Went 2-3 in week 6, No posted picks for week 7 - record stands at 20-20. Let's look at some numbers:
-3 Minn 17 14 2 30 6 2
LAR 26 15 30 18 21 4
Minn opens at -3 currently the same (madduxsports.com). It went from Min -3 -110 to even at many places. The -110 to even for Minn could be due to Kupp coming back for the Rams.
Minn is better in Off rushing, Off passing, Rushing def, Sagarin rank and Sagarin sched strength. The only category where the Rams were better was Passing def at 18 vs 30.
With the info. I collect, I do a comparison to other games with the opening line being 3 for the away team and this scenario; There were 3 games that met the criteria, the most similar was when Pitt played Wash and won 38-16. The scores of the other 2 games - 33-28 Det/NO and 17/23 Mia/LAC. I'm hanging my hat on the game that was most similar (meaning the numbers) and the fact that 2 out of the 3 - the away team took it.
My Play:
1. Minn -3
Good luck all.
on your play @TheBuddah
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