Posted:
#1
This is my first post on covers. I don't usually post but felt compelled to with all the love that I am seeing for San Diego.
The result of this game will more than likely come down to the turnover differential. I am not buying into this being a look ahead game for the Colts as they probably won't beat the Broncos on short rest anyway. Why would they want to lose two in a row after the Texans and Titans lose. They would be letting the Texans back into the division race as they still have two games to play versus them and the Titans. Plus this is Lucks MNF debut and he will want to put on a show for the world.
Anyway back to the turnover differential. From the stats below you can see that Indy have not turned the ball over once this season. Luck and co are taking excellent care of the ball. In 3 out of 5 games Indy have had a +2 turnover differential and in all them games they have gone on to win.
San Diego on the other hand had a -5 differential last week Vs Oakland and went on to lose. They have had only 2 out of 5 games where they have had no turnovers and won one of them games Vs Cowboys and lost the other to Houston (LOL). The Chargers did have a -2 differential Vs the Eagles but went on to win 33-30.
Whoever wins the turnover battle is winning this game in my mind. Personally I can see Chargers turning the ball over more. They are playing without their two main receivers. Robert Mathis and the Colts D should be all over Rivers and force him into some bad throws leading to intercepts. Chargers will not get away with turning the ball over Vs Indy like they did Vs Eagles (Eagles can't play D we all know it!!). I don't see Indy turning the ball over. Luck is throwing more shorter passes this year and using the run game more.
Overall Indy have the better offense, defense and special teams. San Diego pass D is just horrible and Luck should get what he wants with Reggie Wayne and his deep threat TY Hilton (star in the making). Factor In T Rich who I think will go for 100 today and the TE Fleener (pretty underrated) and I smell a Indy win. San Diego just have way too many injuries. If Indy can stop Antonio Gates then Chargers haven't a chance in hell.
Only thing I am weary about is Chargers losing two in a row on MNF but it doesn't really bother me too much. Luck is the next golden boy of the NFL and I think the NFL would much rather like him to add a MNF win to his resume.
Anyone backing the Chargers is banking on Rivers and co not turning the ball over. At this moment in time I would not put a dime on this team as you are taking a massive risk with your money
. Indy have proven they can take care of the ball and for that reason (and the fact they are the better team in all 3 facets of the game) put me down for Indy ML LARGE 
. (I have already put down 1k on the Colts before I wrote this)
. Indy have proven they can take care of the ball and for that reason (and the fact they are the better team in all 3 facets of the game) put me down for Indy ML LARGE . (I have already put down 1k on the Colts before I wrote this)0
colts lose this week and come out to shock the broncos next week at home!!
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