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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Let’s back into the playoffs

    jimmyc33030
    MagixJohnson
    TJZags598
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    jimmyc33030
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:02 AM ET #1

    What a season of football who would have know 9-8 gets you a division title. I got one game on my radar for early games. The stinkin jets vs the miami mullets. Always a dog fight when these two teams play each other. First meeting this season the Jets had there way. I would think the fins have more motivation and revenge going for them this game. I know no Tua, no Bridgewater, no chance, or is there? Who you like Flaco or Skyler? My money is going on Skyler, a week with the first team and I expect to see some improvement from him. I think the fins will easily cover. He’s got a good arm came out of Kanas State. Im laying the 3 points I’ll take 3 units on Miami -3 

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    What a season of football who would have know 9-8 gets you a division title. I got one game on my radar for early games. The stinkin jets vs the miami mullets. Always a dog fight when these two teams play each other. First meeting this season the Jets had there way. I would think the fins have more motivation and revenge going for them this game. I know no Tua, no Bridgewater, no chance, or is there? Who you like Flaco or Skyler? My money is going on Skyler, a week with the first team and I expect to see some improvement from him. I think the fins will easily cover. He’s got a good arm came out of Kanas State. Im laying the 3 points I’ll take 3 units on Miami -3 

     
    MagixJohnson
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:19 AM ET #2

    Honestly don't know how this will turn out. Skyler Thompson didn't look good in New England, and the Jets secondary is still really good. Added more Jevon Holland tackles + assists tonight (up to $822 @ -139) since the only thing I can really count on is Flacco passing the ball a lot, so grabbing the requisite player props. Or at least the ones I think will show haha. As for the game itself, I think it could either way. However, Flacco could be under pressure because the Jets are missing 3 starters on the Oline. As a fish fan, I'll be watching!

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    Honestly don't know how this will turn out. Skyler Thompson didn't look good in New England, and the Jets secondary is still really good. Added more Jevon Holland tackles + assists tonight (up to $822 @ -139) since the only thing I can really count on is Flacco passing the ball a lot, so grabbing the requisite player props. Or at least the ones I think will show haha. As for the game itself, I think it could either way. However, Flacco could be under pressure because the Jets are missing 3 starters on the Oline. As a fish fan, I'll be watching!

     
    TJZags598
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:26 AM ET #3

    fLACCO IS GOING TO BE IN FOR A MAJOR HURT TOMMARROW

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    fLACCO IS GOING TO BE IN FOR A MAJOR HURT TOMMARROW

     
    MagixJohnson
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:29 AM ET #4

    I see now on a couple of books they aren't even offering Jets rushing props - only Wilson & Mosert are offered. I wonder if the book(s) just couldn't lay a reliable number they could feel comfortable with, or risk a lot of money jumping to one side. Either way, a pretty good indication they expect Flacco to air it out tomorrow.

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    I see now on a couple of books they aren't even offering Jets rushing props - only Wilson & Mosert are offered. I wonder if the book(s) just couldn't lay a reliable number they could feel comfortable with, or risk a lot of money jumping to one side. Either way, a pretty good indication they expect Flacco to air it out tomorrow.

     
    jimmyc33030
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:30 AM ET #5

    Yes he did. I’m hearing he had good practice this week I’m sure they will give him some short to medium passes to get som confidence and he can scoot around half ass. Normally I don’t go with or against the fins but occasionally I will break my rule. I like to look into some props see what peaks my interest. I’m only looking at games that have playoff possibilities. 

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    Yes he did. I’m hearing he had good practice this week I’m sure they will give him some short to medium passes to get som confidence and he can scoot around half ass. Normally I don’t go with or against the fins but occasionally I will break my rule. I like to look into some props see what peaks my interest. I’m only looking at games that have playoff possibilities. 

     
    jimmyc33030
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:34 AM ET #6

    I like that maybe they can make him flap around like a fish outta water. I’m expecting the phins to thro the ball around more then running it. Looking at #88 getting some yards and possible a TD have to check out the #’s

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    I like that maybe they can make him flap around like a fish outta water. I’m expecting the phins to thro the ball around more then running it. Looking at #88 getting some yards and possible a TD have to check out the #’s

     
    jimmyc33030
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:38 AM ET #7

    Yea one of my books is the same cutting back on player prop action. No jetsRB’s?

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    Yea one of my books is the same cutting back on player prop action. No jetsRB’s?

     
    MagixJohnson
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:48 AM ET #8

    @jimmyc33030

     

    Books don't like uncertainty where they could potentially get routed on one side of the line. They like stable variables which provide formulaic oddsmaking less risky. If you notice, several games don't have player prop lines this week at all (i.e. Atlanta/TB) and others only have very limited selection (Minny/Chicago only FG kickers). With some teams sitting players or putting them on snap counts, and other teams putting in bench players to evaluate for next season, the books can't make proper odds. Only full odds in a select few games like Tennessee/Jacksonville where the full rosters of both teams were expected to play.

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    @jimmyc33030

     

    Books don't like uncertainty where they could potentially get routed on one side of the line. They like stable variables which provide formulaic oddsmaking less risky. If you notice, several games don't have player prop lines this week at all (i.e. Atlanta/TB) and others only have very limited selection (Minny/Chicago only FG kickers). With some teams sitting players or putting them on snap counts, and other teams putting in bench players to evaluate for next season, the books can't make proper odds. Only full odds in a select few games like Tennessee/Jacksonville where the full rosters of both teams were expected to play.

     
     
    jimmyc33030
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2023 - 12:57 AM ET #9

    I had a long shot bet with Mahomes at least one TD +350 look like he was going to run it in on the first drive until both raider player decided to chase mahomes and leave the receiver standing all alone in the end zone. It was a long shot but sometimes mahomes will run one in. He had another shot late in the game, I thought he would go straight up the middle and hood the ball out pass the goal line but he handed it of to #19. I’m sure it’s skimp Pickens on the prop plays. I’ll get into in the morning 

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    I had a long shot bet with Mahomes at least one TD +350 look like he was going to run it in on the first drive until both raider player decided to chase mahomes and leave the receiver standing all alone in the end zone. It was a long shot but sometimes mahomes will run one in. He had another shot late in the game, I thought he would go straight up the middle and hood the ball out pass the goal line but he handed it of to #19. I’m sure it’s skimp Pickens on the prop plays. I’ll get into in the morning 

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