I posted this the last few years, here it is from last season...
Notice that 6 was more common than 7....
MOV Times Frequency
3 45 16.6%
6 21 7.7%
7 19 7.0%
4 17 6.3%
1 16 5.9%
8 15 5.5%
10 15 5.5%
14 13 4.8%
5 11 4.1%
2 10 3.7%
13 8 3.0%
9 7 2.6%
16 7 2.6%
17 7 2.6%
thank you Van. So close to opening day !!!!
@the1toturn2
Combo of the longer XP and analytics suggesting to go for 2 more often
Results of 2 and 6 should be more common since they moved the XP back...should be...not sure if it has actually played out that way but I assuming it has as there has been more talk of 2 and 6 in past few years
I think when looking at that the main takeaway shouldn't be that spreads of 2 or 2.5 are not 'basically moneylines' as some people often think (and end up laying the points if they like the fav or taking the moneyline if they like the dog) because 1 is at 6 percent making +2.5 dogs that more valuable (and taking moneyline instead of -2 or 2.5 on favs)
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