NFC number one seed winner

Spread pick take  Minnesota Vikings 

Why take the spread if they are going to win? 

@begginerboy

 I think the Packers Vikings game on Sunday should answer your question.BB

@justliketoplay

What do you mean?  The Vikings won and covered?

So, it is a legitimate question.  If you think the value is truly with the Vikings because you think they are going to win.  The better 'bang for your buck' is to take them on the ML, or -1, or even -1.5 alt lines.  But if you are not so sure they will win, then you want the points and extra juice just because you think it will be a close game and can go either way.

For example, the data I have may be a couple of years old.  But look at the ROI on short lines (+.5 to +3) if you bet the Underdog outright versus the spread.

+1.6% spread vs. 2.4% moneyline

Compare that to taking ANY underdog spread versus ANY underdog outright.

-.6% spread vs. -2.6% moneyline

I do this from time to time and it usually is profitable.  I just glanced back at the ones I did this year and it looks like I was up +1.91 Units on them.

I am not saying I am for doing this every time.

But if this is an instance where you really see the Vikings being the 'Number One Seed' -- then it might be worth looking at.

I've seen cases with some books where the spread is pick -110 either way but -105/-115 on the moneylineand I'm talking the same book

@diondimucci

 Books know exactly what they are doing. its done that way for a reason.

@diondimucci

Where?

The lowest I have seen all week for Vikings is BetRivers +117. All the rest have consistently been +124 to +135

@justliketoplay

 I see your point indeed but was just referring to the way that the Packers came back in that game and made that spread much closer than what it should of been and believe that extra points missed or blocked or safety. Few variables that could come to play in this matchup between these two teams that minus a half a point or a full point most likely is a better proposition than a full-blown money line if one thinks it's going to be close, which I believe it will be.

Oops meant to respond to BB

GL