just wondering , as the lines usually change during the week , any tips on getting best lines? trying to predict line movement ?
Sure here is some free advice for you. As it stands for the MNF game: 67% of bets are on Chiefs +3.5, why is this fishy you may ask? It’s fishy because the line for the chiefs opened at +3 and with 67% of bets based off how Vegas runs their business that line went the wrong direction and is saying more money is on Baltimore laying the points. Take that how you want but if by closer to kick off that % number stays 65 and up, I’ll be taking BALTIMORE -3.
Sure here is some free advice for you. As it stands for the MNF game: 67% of bets are on Chiefs +3.5, why is this fishy you may ask? It’s fishy because the line for the chiefs opened at +3 and with 67% of bets based off how Vegas runs their business that line went the wrong direction and is saying more money is on Baltimore laying the points. Take that how you want but if by closer to kick off that % number stays 65 and up, I’ll be taking BALTIMORE -3.
There's no straight forward answer to this unfortunately. If you're asking me.
You can always check multiple books and sho for better lines that way. Or wager Live. Live will get you better lines if one team is down...
There's no straight forward answer to this unfortunately. If you're asking me.
You can always check multiple books and sho for better lines that way. Or wager Live. Live will get you better lines if one team is down...
if you believe 67 percent of bets are on Chiefs than I have a bridge to sell you lol. Most sports media is picking ravens to win and line was bet up as soon as it opened in ravens favor due to the game chiefs had last week. In fact, most people on here are even picking ravens to win. Stop believing those false numbers on how much percentage of people are betting a certain team.
if you believe 67 percent of bets are on Chiefs than I have a bridge to sell you lol. Most sports media is picking ravens to win and line was bet up as soon as it opened in ravens favor due to the game chiefs had last week. In fact, most people on here are even picking ravens to win. Stop believing those false numbers on how much percentage of people are betting a certain team.
Judge line movement based on the perception of the team. Example... Jags opened as a pick em against Miami and was bet up to a 3 due to people having the belief they were the better team. Don't get in a habit of predicting line movement though.. more often than not if you cap the game properly youll simply know how many pts xyz should have and in particular will bet according to that. Waiting on the line to do as you want to do can make you miss out on alot of value sometimes when the market does not react how you would assume it would.
Judge line movement based on the perception of the team. Example... Jags opened as a pick em against Miami and was bet up to a 3 due to people having the belief they were the better team. Don't get in a habit of predicting line movement though.. more often than not if you cap the game properly youll simply know how many pts xyz should have and in particular will bet according to that. Waiting on the line to do as you want to do can make you miss out on alot of value sometimes when the market does not react how you would assume it would.
Like tenn was line went in favor for them. All my parlay last leg died. They won by 1 n no cover. I looked back at my graded wager n still pissed.
If it was that easy, I'd be rich right now.
Like tenn was line went in favor for them. All my parlay last leg died. They won by 1 n no cover. I looked back at my graded wager n still pissed.
If it was that easy, I'd be rich right now.
it is easy.. dont let lines judge what to play. line movement means nothing... its just a market place... if anything you can analyze or rather know why the line moves and decide if you agree. People favored Tenn heavy due to believing Titans were superior and looking at the holes in the viking defense, however, they negated that titans have the same holes lol, BUT of course, kirk cousins and vikings being the vikings is a whole nother aspect to it lol.. but bottom line.... dont use line movement as deciding what will happen.
it is easy.. dont let lines judge what to play. line movement means nothing... its just a market place... if anything you can analyze or rather know why the line moves and decide if you agree. People favored Tenn heavy due to believing Titans were superior and looking at the holes in the viking defense, however, they negated that titans have the same holes lol, BUT of course, kirk cousins and vikings being the vikings is a whole nother aspect to it lol.. but bottom line.... dont use line movement as deciding what will happen.
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