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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Meat & potatos of the title tilts

    SuperGuido
    tamsmooth
    Participants:
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    Views: 619
    Posts: 5
     
    SuperGuido
    SuperGuido
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 35
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2015 - 12:48 PM ET #1

    When I start a thread I first think, what is the most useful info I can give, with some many angles out there it's hard to decipher all that info.. But I will give it a shot:
    Colts vs Pats-
    Historically, the Patriots have owned the series versus the Colts. New England has won five straight going back to 2010. It also includes last season’s divisional round game, one that the Pats won 43-22 as 7.5-point favorites in Gillette. However, it should be noted that the underdog in the series when these two teams tangle is a solid 14-5-2 ATS going back over the last 21 meetings. New England is also a lousy 0-5 ATS in their last five AFC Championship games as well (3-11 ATS in their last 14 playoff games too).
    I have a slight lean towards Luck and colts.. Copycat score from last week 35-31 Pats eek it out

    Packers vs Seahawks-
    The curtain had barely closed on the Packers defeat of the Cowboys last week before the online betting sites tabbed Seattle as 7.5 point favorites. That line has held during the early betting, even under heavy public action on Green Bay, a weekly betting darling. It might be one of the squarest bets in the game each week, but it is hard to ignore the league’s best offense getting seven and the hook. Green Bay will have to buck a recent trend as they are just 3-7 against the spread in their last ten on the road against winning teams. Seattle has four ATS wins in their last five playoff games at home and are 5-1 against the spread in their last six playoff games overall.

    Seattle 26-16.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    When I start a thread I first think, what is the most useful info I can give, with some many angles out there it's hard to decipher all that info.. But I will give it a shot:
    Colts vs Pats-
    Historically, the Patriots have owned the series versus the Colts. New England has won five straight going back to 2010. It also includes last season’s divisional round game, one that the Pats won 43-22 as 7.5-point favorites in Gillette. However, it should be noted that the underdog in the series when these two teams tangle is a solid 14-5-2 ATS going back over the last 21 meetings. New England is also a lousy 0-5 ATS in their last five AFC Championship games as well (3-11 ATS in their last 14 playoff games too).
    I have a slight lean towards Luck and colts.. Copycat score from last week 35-31 Pats eek it out

    Packers vs Seahawks-
    The curtain had barely closed on the Packers defeat of the Cowboys last week before the online betting sites tabbed Seattle as 7.5 point favorites. That line has held during the early betting, even under heavy public action on Green Bay, a weekly betting darling. It might be one of the squarest bets in the game each week, but it is hard to ignore the league’s best offense getting seven and the hook. Green Bay will have to buck a recent trend as they are just 3-7 against the spread in their last ten on the road against winning teams. Seattle has four ATS wins in their last five playoff games at home and are 5-1 against the spread in their last six playoff games overall.

    Seattle 26-16.
     
    SuperGuido
    SuperGuido
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 35
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2015 - 1:30 PM ET #2

    I concure.. At first glance my reaction was to jump on GB at 7.5, then the more I broke it down(cowboys should've won then We would be talking about Seattle revenge factor) I found myself thinking, "how many times have I played sports w an injury, one that before game time was sore as hell and played through it, yet knowing it wasn't my best it was gonna be a rough go". I see Rodgers trying to play the 2-3second passing game, Seattle will rush just 3-4 guys knowing they don't need more than that to get to him dropping 7-8 in coverage, complete umbrella and bracket job against their wideouts, yes Seattle will be missing Richardson and by no means are they flashy on offense, but was Baltimore.. Was the Ny giants of recent years, we know the Hawks weren't last year but threw up 39 on offense while the D added the other 9.. I'm a Steelers fan so I can care less who wins, it's about the handicapping for a big payday in the end
    Reply
    I concure.. At first glance my reaction was to jump on GB at 7.5, then the more I broke it down(cowboys should've won then We would be talking about Seattle revenge factor) I found myself thinking, "how many times have I played sports w an injury, one that before game time was sore as hell and played through it, yet knowing it wasn't my best it was gonna be a rough go". I see Rodgers trying to play the 2-3second passing game, Seattle will rush just 3-4 guys knowing they don't need more than that to get to him dropping 7-8 in coverage, complete umbrella and bracket job against their wideouts, yes Seattle will be missing Richardson and by no means are they flashy on offense, but was Baltimore.. Was the Ny giants of recent years, we know the Hawks weren't last year but threw up 39 on offense while the D added the other 9.. I'm a Steelers fan so I can care less who wins, it's about the handicapping for a big payday in the end
     
    tamsmooth
    tamsmooth
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 41
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2015 - 2:39 PM ET #3

