I remember reading that Patrick Mahomes was lights out as an underdog back in the day, but hasn't been nearly as good as a big favorite. He's 37-30 ATS or something when favored by double digits (or by more than a TD?)? Does anybody have access to a database that I can't find on google? TIA
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I remember reading that Patrick Mahomes was lights out as an underdog back in the day, but hasn't been nearly as good as a big favorite. He's 37-30 ATS or something when favored by double digits (or by more than a TD?)? Does anybody have access to a database that I can't find on google? TIA
I don't know how to query for a player. I just looked into the PM data at Pro Football Reference to find out that he became the KC starter in the 2018 season.
I next went to Gimme the Dog and ran this query:
team = Chiefs and season > 2017 and line < -7.2
SU: 44-3 (10.7,93.6%)
ATS: 19-26-2 (-0.1,42.2%)
That is not very good, but that average ATS margin is way too small to fade.
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I don't know how to query for a player. I just looked into the PM data at Pro Football Reference to find out that he became the KC starter in the 2018 season.
I next went to Gimme the Dog and ran this query:
team = Chiefs and season > 2017 and line < -7.2
SU: 44-3 (10.7,93.6%)
ATS: 19-26-2 (-0.1,42.2%)
That is not very good, but that average ATS margin is way too small to fade.
I don't know how to query for a player. I just looked into the PM data at Pro Football Reference to find out that he became the KC starter in the 2018 season. I next went to Gimme the Dog and ran this query: team = Chiefs and season > 2017 and line < -7.2 SU: 44-3 (10.7,93.6%) ATS: 19-26-2 (-0.1,42.2%) That is not very good, but that average ATS margin is way too small to fade.
Thanks for that. The margin is the -0.1 that I see? I'm seeing -7.2 meaning the same as -7.5, basically? The 10.7 is the average margin under those circumstances?
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
I don't know how to query for a player. I just looked into the PM data at Pro Football Reference to find out that he became the KC starter in the 2018 season. I next went to Gimme the Dog and ran this query: team = Chiefs and season > 2017 and line < -7.2 SU: 44-3 (10.7,93.6%) ATS: 19-26-2 (-0.1,42.2%) That is not very good, but that average ATS margin is way too small to fade.
Thanks for that. The margin is the -0.1 that I see? I'm seeing -7.2 meaning the same as -7.5, basically? The 10.7 is the average margin under those circumstances?
-3.5 or higher he has a losing record but has been good recently. He might be close to .500 now after his recent performances going back to last year I think.
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-3 and under he has a very good ATS record.
-3.5 or higher he has a losing record but has been good recently. He might be close to .500 now after his recent performances going back to last year I think.
-3 and under he has a very good ATS record. -3.5 or higher he has a losing record but has been good recently. He might be close to .500 now after his recent performances going back to last year I think.
I'd be interested in the -3.5 number too, I hadn't heard the troubles go that low.
Of course they're not his troubles, I don't mean it like that, it's mostly a reflection of the books' and market's overvaluing the team.
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
-3 and under he has a very good ATS record. -3.5 or higher he has a losing record but has been good recently. He might be close to .500 now after his recent performances going back to last year I think.
I'd be interested in the -3.5 number too, I hadn't heard the troubles go that low.
Of course they're not his troubles, I don't mean it like that, it's mostly a reflection of the books' and market's overvaluing the team.
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