look great as was expected.  This might be a repeat of Pitts/Clev in Week 1 where a team knows they are flat out better than their opponent and does enough to win...like being up 28-10 late and giving up a "meaningless" touchdown

San Francisco vs Seattle
Projected:  SEA -9
Actual:  SEA -13.5

Very similar to the Oakland game.  Good team has a tough road game in Week 1 then travels home to face terrible team.  I like this one a little bit better...but still probably a stay away game.


 
Legend
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Posted: #9

All quiet on my end so far...going back and forth on which crappy teams will remain crappy
 
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Posted: #10
like indy, could careless for the rest of your card. Bum backing is a tough lesson learned
 
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Posted: #11
The jets could lose by 40+ today. Avoid.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 59
Posted: #12
Big Ben better than Dak? I have to disagree
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
GL CMJ!! 
 
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Posted: #14
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
Tennessee Titans -1.5  ($110 to win $100)

Good value bet here for the Titans.  They didn't look terrible last week against the Raiders...they just didn't have the talent to keep up.  The Jaguars on the other hand were one of the biggest surprises in the league.  Now the Jaguars have to face something they haven't seen in a while...expectations.  Bortles is still a lower tier QB in the league, and I don't see that changing.  Titans win this one relatively easily.

Prediction:  Titans 27  Jaguars 19
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Tennessee vs Jacksonville OVER 41.5  ($110 to win $100)

See all the reasons above but adding in the fact that no team or unit is as good or as bad as they were in Week 1...I'm not buying into "Sacksonville" quite yet.  Titans o-line is one of the better groups in the league, only sacked once last week against Oakland.
 
Legend
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Posted: #17
Cleveland Browns +7.5  ($110 to win $100)

No team is as good or as bad as they were in Week 1...the Ravens looked really really good in Week 1...but as we saw on Thursday night, a good amount of that might be how bad the Bengals offense is.  They got a majority of their points early on off of bad turnovers.  Overall, the Ravens offense couldn't do much.  The Browns with Kizer are a ball control, don't make mistakes, get whatever you can and be happy with it type of offense.  They'll keep this one close, and maybe even escape with a win.

Prediction:  Ravens 23  Browns 21
 
Legend
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Posted: #18
Philadelphia vs Kansas City OVER 46  ($110 to win $100)

Almost made this one a $200 play...but with the uncertainty of Tyreke Hill I backed off.  The Chiefs offense is explosive.  It's almost hard to say those words, but it's true.  Kareem Hunt is a workload back, the more carries he gets the better he runs.  Kelce is always a threat.  Smith doesn't make mistakes and finds guys when he needs it.  The Eagles should be able to take big time advantage of the Chiefs secondary without Eric Berry in the game.  I would look for Agholar and Ertz to have big time performances in this one.

Prediction:  Chiefs 30  Eagles 27
 
Legend
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Posted: #19
Buffalo vs Carolina UNDER 43.5  ($110 to win $100)

The Bills offense is as one dimensional as you can get.  The Panthers defense is as good at stopping that one dimension as you can get.  Unless the Panthers offense goes crazy and puts up 30 I don't see this game being a high scoring affair.  Considering the fact that the Panthers only put up 23 against a much worse 49ers unit...I doubt that'll be the case today.

Prediction:  Panthers 24  Bills 13
 
Legend
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Posted: #20
5 plays is a bit more than I like to do...and I'm still looking at some of the 4pm games...but all of those plays are good value, and that's what I base almost all of my bets on!!
 
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Posted: #21
Lets get it 
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by El_Gallo:

Big Ben better than Dak? I have to disagree
  ....Come on man...  Not only better at this stage of the game WAY better... 
 
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Posted: #23
 
 
Legend
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Posts: 36739
Posted: #24

Solid day...just needed the Browns to leave Kizer out of the game.
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