    SuperGuido love your picks i'm on the same sides also I can really see Colts winning this game SU.. Patriots as big favs in playoffs has always been fades in past history. My first reaction was also to jump on Packer +7.5 then after thinking bout it seems to me that vegas is begging for GB money.. top qb getting 7 plus the hook seems tempting I think Hawks roll here.. Russell Wilson is also 7-0 SU against elite quarterbacks.. he beat Manning twice, Brees twice, Rodgers twice and Brady once
    Reply
    SuperGuido love your picks i'm on the same sides also I can really see Colts winning this game SU.. Patriots as big favs in playoffs has always been fades in past history. My first reaction was also to jump on Packer +7.5 then after thinking bout it seems to me that vegas is begging for GB money.. top qb getting 7 plus the hook seems tempting I think Hawks roll here.. Russell Wilson is also 7-0 SU against elite quarterbacks.. he beat Manning twice, Brees twice, Rodgers twice and Brady once
     
    SuperGuido
    SuperGuido
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 35
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2015 - 3:04 PM ET #4

    Tamsmooth-- I believe that the public( as usual) loooooves offense and who's to blame them.. So why wouldn't they jump on Patriots and Packers+pts.. I'm gonna also have some funds on the ML for colts to win su.. Russel Wilson I've watched from his days w the wolf pack to the badgers to the seahawks ( I'm a miami hurricanes fan, so seen him enough in ACC) lol. And I'm a fan of his, (steelers for life here though). And he is a very smart and alert Qb.. When he is put to that " he isn't big gamer" label on him he shows up and bears "the best" QBs. And I believe Luck is got that same mojo now being seasoned in a few playoff games
    Reply
    Tamsmooth-- I believe that the public( as usual) loooooves offense and who's to blame them.. So why wouldn't they jump on Patriots and Packers+pts.. I'm gonna also have some funds on the ML for colts to win su.. Russel Wilson I've watched from his days w the wolf pack to the badgers to the seahawks ( I'm a miami hurricanes fan, so seen him enough in ACC) lol. And I'm a fan of his, (steelers for life here though). And he is a very smart and alert Qb.. When he is put to that " he isn't big gamer" label on him he shows up and bears "the best" QBs. And I believe Luck is got that same mojo now being seasoned in a few playoff games
     
     
    SuperGuido
    SuperGuido
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 35
    Posted: Jan. 14, 2015 - 4:40 PM ET #5

    '14 Seahawks 15.9 17.6 22.6
    '13 Seahawks* 14.4 15.1 23.4
    '08 Steelers* 13.9 14.6 22.0
    '02 Buccaneers* 12.3 15.1 21.7
    '00 Ravens* 10.3 11.9 20.7
    '85 Bears* 12.4 16.4 21.5
    '77 Falcons 9.2^ 10.4 17.1
    '76 Steelers 9.9 12.6 19.2
    '75 Rams 9.6 11.6 20.6
    '71 Vikings 9.9 10.0 19.3
    *Won Super Bowl ^NFL record

    Defenses avg ppg-next best teams avg-league avg... Seahawks are the real deal on D.. Ask manning, Brees, Brady.. Funny thing is Luck has best them cause he has the one thing the rest don't, youth, and mobility and can throw it(sorry Kaepernick fans) Hawks roll throw GB & Super Bowl again, 48-21( like Tampa bay did to Oakland?)
    Reply
    '14 Seahawks 15.9 17.6 22.6
    '13 Seahawks* 14.4 15.1 23.4
    '08 Steelers* 13.9 14.6 22.0
    '02 Buccaneers* 12.3 15.1 21.7
    '00 Ravens* 10.3 11.9 20.7
    '85 Bears* 12.4 16.4 21.5
    '77 Falcons 9.2^ 10.4 17.1
    '76 Steelers 9.9 12.6 19.2
    '75 Rams 9.6 11.6 20.6
    '71 Vikings 9.9 10.0 19.3
    *Won Super Bowl ^NFL record

    Defenses avg ppg-next best teams avg-league avg... Seahawks are the real deal on D.. Ask manning, Brees, Brady.. Funny thing is Luck has best them cause he has the one thing the rest don't, youth, and mobility and can throw it(sorry Kaepernick fans) Hawks roll throw GB & Super Bowl again, 48-21( like Tampa bay did to Oakland?)
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