MONDAY NIGHT - DEN Covers and SU win @ BUFF

Question

After a long vacation and some rest I am back....

Debated waiting until week 11 but why procrastinate?

MONDAY - DENVER @ BUFFALO:

Spread winner: Denver @ +7.5 or +7 wherever you can get it.

Why:

Buffalo 3-7 vs spread last 10

Denver 10 td's vs 2 picks last 5 games

Denver wins of KC, GB, CHI last 5 games

Wild Card:

Josh Allen 9 td's & 5 picks last 5 game

Josh Allen has a passer rating of 106.2 with 544 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception in 2 games versus the Broncos in his career. 2-0 vs Broncos career.

Russel Wilson has a passer rating of 109.4 with 877 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in 3 games against the Bills in his career 2-1 vs Bills career.

LONGSHOT but worth a look:

DENVER STRAIGHT UP! last time the total was @ 47 Denver won!

Wizerguy · Accepted Answer

Just for the record Denver is 0-9 ATS when coming off an underdog win, 0-7 ATS of late in this series 0-3 ATS when facing McDermott / 0-6 ATS away when coming off consecutive home games and 1-8 ATS when coming off a pair of upset wins 1-5 ATS on the MNF road

Buffalo is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a favorite vs the AFC West. They are also 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS against foes coming off a SU underdog win, including 8-1 SU&ATS at home last 9. Buffalo is also 33-12 SUATS coming off three ATS losses including 14-1 ATS against a foe coming off a win and 9-0 ATS home vs teams off a win.

That's some good stuff for a team that just lost on SNF in front of the world vs one of the best teams in the NFL and now in front of the world again on MNF vs one of the worst. Denver's defense is giving up 29 pure points per game on the road this season and Buffalo is scoring 31 @ home..dont let their rematch win vs KC fool you..They are not home toto..

Denver's last 5 games where vs Bears /Jets / GreenBay and KC twice.. 3 dregs of the league when you remove KC

ValueDog · Answer