Now at -110 +3.5 really would have liked to see that line trend toward +3 and +2.5. I’m on Steelers since this morning…
Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this.
Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this.
Like the line movement is indicative of who is going to win....people still believe there are people out there that have some sort gift to pick games.....their pick, my pick, and anyone else's pick ( spread betting ) has the same chance of winning.
Like the line movement is indicative of who is going to win....people still believe there are people out there that have some sort gift to pick games.....their pick, my pick, and anyone else's pick ( spread betting ) has the same chance of winning.
No it isn’t. The line rising to Vikings -4 would not be a death sentence for Pittsburgh backers, lol.
No it isn’t. The line rising to Vikings -4 would not be a death sentence for Pittsburgh backers, lol.
Line movement is the most important indicator of professional sports betters. It’s more important than who’s injured, who’s playing, which coach has covid, who they lost to last week, etc. For some reason people that don’t know how to read it or don’t want to put time into it just say it doesn’t matter and any bet can win/lose.
Line movement is the most important indicator of professional sports betters. It’s more important than who’s injured, who’s playing, which coach has covid, who they lost to last week, etc. For some reason people that don’t know how to read it or don’t want to put time into it just say it doesn’t matter and any bet can win/lose.
That's not what I meant
I guess you missed this part
IN THIS CASE I HOPE IT'S RIGHT
GOOD LUCK ON YOUR 22.5 DOUBLE OR NOTHING
That's not what I meant
I guess you missed this part
IN THIS CASE I HOPE IT'S RIGHT
GOOD LUCK ON YOUR 22.5 DOUBLE OR NOTHING
Exactly. In this case it looks to be right but it's wrong all the time.
In Week 13 there were only 3 games that moved a full 1.5 points from the opening numbers. All 3 of them lost both ATS and SU.
The Bengals opened at 1.5 and went off at 3. They proceeded to get killed.
The Ravens opened at 3 and went off at 4.5. That's a massive move across those numbers. They lost SU.
The Niners opened at 2 and went off at 3.5. They lost the game badly.
Source is bookies.com and these were the only full 1.5 point line moves.
0-3 ATS
0-3 ML
Exactly. In this case it looks to be right but it's wrong all the time.
In Week 13 there were only 3 games that moved a full 1.5 points from the opening numbers. All 3 of them lost both ATS and SU.
The Bengals opened at 1.5 and went off at 3. They proceeded to get killed.
The Ravens opened at 3 and went off at 4.5. That's a massive move across those numbers. They lost SU.
The Niners opened at 2 and went off at 3.5. They lost the game badly.
Source is bookies.com and these were the only full 1.5 point line moves.
0-3 ATS
0-3 ML
@Danny9999
You are making a couple of mistakes with sweeping generalizations. You are mentioning opening line vs closing line which has nothing to do with what I am talking about. If you learn to diagnose line movement in situational forms such as tonight’s game (Steelers off a big win against a super over valued ravens team in the eyes of the public, Vikings off a lose to the lions which literally crushed the public last week due to teasers, Steelers with the better overall record, -3 juiced to $125 all day to scare off public betters who won’t lay that, the line moving to -3.5 mid day and trending towards -4 to scare off more public, etc.). These situations aren’t available every week never mind every game - another that comes to mind recently was the 49ers vs Rams a few weeks back and the Patriots going to +2.5 the other night against the Bills.
The second mistake you are making is you are saying “line movement loses all the time”. Well, of course it does? If it didn’t then this would be the easiest investment known to man and we would all be filthy rich. The key is to learn to diagnose line movement that matters vs what doesn’t. This is also another reason recreational betters lose 99% of the time - They see a post like this, go into Sunday, bet against the line movement, and go 1-3 on the day and give up.
Anyways GL
@Danny9999
You are making a couple of mistakes with sweeping generalizations. You are mentioning opening line vs closing line which has nothing to do with what I am talking about. If you learn to diagnose line movement in situational forms such as tonight’s game (Steelers off a big win against a super over valued ravens team in the eyes of the public, Vikings off a lose to the lions which literally crushed the public last week due to teasers, Steelers with the better overall record, -3 juiced to $125 all day to scare off public betters who won’t lay that, the line moving to -3.5 mid day and trending towards -4 to scare off more public, etc.). These situations aren’t available every week never mind every game - another that comes to mind recently was the 49ers vs Rams a few weeks back and the Patriots going to +2.5 the other night against the Bills.
The second mistake you are making is you are saying “line movement loses all the time”. Well, of course it does? If it didn’t then this would be the easiest investment known to man and we would all be filthy rich. The key is to learn to diagnose line movement that matters vs what doesn’t. This is also another reason recreational betters lose 99% of the time - They see a post like this, go into Sunday, bet against the line movement, and go 1-3 on the day and give up.
Anyways GL
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