Baltimore/TB Over 49.5 3 units
Both teams have top 5 offenses, Baltimore has the best rushing attack and top red zone offense in the NFL. TB run game is vastly improved and Baker had a knack for extending drives while the Ravens often struggle giving up 3rd downs on defense - they also get a lot of penalties, and are 31st vs the pass.
Bucs are number 1 in first half points per game while Baltimore actually gives up the most 2nd half points per game. Combined with the fact it's a non-conference game on MNF there's just so many factors adding up to a perfect recipe for a high scoring affair.
Don't really have a feel for the side. Ravens are rolling right now since the 2 losses to start the year but I have a feeling it's a good spot for the Bucs because the Ravens can't stop the pass at all and they have very productive pass catchers.
I like to back teams coming home off back to back road games. It's been very profitable this year. And both home dogs are in that spot.
So I'm gonna also take the Cardinals +1.5 for one unit.
'm not a big fan of them or Kyler Murray, but the Chargers have a major glaring weakness. In the last 3 games they have scored a grand total of 3 points, one single field goal, in the 2nd half of those games. Vs KC they didn't score a point after the 1st quarter. Now, Denver, KC, Pitt all have much better defense than Arizona but I have had so many teams with big first half leads just not score in the 2nd half at all the last few years and teams that do that are the ones I want to fade. The Chargers have been nothing but a money burner for me for a long time, I wouldn't even lay a single point with them! Every year they were a trendy pick to be a contender and fell flat. And that was when they had more talent. They can never stay healthy. Cards certainly didn't cover themselves in glory last game but this is an easier opponent than GB. Neither team has a prolific passing attack but the Chargers are passing for less yards than Cleveland and barely more than NE and Tennessee. Who if you have seen any of those offenses they are particularly painful to watch. Arizona has the 7th ranked rush attack, a lot of that is Murray running around but with Bosa not there to terrorize the QB he can probably do a bit of that.
Hot Forum Topics
