MORE likely to lose….

Ravens or 49ers?

My gut tells me a lot of ML parlays with these two for Saturday, and it gets busted.  

BUT who lets down??

They're 9+ faves for a reason (CURIOUS who can find the STAT for SU win-loss by 9 point home faves in the division round?).

MY vote would be Baltimore —on the basis that packers have let up 200 rushing yards 4 times this year and SF can lean on ole faithful to control the game.

YOU? 

Lamar Jackson, Jekyll and Hyde thing hasn’t reared its ugly head in some time. 
Could see it happening tomorrow.

Green Bay is on a roll offensively. If they win toss and score again first as they have in 9 straight games with nothing to lose, it's possible.

Ravens definitely have had significant issues in the past in this spot, Lamar is 8th ranked qb from the pocket this year, much improved over recent years.

I think they may roll Houston. 

Funny I was thinking 49ers 

I felt before playoffs started that the NFC would have slightly more upsets than AFC. So far Bucs and Packers come thru. Bucs prediction was right my other upset was Rams almost. Only Texans on the AFC side so far that has held true. 

Original prediction was Cowboys upsetting the Niners in the NFC Championship. I don't know why maybe we get Lions vs Packers for the NFC title 

home teams laying more than 9 do well in the playoffs
SU: 26-6-0 (10.88, 81.2%)  
ATS: 21-11-0 (0.09, 65.6%)  
O/U: 20-12-0 (3.78, 62.5%)

if their opponent was previously at home (which fits Baltimore)

SU: 16-3-0 (12.74, 84.2%)  
ATS: 14-5-0 (1.92, 73.7%)  
O/U: 13-6-0 (7.18, 68.4%)

GB is road tested this playoff season and may have a better chance at covering the spread.  

but winning SU seems about even here.  

@finnryan22

I be more interested in the stat of 1 seeds coming off the bye.

@unplucked_gem

 Plenty of those teams were ~3 point faves tho facing veteran QBS.  Imo the huge point advantage is telling…

@Digitalkarma

We were on right side of Lions/Rams, we just didn't handicap in the non-calls in the 4th quarter.

Hard to bake that into our picks. I had ML parlay w/GB as well as both -2.5 ML parlay. Couldn't get RAMS in the lead to hedge it to make something.

Lions scored 3 pts after 7 minute mark of 2nd quarter, RAMS are supposed to win when that happens.

Both could be busted easily, GB on fire and Jackson playoff choker 

Neither are going to lose but the 9ers would be the one more likely. They had a bad skid before the bye 3 Ls. The Ravens never even lost 2 in a row. Shanahan has snatched defeat from the jaws of victory before with his playcallingd, and last year in the playoffs their QBs got knocked out. If that happens to Baltimore Huntley isn't a lost cause as a backup like Sam Darnold.

The Ravens defense leading the NFL sacks and takeaways is going to make them very tough for a pass heavy team with a rookie QB and head coach. Whereas Matt Lafleur has proved he is pretty smart.

@unplucked_gem

 Number one seeds are only covering 35% of the time (ATS) in the divisional round of the playoffs. Winning outright is a different story.

I don't think either lose.... 

Circa had a prop up before the playoffs began, Niners OR Ravens to win SB -115 vs. The Field -115.  

This is first year in quite some time, 2017 I think, that #1 seeds likely to both make it.  AFC has been the tougher Conference all year and I'd keep with that theme having to decide between either SF or Balty lose.... just don't see the Texans being the team to do it.  Winner of Chiefs/Bills though yes, very possible.  

exactly, jacksons playofff history is similiar to prescott, and love and packers have the hot hand right now, all the pressure is on ravens and 49ers

@Killer_B

 I kinda expected the Lions would win but not cover were definitely on the right side as spread is concerned. Just threw the ml in just in case. I usually do when I take the doggie spread. 

@kcblitzkrieg

 The AFC Championship game is the Super Bowl as far as I'm concerned gonna be a great battle 

you realize the niners are favorite in the super bowl vs any of the afc teams right?  Vegas already put the lines out, niners favorite over all including the ravens.  So calling the afc championship game the super bowl is a stretch.

The same was true last year with KC and Philly

And they both won 

@jdmoney14

 Just an opinion. Sportsbooks have theirs I have mine. Niners may be the front runner but doesn't mean I think that they're the best team in the league 

Give a slight edge to the Texans having the better chance to win but not by much. They have the better run D than the Pack (& expect the cold/wind to somewhat hurt the Ravens passing gm) & with Humphrey out for Balty, could see Collins gettin loose for a couple big plays. Still see both faves moving on.

Saying the AFC Championship game is the Super Bowl would mean you believe whoever comes out of the AFC will destroy whoever comes out of the NFC. Seeing as the Niners are the favorite to win the NFC, do you feel KC and BUF will make them look like how the Ravens made them look on Christmas?

Of course you do