Justliketoplay 2-0 posted and I have another strong play Minnesota @ Jacksonville

This one has done very well for me in my handicapping and it's surface related.

Vikings have played their last four games on the turf and now are playing the Jags on Grass.

After four games on the turf and being accustomed to this type of surface and now playing on grass and are a favorite?.....Say no more

The Play:

Jacksonville +6.5 (and don't be shy to toss a bit on that juicy money line.)

@justliketoplay

 Assuming you are aware of Trevor Lawrence being out?

@justliketoplay

 Interesting angle!

@Yourpapzilla

 Yes! I understand not official but unlikely and the line reflects this and MJ most likely will be under the helm.

Whomever is at quarterback the whole Jacksonville team will be playing like it's their Superbowl because lose this game and now your officially done and it's unfortunate because the team has been riddled with injuries as many other teams this year have been as well.

That being said Minnesota does have a field adjustment issue and as I have stated before this is a rare find when handicapping.

when a team has played four games or more on one surface then plays on the road and is a favorite on another type it has been close to a 70% outcome winner and this game fits that criteria perfectly.

Tail or fade your money your choice but this play is a valid play in my opinion and I have given you my reason as to why..... Good luck on your plays this weekend Pap

@justliketoplay

 Bol today

GL  on your play like your thoughts @justliketoplay

That's an interesting angle. Shame that you have to use the Jags to take advantage of it because they're just not a good team right now. 

Kevin O'connell is 12-7 when his team plays on grass: 63.1%.

All his losses were against teams better than the Jaguars

@NutinButtLove

 Understood and the line has been adjusted for injuries on key areas of play mostly the quarterback and if this angle holds true and the vikings do indeed have trouble adjusting to a grass that they have NOT played on since week four in Green Bay this will indeed get interesting.

Line is up to 7 I truly feel that these points and the dire need for a win coupled with the Vikings change to grass after not playing on this type of field in over a month and a half is a strong number to have on your side and should indeed be taken advantage of.

GL 

@TJZags598

 The point and the play is not your record on playing on grass.

It's the record playing on grass after playing on turf for Four games in a row and for the last month and a half rather then playing on grass and what makes this play the right play.

Jags are 2-7.  That's tied for the worst record in the NFL.  I think their "dire need" of a win has already passed.

Nice angle. Good luck. 

@Jimmy_Cats

 So does that mean they should stay home and not show up?

@justliketoplay

 Why is your trend anymore important than mine?

I just gave you a trend that works contrary to yours.

Good Luck 

No, but I don't see the dire need for a win.

GL 

@Jimmy_Cats

 Okay let's look at this scenario Jimmy lets just say out of nowhere Jacksonville beats the Vikings today and Houston who is playing Detroit today loses which may just happen means that the Jaguars are three games back from the top of the division with half a season to go and injured players hopefully coming back.....hmmm doesn't that make things interesting and an additional motivation to play hard?

Take the points spread a little on the money line and call it a day....Good luck on your plays today Jim whatever you decide to do.

..

@TJZags598

 Yep your up to 65% on the grass but my trend outperformed yours today because in gambling it's about covering the spread which my trend did.

Get em next time on the grass TJ especially if they are dogs which they were  in week 4 against Green Bay winning straight up on the road as a 2.5 point dog at Lambau (31-29) your grass stat of 13-7 is one that I will remember next time they are DOGS on grass surface no doubt.

3-0

@justliketoplay