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NEVER, EVER ssen this BEFORE in the Westgate (former Hllton) Supercontest

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Legend
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Posted: #1
SECOND week in a ROW where the Top 5 most selected teams went "oh fer" for the weekend. I have been following "FADE the Westgate" and before that Hilton for well over a decade and to my knowledge this is the FIRST TIME the "FADE" has HIT in back to back weeks!!!

(number of time selected) [current Westgate odds Saturday night]

last week (Week 2) most selected

Seahawks -4 1/2 [-5 1/2] (541) @ Rams lose 3-9
Packers -2 1/2 [-2] (507) @ Vikings lose 14-17
Jaguars +3 [+3] (429) @ Chargers lose 14-38
Chiefs +3 [+1] @ Texans lose 12-19
Bengals +3 1/2 [+3 even] @ Steelers lose 16-24

this week (Week 3) most selected

Steelers -3 1/2 [-3 1/2] (663) @ Eagles lose 3-34
Cardinals -4 [-3 1/2] (536) @ Bills lose 18-33
@ Buccaneers -5 1/2 [-4 1/2] (502) vs Rams lose 32-37
@ Jaguars pick [pick] (477) vs Ravens lose 17-19
Chargers +3 [+1 1/2] (418) @ Colts lose 22-26

note: the Jaguars actually closed just before game time @ +2 1/2






 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
where do you see the most selected each week?
 
Legend
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by Dustinbuffman:

where do you see the most selected each week?


I can NOT name the site because that hairlips Covers-Team BUT IF you google "Hilton Contest" it is mentioned there
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
Cheese LOU-ese!!! THEN the damn Bears come close to the 2nd half in Dallas with the Cowboys -7 1/2 most of the week
 
Covers Linesmen
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Posted: #5
Fading that contest top 5 is almost always a season long profit, but this year it's paying out like a broken slot machine


 
Legend
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Posted: #6
are you READY for some REAL NHL regular season HOCKEY, Lippsman ??? I SURE AM!!!
 
Captain
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Posted: #7
That Charger's game was the difference between me going 3-2 and 2-3 in the contest.  Sickening.  
Let's go Darwin
 
Legend
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Fading that contest top 5 is almost always a season long profit, but this year it's paying out like a broken slot machine





let that sink in , Afuera #Doge
 
Legend
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Fading that contest top 5 is almost always a season long profit, but this year it's paying out like a broken slot machine




NOT all the time

just for "history back" interest. 2015 & 2014 were NOT good for the "FADES". only had two "skunked" weekends for the five most selected each of those years. "FADES" worked excellent in 2013 with three 1-4, two 0-4-1 and one 0-5 weeks. 2012 so-so with three 1-4 weeks and a 0-3-2

we will see IF 2016 turns into 2013 for the "FADES" OR reverts to the last two years. excellent start so far with back-to-back "skunked" weekends and a 3-2 opening for "FADES" 12-3 on the season

would be cautious Week 4. generally the players "bounce back" after a bad week which is WHY I was SHOCKED they went "oh fer" two weeks in a row



 
Veteran
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Posted: #10
I posted about this bizzare 10 game losing streak earlier today. The odds of that happening by chance are less than 1 in 1000. And its even more strange when you consider that this is not one person's unlucky streak. This is the 10 game losing streak of 1850 serious handicappers, at least serious enough to pony up 1500 bucks and a trip to Vegas if they are out of town. To me, it demonstrates both the pure difficulty of picking NFL games ATS, and also how it makes no sense to troll anyone. You are better off watching which way your goldfish turns in the tank to make your picks, than thinking you will acquire some advantage by following others. Alexander Hamilton was right when he said "the public is an a#$
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #11
 
Captain
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Posted: #12
Great research Rat, keep up your astute angles   
 
Legend
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by snowman76:

Great research Rat, keep up your astute angles   


thank you, snowman76, as I stated in post #9, it AIN'T "automatic". the players could come back with a 5-0 or 4-1 next week
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
Interesting
 
Banned
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Posted: #15
keep us posted man. you n smart should team up to form a data mining lab for us.
 
Banned
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Posted: #16
Careful. It may be due for some regression to the mean.
 
Banned
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by footballsmart:

I posted about this bizzare 10 game losing streak earlier today. The odds of that happening by chance are less than 1 in 1000. And its even more strange when you consider that this is not one person's unlucky streak. This is the 10 game losing streak of 1850 serious handicappers, at least serious enough to pony up 1500 bucks and a trip to Vegas if they are out of town. To me, it demonstrates both the pure difficulty of picking NFL games ATS, and also how it makes no sense to troll anyone. You are better off watching which way your goldfish turns in the tank to make your picks, than thinking you will acquire some advantage by following others. Alexander Hamilton was right when he said "the public is an a#$
good read, 
 
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Posted: #18
Interesting
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by VegasMauler:

Careful. It may be due for some regression to the mean.


absolutely. as stated earlier was VERY surprised the players didn't come back with a good week after the first "oh fer" Week 2. will see what happens this week
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