Minn and Why

Went 2-3 in week 6, No posted picks for week 7 - record stands at 20-20.   Let's look at some numbers:

-3   Minn   17 14   2  30 6 2

      LAR    26 15 30 18 21 4

Minn opens at -3 currently the same (madduxsports.com).   It went from Min -3 -110 to even at many places.  The -110 to even for Minn could be due to Kupp coming back for the Rams. 

Minn is better in  Off rushing, Off passing, Rushing def,   Sagarin rank and Sagarin sched strength.    The only category where the Rams were better was Passing def at 18 vs 30.

With the info. I collect, I do a comparison to other games with the opening line being 3 for the away team and this scenario; There were 3 games that met the criteria,  the most similar was when Pitt played Wash and won 38-16.  The scores of the other 2 games - 33-28   Det/NO    and 17/23  Mia/LAC.    I'm hanging my hat on the game that was most similar (meaning the numbers) and the fact that 2 out of the 3 - the away team took it.          

My Play:

1.   Minn -3   

Good luck all.

@TheBuddah

 Bol tonight my friend

BOL  on your play @TheBuddah

@vankiep_0007

 Thanks Van back at ya

@Macwestie1

 Thanks Mac and back at ya

GL 

@Fuse

 Longtime no see - hope all is well

thanks and back at ya 

@TheBuddah

 GOOD SHIT MY GUY YOU COMING DOWN TONIGHT POKER TABLE WAITING!!!!

let's get it Buddah, good to see ya! GO SKOL

@TheBuddah

@CCK

 Sorry bud, not tonite.   Grilled hamburgers and sausages . Mmmm good . 

@CCO687

 Thanks bud and back at ya . 

@insatiable

 Thanks bud and back at ya .