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Johnson's Week 6 NFL

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  10-8-1  (+$490)
SIDES:  8-3-1  (+$850)
TOTALS:  2-5  (-$360)

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3-1 in Week 5...double dipped on the Patriots which might have been one of the easier bets in my gambling history.  Gotta get a handle on the totals...felt good with the Bears and Colts and then they went off late in the game with a 20 point 4th quarter. 

Week 6 Line Projections:

Denver vs San Diego  (-3)    43

San Francisco  vs  Buffalo  (-6)    41
Philadelphia  vs  Washington  (-1.5)    46.5
Cleveland  vs  Tennessee  (-3.5)    40
Baltimore  vs  NY Giants  (-2.5)    45
Carolina  vs  New Orleans  (PK)    49
Jacksonville  vs  Chicago  (-3)    44.5
Los Angeles  vs  Detroit  (-4)    44.5
Pittsburgh  (-3.5)  vs  Miami    47
Cincinnati  vs.  New England  (-6.5)    50
Kansas City  vs.  Oakland  (-3)    47
Atlanta  vs  Seattle  (-4)    47.5
Dallas  vs  Green Bay  (-5)    48
Indianapolis  vs  Houston  (-1.5)    45.5

NY Jets  vs  Arizona  (-5)    43

 
Legend
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Posted: #2
Week 6 QB Rankings:

1.  Tom Brady
2.  Aaron Rodgers
3.  Ben Roethlisberger
4.  Cam Newton
5.  Russell Wilson
6.  Matt Ryan
7.  Drew Brees
8.  Andrew Luck
9.  Derek Carr
10.  Eli Manning
11.  Carson Palmer
12. Alex Smith
13.  Phillip Rivers
14.  Joe Flacco
15.  Andy Dalton
16.  Matthew Stafford
17.  Kirk Cousins
18.  Dak Prescott
19.  Carson Wentz
20.  Blake Bortles
21.  Ryan Fitzpatrick
22.  Ryan Tannehill
23.  Brock Osweiler
24.  Brian Hoyer
25.  Marcus Mariota
26.  Tyrod Taylor
27.  Blaine Gabbert
28.  Case Keenum
29.  Paxton Lynch
30.  Charlie Whitehurst/Cody Kessler
 
Legend
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QB Mis-Matches:

#29 Lynch @ #13 Rivers
#3 Roethlisberger @ #22 Tannehill
#15 Dalton @ #1 Brady
#18 Prescott @ #2 Rodgers
#8 Luck @ #23 Osweiler


Line Projection Mis-Matches:

San Diego (-3)  Actual:  San Diego (+3)

My guess is that the linesmakers are looking at how easily the Chargers lose games in the most heart breaking of ways.  If I can somehow get a 3.5 I will be on the Chargers...Lynch didn't impress me too much last week...and this has the feelings of a field goal game.

Pittsburgh (-3.5)  Actual:  Pittsburgh  (-7.5)

Tough number here.  The Dolphins and Adam Gace are on the hot seat from the top down.  The Steelers have been known to lay eggs in random games...might need to take a 2nd look at this one.

Tennessee (-3.5) O/U 40  Actual:  Tennessee (-7.5) O/U 44

I had this game capped out at Titans 21-17...apparently Vegas is looking at it as a little higher scoring than that.  I think the Browns can do a little better job against the run than the Dolphins did last week.  Either way, these are two bad teams and probably don't deserve a 2nd look.
 
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Posted: #4
Isn't Siemian starting on Thursday?
 
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Posted: #6
Tenn line is ridiculous no way they should be favored by that much
 
Legend
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Posted: #7
Siemian is starting, so I'd put him in around the 26 spot...no longer a QB mis-match
 
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Posted: #8
So still feel chargers +3
 
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Posted: #9
BOL Bud
 
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Legend
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Detroit Lions -2.5  ($110 to win $100)

Too good of a number for a home team that has a good amount of weapons on the offensive side of the ball to combat the tough Rams defense.  Might be an ugly win...but that's all that's needed.

Prediction:  Lions 23  Rams 16
 
Legend
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Baltimore vs NY Giants OVER 42.5  ($110 to win $100)

Both teams get into the 20's in this one.  Eli needs to get back on track and get his team a win...and the Ravens will put together enough on their end to keep up.  You know Eli is going to throw a pick or two which should set up some easy point opportunities.

Prediction:  Giants 26  Ravens 23
 
Legend
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Atlanta Falcons +7  ($110 to win $100)

Been riding them hard so far this season...and for good reason.  They get enough pass rush to make offenses nervous...and with the offensive weapons that Matty Ice has, they are never out of the game.  Solid back door cover opportunities...and either way I see a field goal game.

Prediction:  Seahawks 27  Falcons 24
 
Legend
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Posted: #14
New England Patriots TT OVER 28  ($110 to win $100)

With Tom Brady at the helm...and the game at Foxboro...I don't see the Patriots not being able to put up big points against a weak-ish Bengals defense.

Prediction:  Patriots 34  Bengals 20
 
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Posted: #15
BOL Bud
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Pretty sure I've nailed all these games almost exactly!
 
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Posted: #17
I would say so!! Very nice!!
 
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Posted: #18
 nice man

ready for nba? 
 
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Posted: #19
Great calls today buddy!!
 
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Posted: #20
 
Legend
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Yes I am absolutely ready for the NBA...hopefully I'll be able to get back into a daily routine
 
Prospect
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Posted: #22
Fantastic work great job good luck with NBA this year
 
 
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Posted: #23
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